In recent times, the price of hogs can be said to be all the way up. And corn as one of the main feed sources of hogs, but showed a polarized trend, North China, Huanghuai along the market declined one after another, and now there are also some processing companies have begun to lower the grassroots purchase price of corn, down in 8-10 yuan / ton or so. Currently the end of the month has come, in the face of falling corn market, December corn can reproduce the early momentum has become the focus of attention of many people, and the impact of a new round of cold air will come, cold wave, blizzard double warning, the follow-up of the corn trend is still more optimistic. So what is the specific market? The following editorial will take you to a simple prediction.

How much is a catty of corn now?

A, dry corn

Hebei Shijiazhuang City, Zhengding County, dry corn 0.88 yuan / catties; Shanxi Datong City, Tianzhen County, dry corn 1.1 yuan / catties; Chifeng City, Inner Mongolia, Yuanbaoshan District, dry corn 1.02 yuan / catties; Dalian City, Liaoning Zhuanghe City, dry corn 1.15 yuan / catties; Fengxian District, Shanghai, dry corn 0.93 yuan / catties Dry corn 1.23 yuan / catty; Jilin Siping City Shuangliao City dry corn 1.1 yuan / catty; Heilongjiang Harbin City Wu Chang City dry corn 1.1 yuan / catty; Ningbo City, Zhejiang Zhenhai District dry corn 0.83 yuan / catty; Bozhou City, Anhui Qiaocheng District, dry corn 1.37 yuan / catty; Linyi City, Shandong Lanshan District, dry corn 1.29 yuan / catty; Nanyang City, Henan Province, Sheqi County, dry corn 1.27 yuan / catty; Deyang City, Sichuan Province in the county dry corn 1.3 yuan / catties; Shaanxi Hanzhong City, dry corn 1.3 yuan / catty Yuan/catty; Shaanxi Hanzhong City, Yang County, dry corn 1.3 yuan/catty and so on.

Second, fresh corn

Anhui Wuhu City, Qiujiang District, fruit corn 0.9 yuan / catties; Hubei Xiaogan City, Hanchuan City, fruit corn 1.17 yuan / catties; Guangxi Guilin City, Pingle County, fruit corn 0.75 yuan / catties; Henan Nanyang City, Xinye County, sweet corn 1 yuan / catties; Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province, from the sweet corn 1.7 yuan / catties; Fujian Nanping City, Jianou City, sweet corn 2 yuan / catty; Henan Kaifeng City, Qixian Zheng single 958 corn 3.36 yuan / catty; Hebei Tangshan City, Yutian County, glutinous corn 1.1 yuan / catty; Harbin City, Heilongjiang Province, Pingfang District, glutinous corn 1.5 yuan / catty; Jiangsu Yancheng City, Dongtai City, glutinous corn 1.1 yuan / catty; Guizhou Guizhou Qiannanbuyi and Miao Autonomous Prefecture, Rodian County, glutinous corn 2.2 yuan / catty, etc..

What are the reasons for the recent decline in corn prices? 1, the temperature rise

The last wave of snowfall weather brought about by the rising influence of corn has been insufficient, the weather is gradually warming up, the tide of grain listing increased, resulting in a small drop in corn prices.

2, transportation warmed up

Currently in Shandong, there are a lot of grain in the Northeast corn, indicating that after the temperature rises, transportation also began to warm up. Traffic has become smooth, farmers are reluctant to sell the psychological weakening of the grassroots transportation increased, making the amount of corn listed increased. As a result, companies have also begun to press prices.

3, storage difficulty

This winter, rain and snow more weather, corn harvested, moisture content is high, the natural air drying speed is very slow, because of the lack of good weather. In addition, coal prices continue to rise, even if the drying relative to the previous cost has increased a lot. In this case, corn storage is more difficult, in order to avoid corn spoilage, farmers can only be forced out of grain. And these tide grain is obviously not the most wanted by the enterprise quality grain, unless the price is very low.

4, the pressure of imported substitutes

While the number of corn imports compared to previous years is a reduction in the number of domestic corn is not a big impact, but it is difficult to ignore. In addition, driven by cost advantages, barley as one of the alternatives to corn more favored by domestic grain enterprises, subsequent imports are expected to continue to increase, or a certain impact on the corn market.

December corn can still rise? How about the subsequent trend?

From the point of view of the current corn market situation, the decline in corn prices is still mainly due to the increase in the listing, such as Shandong, the average price of its purchase has fallen to 1.421 yuan / kg. But this round of listed corn is mostly tide grain, so enterprises for tide grain acquisition enthusiasm is not high, in the case of low demand, corn in the short term is also difficult to have a rising trend.

However, according to the Central Weather Bureau news, the fourth round of cold weather will soon be followed by a new round of rain and snow process. Under normal circumstances, by the impact of widespread rain and snow, transportation will be hindered to some extent, the corn market gap or will increase, the chances of prices higher. In addition, this year's Spring Festival is relatively early, coupled with such frequent weather changes, the enterprise stocking or will be in advance, while North China is affected by the production restrictions of the Winter Olympics, stocking is also expected to advance. This has the support of the demand for corn prices also have a certain role in boosting. Therefore, into the December corn prices still have the opportunity to rise.

Overall, the subsequent trend of corn will be more shocking, this round of down period will not last too long. With the increasing amount of tide grain listing, is expected in the next few days grass-roots selling increase, while the cold weather is coming, as well as the uncertainty of the epidemic, will be corn price trends constitute good support. However, due to the current domestic corn on the volume is still in a concentrated stage, and the same as the last round of snowfall weather, the market after the weather warms up tide grain still have a tendency to focus on shipments. Therefore, it is likely that in the second half of December, the risk of centralized grain sales will probably be an early outbreak, prices do have an "avalanche" risk. Of course, the above analysis only represents personal opinion, I do not know what you think about the current stage of the corn market situation? Welcome to leave a message to discuss.