Writing an article | Writing a knife

In July, the semi-annual economic reports of major cities in China were basically completed. The total GDP of Xi 'an is 457.519 billion yuan, ranking four places ahead and rushing into the top 21. The economic growth rate ranks first among the top 111 cities with a difficult 2.8%.

in the first quarter of 2119, Xi' an once topped the list of urban GDP growth rate with 8.6%. After a lapse of five months, it regained the first place this time, but its connotation and texture are quite different.

for any city, the important engine of growth comes from investment in fixed assets. However, the same fixed investment scale will continue to be different due to different structures. In the first quarter of last year, the growth rate of fixed investment in Xi 'an reached the peak of 11.9%, but the proportion of real estate development investment also climbed to 37.4%, which was 1.3 percentage points higher than the high level in the same period of 2118. In contrast, industrial electricity consumption in Xi 'an decreased by as much as 25.5% in the current quarter.

The investment structure of quick success and instant benefit is superimposed on a series of well-known "various factors" that occurred in Xi 'an, which made Xi 'an's economic growth step into the slide after the highlight flashed in the first quarter of last year.

First of all, the growth rate of industrial and fixed investment in gauge continued to decline: the growth rate of industrial added value in gauge decreased month by month after reaching 1.2% in the first quarter of 2119, and hit a low of 6.3% from October to August. After that, it improved slightly, but the annual growth rate was 6.9%.

the growth rate of fixed investment decreased more obviously, accelerating from 11.9% month by month, but it was negative for two consecutive periods in October and October.

By the end of the year, the stall of the two major drivers had not only made Xi 'an's GDP ranking slip from 21th in 2118 to 24th, but also its economic growth rate reached a five-year low of 7% (the previous four years' growth rates were 8.2% in 2115, 8.6% in 2116, 7.7% in 2117 and 8.2% in 2118).

2119 has become a bleak year for Xi' an after "online celebrity" due to the deep-seated reasons of fixed investment and industrial stall and the well-known "various factors" behind it.

In this year's sudden epidemic, everyone thought that "this is even worse", but they didn't think that the phrase "organic in danger" was so vividly displayed in Xi 'an.

The first growth rate in the first half of this year comes from the rapid growth of industry and fixed investment. In the first half of the year, the growth rate of fixed investment in Xi 'an reached 12.8%, which was 1.2.3 percentage points higher than that in the first quarter, surpassing the high point of 1.9% last year in one fell swoop, and 5 percentage points higher than that of the second Shenzhen among the 15 sub-provincial cities. The growth rate of industrial added value also maintained at 6.2%, ranking first among 15 sub-provincial cities.

the substantial increase in the growth rate of fixed investment lies in the effective prevention and control of epidemic situation. With this premise, the 14th National Games effect next year will drive the investment in transportation, municipal infrastructure and sports, the rapid recovery of real estate investment under the psychology of home office and safety during the epidemic period, and the substantial increase of education investment under the three-year education promotion plan, which will contribute to the retaliatory rebound of Xi 'an solid investment. The recovery of industrial regulation benefited from the commissioning and production increase of several large projects such as Samsung Phase II and Longji.

in the report card of the first half of the year, what needs more efforts in the future is consumption. Xi 'an is a typical tourist city, and transportation, catering, cultural tourism and service industries are all the hardest hit areas. As a result, the total retail sales of social consumer goods in Xi 'an in the first half of the year decreased by 13.3%, ranking ninth among 15 sub-provincial cities, and belonging to the same camp as Shenyang, Changchun, Dalian and Harbin in the four northeastern cities, indicating that people's livelihood needs to be improved.

the most unexpected and unusual thing in Xi' an this time is foreign trade. As an inland development city and the main bearing place of Shaanxi Free Trade Zone, Xi 'an's dependence on foreign trade is as high as 34.8%. The slow flow of people, goods, technology and other factors around the world is bound to suffer. Unexpectedly, the Central European class, which has been laid for six years, has come to the rescue, which has also become the most typical case highlighting "organic in danger".

China-Europe train is the land transportation channel of China Unicom in Central Asia, the Middle East and Europe. On October 28th, 2113, the Chang 'an international train was launched in Xi 'an, initially once a week. After Shaanxi put forward the "three economies" with circulation as the core, there was a significant substantial improvement in quantity and quality, and the color of losing money and earning money was gradually washed away.

It was during the epidemic that I really felt the heat of "the tables are turning". Due to the blockade by sea and air, the Central European trains on land suddenly grew against the trend at the time of negative growth. From October to June, the total number of trains running in China and Europe reached 5122, up 36% year-on-year. In June, the number of trains running in a single month reached a record high of 1169. Xi' an accounted for nearly one-third of the total, with 1667 trains in the first half of the year.

according to the information released by the customs, the total import and export value of Shaanxi province in the first half of this year was 179.61 billion yuan, an increase of 3.5% over the same period last year. The total import and export value of Xi 'an was 166.112 billion yuan, up 2.8% year-on-year.

Since February, the import and export of Shaanxi Province have been growing positively for five consecutive months, in which imports have been growing steadily in double digits, and the decline of exports has been narrowed month by month, and positive growth was achieved in June. Among them, 31% of the goods and products transported are local in Shaanxi, and 71% are from other regions (since about 95% of Shaanxi's foreign trade is concentrated in Xi 'an, this data can basically be observed as Xi 'an).

Cross-border land transportation by trains can not only enable all localities to seize the only hard-won trade opportunities despite the current difficulties, but also give cities with trains in Central Europe a traction hand to improve the modern industrial system.

The movement of goods will correspondingly lead to the aggregation of capital, industry, employment and other factors. Under the circumstance that the epidemic situation has become clear for a long time, it is possible to build an international logistics center, an industrial transfer center, a humanities exchange center, a financial service center and a processing trade center around the Central European Train (Xi 'an) assembly center in the future.

This year marks the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan and the beginning of the 14th Five-Year Plan. Facing the unstable and uncertain domestic and international environment, under the guideline of "domestic and international double circulation" given by the central government a few days ago, the "double circulation" hub effect of Xi 'an linking east, west, north and south will be more prominent in the future.

A few days ago, the National Development and Reform Commission issued a central budget to invest 211 million yuan to support five cities including Zhengzhou, Chongqing, Chengdu, Xi 'an and Urumqi to carry out the demonstration project of China-Europe train assembly center, and Xi 'an received 43 million yuan.

To interpret the economic development of a tens of millions-level city, although the outbreak of the China-Europe train on Chang 'an is a glimpse of the leopard in the epidemic, it also indicates a signal: when those well-known "various factors" tend to disappear and the domestic and international double cycle is started, as long as Xi 'an stops fooling around, it is highly probable that luck will change because of its unique position and resource endowment.