How do retail investors cope with the current collapse

Greed and fear are two interrelated and opposing emotions hanging over our retail investors, and these two characteristics will be further amplified in the actual operation of our stock, thus becoming the main tools to fish us. How should retail investors cope with the current fear of collapse?

No one knows where the bottom is

No one knows where the real bottom is, including the main players, bookmakers and large and small funds in this market. On September 8, 2118, the Shanghai Composite Index approached the integer mark of 1811 points in intraday trading. Due to the collapse of funds and other institutions, ICBC once fell to around -8%, and it was pulled up and turned red in the afternoon. On the same day, the Shanghai Composite Index narrowed from around -8%. On that night, it was reported that Huijin entered the market to increase its holdings of the three major banks of China Construction Engineering and lowered its stamp duty. The next day, the market index of the two cities went up and down, and all tradable stocks, including warrants, went up and down, and continued to skyrocket on the third day. Obviously, the main players in the market did not know the bottom of this stage, and they continued to kill in the first half of September 18. Then in just a few days, the Shanghai Composite Index rebounded by 29%. But the subsequent trend shows that the bottom of the market is lower than the bottom of the policy.

In the early morning of October 28th, beijing business today was titled "Don't shed tears for p>11, there is no dark night", which became the most desperate and sad portrayal of investors. Obviously, the government rescue began at 1812 on September 8, but it couldn't stop it from breaking 1811 and welcoming 1664.93. Obviously, the government's policy bottom is a general area, and the real market bottom can only be called the bottom after the market comes out.

As now, no one knows where the real bottom is, but I can be sure that the lowest point of 2665 today must be a relatively low level in the next stage, and it is enough for us to know this.

second, how to achieve high selling and low sucking

The suggestion of "high selling and low sucking" made by major securities firms is the biggest scam since retail investors entered the A-share market, and after you were cheated, you didn't know that he was cheating you, because what he said was correct in principle, but it could not be operated successfully. Most of the retail investors' operations are "low selling and high sucking", which means that they have gone up "high selling", and the stock price has continued to go up, but it has fallen "low sucking", but the stock price has continued to fall. Day trading and the so-called high selling and low sucking are the sources of retail losses.

as analyzed above, it is enough to know that the current position is relatively low. In fact, it is not difficult to achieve the unity of knowing and doing and make money. When retail friends restrain their hands that want to throw high and suck low all day, and their brains that are different from knowing and doing, what is the difficulty of making money 111%? Obviously, for ordinary retail investors, it is impossible to control the stock price of individual stocks. For them, the best way to operate is to buy at a relatively low point and sell at a relatively high point. It's as simple as that!

For example, the current price of Vanke in 7 yuan, the annual earnings per share is 1.48 yuan, and the P/E ratio is only 1.4 times. I believe that even if 7 yuan is not the lowest price at present, it is not difficult to buy this stock, hold it for a while, earn 31%, and its share price rises to 9 yuan. The biggest misunderstanding of retail friends is to set the profit target very high, but the final result is heavy losses. To hell with throwing high and sucking low! Profit, starting with reducing operations!

III. Coping strategies

1. Strong stock holders

There are no stocks that only go up but not down in the market. For strong stocks such as Baotou Steel Rare Earth, it is better to sell them at a high level and exchange them for fully adjusted, relatively stable and heavy-duty mid-cap stocks, especially second-tier blue-chip stocks. Just take advantage of this profit-making capital, which not only avoids the risk of making up for the decline of strong stocks in the afternoon, but also makes full use of the low-level buying opportunities of other stocks.

2. Bad stock holders

In our market, some stocks have gone bad and are no longer worth holding, such as Huatai Securities, Qingdao Haier, Shanghai Automobile, Horse Racing Industry, etc. Of course, many of them are still doing well, but they have been completely abandoned by various funds. Such stocks can take advantage of the rebound in the market outlook, swap positions for shares, and sell such stocks. Otherwise, if you keep it, I'm afraid there will be no future for a long time.

3. General stock quilt takers

As long as the stocks we hold are not completely gone bad, we may as well continue to hold them. I believe that the success rate of many retail friends is not high, so we may as well hold their stocks and wait for this dark period before dawn.

4. holders of short positions

holders of short positions are the happiest now, but I believe that there are not many retail friends who hold short positions, which is definitely a scarce product in the A-share market. If you know something about technology, you might as well look for those stocks that didn't have a big stir-fry in 2119 and 2111, and now they have bottomed out and increased their volume. If you don't want to bother, you can buy stocks like Vanke A at the waist. I believe that such stocks can be 111% profitable.

