Current location - Recipe Complete Network - Complete breakfast recipes - Three questions for the soul: the prices of meat, vegetables, oil and fruits have risen, how much? Why go up? Will it go down?
Three questions for the soul: the prices of meat, vegetables, oil and fruits have risen, how much? Why go up? Will it go down?
Currently in 2022 and 2023, the end of the year stage, according to statistics, the recent meat, vegetables, oil, fruit prices have risen.

Then the soul of the three questions came: how much? Why rise? Before the Spring Festival will fall?

One, meat prices

China's people consume more meat mainly pork, beef, lamb and chicken, of which lamb slipped, the rest of the pork, beef and chicken prices rose.

Pork prices rose 0.9 percent, beef prices rose 0.6 percent and white chicken prices rose 0.4 percent compared to the previous day.

The rise in pork prices is mainly due to the recent market hog prices ushered in a substantial increase in the slaughterhouse to transfer the increased production costs and improve the price of white pigs, while the price of hogs rose mainly a few logic:

1, after a period of previous consumption, the big fat stockpile is left.

2, pig prices fell below the cost line, the breeding side of the sale.

3, group hog farms to complete the task of slaughtering, reduce the speed of pig slaughtering.

4. Slaughtering enterprises prepare for the arrival of the peak demand and increase the slaughtering volume.

5, local consumption picks up.

While beef prices also rose, but compared with the previous price change is not large, because China's beef supply is insufficient, a large part of the need to import, so cattle prices and meat prices are relatively stable.

The rise in beef prices, on the one hand, may be related to the rise in pork prices, on the other hand, may be due to the rise in international food prices, driven by the increase in the cost of international cattle, imported beef prices, driven by the domestic beef price ceiling.

In addition, but also with some areas of the epidemic peak has passed, the market demand for beef consumption has a certain relationship.

In recent times, the market for broiler chickens has continued to fall, from the fast category of the national chicken to the slow category of the national chicken, and then to the hemp chicken, to the white-feathered broiler, broiler chickens, broiler chickens, the market has fallen sharply, hemp chicken and white-feathered broiler chickens are facing huge losses.

So what is the reason for the history of the gross chicken prices down, but the price of white chicken has increased? I think the main reason is the recent infection of a large number of people, the lack of workers, the slaughtering enterprise operating rate is limited, limited production of white-striped chicken, which upstream constraints on the broiler out of the pen, downstream of the lower supply of white-striped chicken, the price is higher.

Will meat prices fall? Although hog prices have risen recently, the situation of excess supply of hogs has not improved, and then taking into account the little time left for farmers, there is hope that hog prices will fall back again, and pork prices will have to fall.

Beef prices will be easy to rise but hard to fall, after all, beef itself is in short supply, the peak season of consumption will further drive the price ceiling.

White chicken prices are not much hope of falling, but hopefully rising, New Year's Day, the Spring Festival holiday is approaching, is expected to help sell the product to go, so as to provide a certain rebound power for the upward movement of the price of chicken and white chicken.

Two, vegetable prices

It was reported that the average price of 28 kinds of vegetables under key monitoring was 4.96 yuan/kg, up 1.2 percent compared with the previous day.

The main vegetables in the market at present are northern greenhouse vegetables, southern vegetables and stored vegetables, among which the stock of stored vegetables is large, it takes some time to clear the stock, so the price of vegetables like carrots, carrots, celery and Chinese cabbage did not rise significantly.

Northern greenhouse vegetable planting costs are high, the planting area is not high, coupled with the cost of fertilizers, land rental and other costs this year itself is relatively high, which will drive up the price of vegetables on the market.

Southern vegetable planting area is large, production is also high, but because of transportation inconvenience, the southern vegetables can not go north, the northern vegetable supply is insufficient, the price up.

So from the point of view of the types of vegetables, vegetable prices will still be narrowly adjusted upward.

From the point of view of the demand side, with some areas of the epidemic infection peak in the past, many areas of the people's lives have been restored as before, supermarkets, food markets and other places in the traffic flow increased significantly, some of the food and beverage industry has also begun to recover.

And then there is the Spring Festival, New Year's Day two vegetable demand season, not only reflected in the restoration of catering, but also reflected in the part of the enterprise gift, to the staff welfare, etc., will increase the demand for vegetables, vegetables want to reduce the price of vegetables is still relatively difficult.

Three, oil

Note, here the "oil" on behalf of the domestic refined oil, No. 92 gasoline, No. 95 gasoline, No. 98 gasoline and No. 0 diesel fuel, and not our usual meal with rapeseed oil.

According to agency statistics, at 24:00 on January 3, the price of domestic refined oil is expected to rise, because the international crude oil prices have risen sharply, as of press time, the price of Brent crude oil has risen to 84.59 U.S. dollars per barrel, compared with the previous day rose by 0.1 U.S. dollars, the WIT U.S. crude oil price of 79.7 U.S. dollars per barrel, compared with the previous day rose by 0.13%.

Experts expect that when the next round of oil price adjustment window opens, the price of China's refined oil products is expected to rise by 270 yuan per ton, much higher than the shelving of the change in the range of 270 yuan per ton converted into liters is 0.21-0.24 yuan.

The increase in gasoline prices, mainly related to these factors:

1, U.S. commercial crude oil inventories of 418.2 million barrels, down 5.9 million barrels from the previous year, about 7% below the average level for the same period in five years.

2. U.S. strategic reserve crude stocks fell by 3.65 million barrels to 379 million barrels, with stocks at their lowest level in nearly 40 years (since 1983).

3. Wells in some parts of the U.S. were shut down due to bad weather.

4. "OPEC+" maintains oil production by reducing oil supply by 2 million barrels per day, supporting oil prices from the supply side.

From the current international situation, oil prices are unlikely to fall before the Chinese New Year, after all, the above events are favorable to oil prices.

Four, fruit

The key monitoring of the six kinds of fruit average price of 7.11 yuan / kg, up 0.6% over the previous day.

Pears and lemons in particular, the price can be said to be crazy, whether it is ordinary Crown Pear, Fengshui Pear, or high-end autumn moon pear, pear, prices generally rose by about 40%, before the 3, 5 yuan a catty of pears are now generally sold to more than 10 a catty of a good Crown Pear prices have been comparable to the price of pork.

Lemons have also skyrocketed from a wholesale price of about 4 yuan all the way to about 10 yuan, and still in short supply.

The rise in fruit prices is mainly due to the following reasons:

1, the epidemic is relatively serious, people living at home, or poor appetite after the disease, the demand for fruit.

2, the market speculation factors, pears, oranges, lemons, prices rose with some of the "prescription" on the network has a lot to do with the hot rumor.

3, fruit prices, traders, merchants cover the goods are not for sale, consumers grab the goods of high emotions, making the market presents the state of demand exceeds supply.

4, by the impact of bad weather, this year, pears, apples, citrus and other fruits overall production reduction.

Will fruit prices drop before the Spring Festival? The Spring Festival is also the traditional fruit consumption season, this year most families may choose to spend the New Year at home, fruit demand will be at a relatively high level, and then take into account the overall reduction in fruit production, fruit before the Spring Festival is easy to rise hard to fall.

But pears and lemons, the two excessive price increases in the fruit, will be with the improvement of the epidemic, the decline in demand, the price return to rational normal levels.