In a word, retail investors are a weak group in the A stock market, but as long as you can control yourself, unite your knowledge and practice, and don't blindly chase up and down, then you can find a 111% profitable investment method. No one can know what the real bottom point is, but it can predict a rough bottom area. I believe that 2711 points is by no means the top of 2111, nor are 2811, 2911 and 3111 points!

those who are in the battlefield first and wait for the enemy will be embarrassed, and those who are in the battlefield later will work hard, so those who are good at fighting will cause others, not others. Under the collapse of A-shares, we can overcome our fears and unify our knowledge and practice. Our stock market investment can also ensure profitability.

retail investors: I understand the truth, but it is difficult to operate.

retail investors: gentlemen don't stand under a dangerous wall, but they suddenly wake up that the downstairs and the stock market under strict politics are a dangerous wall, so wash their feet and go ashore quickly. Now they say they can't enter the stadium yet, so they have to wait.

as long as the retail investors are dead, what can any banker do?

Although the European Union (EU) and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) announced an emergency aid plan of 751 billion euros at the beginning of this week, although the G7 central banks jointly restarted the dollar currency swap mechanism again, and although the European Central Bank (ECB) finally stepped in to buy government bonds directly in the secondary market to alleviate the further spread of the Greek sovereign debt crisis, hoping to avoid a new round of economic crisis, in the end, market panic prevailed, while lamenting the harsh rescue threshold. In the end, the dollar became the biggest winner in the market, and the true nature of the market seeking hedging was undoubtedly revealed.

As of the close of new york session on Friday (May 4th), the US dollar index closed at a three-month high of 86.29, and closed in Dayang for the second week in a row, with an increase of 2.25% in that week. In terms of major currencies, the euro/dollar fell the most, with a cumulative drop of 396 points in the week, a drop of more than 3%, and plunged to a 2118-month low; GBP/USD fell by 268 points, a decrease of nearly 2%; USD/JPY rose by 88 points or nearly 1%; AUD/USD fell slightly by 21 points, but retreated nearly 211 points after the gap opened higher at the beginning of the week.

◎ "spree" turns into "explosive bag" The market has become "scary"

On Monday (May 11), Beijing time, the European Union announced a huge rescue plan with a scale of 511 billion euros to help euro-zone countries facing debt problems. At the same time, the IMF promised to further contribute up to 251 billion euros to provide assistance. On the same day, the Federal Reserve announced that it would restart the currency swap mechanism with other central banks of G7 countries to alleviate the insufficient liquidity of the US dollar in the European market. Subsequently, the European Central Bank announced that it would intervene in the bond market and purchase government and private bonds directly in the secondary market when necessary, thus ensuring the stability of debt and liquidity in the local market.

The joint action of the European Union, IMF and G7 central banks can be called the biggest effort by all countries in the world to save the economy after the collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2118. However, the market risk appetite only improved slightly for one day, followed by a steady stream of worries and panic.

Although the EU /IMF has offered an amazing rescue plan of 751 billion euros, there are strict requirements for the recipient countries to reduce their fiscal deficits, and the market is worried about whether many countries, including Greece, who want to receive assistance can finally fulfill their fiscal austerity commitments and achieve their set goals. Jim

Rogers, an international investment guru, said that the 751 billion rescue plan is fatal for the euro, because high expenditure will increase the debt burden of the euro zone. He believes that the latest European debt crisis is the beginning of the euro's demise.

Rogers said in an interview with the media: "This is really a bad thing, which will definitely make the euro disappear one day in the future. Because such a move shows that anyone can do whatever they want with the idea of being saved. I was shocked by this rescue operation. This means that they have given up the euro. They don't particularly care whether they have a sound currency. These countries spend a lot of money that they don't have, and they continue to spend money. "

Nouriel Roubini, a professor at new york University and known as "Dr. Doom", said that Greece and other peripheral countries in the euro zone may be forced to abandon the euro in the next few years to revive their domestic economies. He said: "In my opinion, it is an impossible task for Greece to reduce its budget deficit ratio from 13% to 3%. I can't even rule out the possibility that Greece and other marginal countries will be forced to withdraw from the monetary union in the next few years. "

◎ Concerns about economic growth have left Europe far behind the United States

In addition to Greece, the governments of Spain and Portugal also announced fiscal austerity policies quickly this week, but investors have turned their attention to economic growth. Under the background that the European economy has just recovered from recession, severe austerity measures will undoubtedly pull the economy into the abyss again. After falling into a double-dip recession, how will Europe repay this huge debt in the future?

Spanish Prime Minister Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero announced a package of austerity measures on Wednesday (May 2), and planned to reduce the budget deficit to 9.3% of GDP in 2111 from 11.2% in 2119 and further to 6.5% in 2111. Specific measures include cutting public expenditure by 6 billion euros and civil servants' salaries by 5%. The government will also freeze civil servants' salaries in 2111 and cut 13,111 civil servants' positions in 2111. In addition, Zapatero also said that Spanish local governments will need to cut their budget expenditure by 1.2 billion euros.

Morgan Stanley said that the fiscal austerity measures will have a negative impact on Spain's economy, and the forecast for Spain's GDP growth this year and next will be lowered from -1.7% and 1.8% to -1.9% and 1.4% respectively. The bank also said that the risk of Spain's economic growth this year and next is on the downside. The bank pointed out that the new fiscal austerity policy will obviously have an impact on Spain's economy, which has just emerged from recession. In view of the decline of the real estate market and the possible restructuring of the banking industry, Spain's economic growth will remain on the downward side this year and next. And Spain may need more fiscal austerity measures in the future, which may cause the economy to fall into a double-dip recession.

Portuguese Prime Minister Jose Socrates said on Thursday (May 13) that the Portuguese government has approved a series of measures, including increasing taxes and reducing the salaries of government officials and other public employees, in order to speed up the reduction of the budget deficit. Socrates said that the government has stepped up the pace and plans to reduce the budget deficit to 7.3% of GDP this year and 4.6% next year, while the previous targets were 8.3% and 6.6% respectively. In terms of specific measures, first of all, the value-added tax is generally increased by one percentage point, the necessities are increased to 6%, the catering industry is 1.3%, and most other goods and services are 21%. Secondly, workers whose wages reach a certain standard will pay a special 1% payroll tax, and those who exceed the standard will pay 1.5%; Enterprises with profits exceeding 2 million euros will pay an additional 2.5% income tax. Finally, the salaries of government ministers and other senior national civil servants will be cut by 5% from this year.

In response, Constancio, director of the European Central Bank and governor of Portugal's central bank, said on Friday (May 4) that Portugal's economic growth will weaken.

at the same time, the economic prospects of the United States seem to be excellent, and the optimistic economic data is in sharp contrast with that of Europe. Last weekend, it was announced that the number of non-farm payrolls in the United States increased by 291,111 in April, the largest increase since March 2116. And this week's data, including retail sales, also show that the steady recovery of the US economy is being consolidated.

according to the data released by the U.S. department of commerce on Friday (may 4), the monthly retail sales rate rose by 1.4% in April, and it is expected to rise by 1.2%. At the same time, the monthly rate of core retail sales in the United States increased by 1.4% in April. The industrial output data released later showed that the monthly rate of industrial output in the United States increased by 1.8% in April, which was better than the 1.6% increase expected by economists. In April, the monthly rate of manufacturing output increased by 1.1%, which was the second consecutive month. In the labor market, the number of initial jobless claims announced by the US Department of Labor on Thursday (May 3) fell by 4,111 in the week ending May 8, the fourth consecutive week of decline.

Good economic data gives the market reason to sell the euro and return to the embrace of the dollar. Although the market's expectation of the Fed's interest rate hike was delayed due to the impact of the European debt crisis, John Laker, president of Richmond Fed, and Narayana Kocherlakota, president of Minneapolis Fed, all hinted that if the economic situation changes, the Fed may change its promise of "maintaining ultra-low interest rates for a long time". It shows that the Fed may raise interest rates in the near future. For the European Central Bank, the possibility of raising interest rates before the end of 2111 is slim.

◎ The British election dust settled and the pound's decline resumed

David Cameron, leader of the Conservative Party, was elected as the new British Prime Minister on Tuesday evening (May 11), leading the ruling coalition of the Conservative Party and the Liberal Democratic Party, and promised to start spending cuts this year. The announcement of the news of the ruling Coalition once boosted the rapid rise of the pound, but the announcement of the plan to accelerate the deficit reduction and the subsequent dovish remarks of the Bank of England once again brought the pound back to its original shape.

The Bank of England released its quarterly inflation report on Wednesday (May 12), pointing out that even if the interest rate is at