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After the Spring Festival, the egg price trend is "strange". What happened?

After the Spring Festival holiday, on the seventh day of the Lunar New Year, all walks of life resumed work one after another. In the domestic egg market, the purchase and sale also gradually resumed. From the market feedback, in recent days, the trend of egg prices after the opening of the market was quite "weird". On the first day after the holiday, the price of eggs met expectations, and the price dropped significantly compared with that before the holiday. However, the price of eggs fell "for a day trip" and the market showed a trend of soaring against the trend.

According to the author's understanding, in the local rural market, on the seventh day of the Lunar New Year, there was a large gathering in the local countryside. Because it was the first market after the year, residents' enthusiasm for purchasing was biased, and there were few people in the market. In the pork market, few people asked for meat, and the price of eggs dropped to 4.45 yuan/kg, which was about 1 yuan/kg lower than that before the festival. However, in the last two days, there was a fixed market in rural areas.

From the institutional quotation, at present, the price of eggs in the production and marketing market has generally risen to about 4.6 yuan/kg, and the price of eggs has been rising against the trend. From the regional quotation, at present, the price of mainstream eggs in Shandong has stabilized at about 8.95 yuan/kg, while in Hebei, Guangdong and Beijing, the price of mainstream eggs has increased by 1.1~1.2 yuan/kg, among which the price in Beijing market is 8.9 yuan/kg.

according to industry analysis, due to the centralized stocking in the downstream market during the Spring Festival on New Year's Day, the delivery of eggs was obviously accelerated. However, due to the low egg production capacity, the inventory pressure in all aspects of production and sales at the end of the year was weak! According to institutional data, there were 1.116 billion domestic laying hens at the end of last year, and the egg production capacity was weak, while the breeding cost was high. The domestic egg delivery cost price was generally around 4.35~4.4 yuan/kg!

due to the inertia of egg price after the holiday, the price of eggs in the producing area dropped to 4.35 yuan/kg, and the pressure of loss at the breeding end increased sharply, and the reluctance to sell at a very high price became stronger. In particular, after the holiday, the inventory in all aspects of market production and sales was less, and there was a certain demand for stocking in the downstream market. Especially, during the Spring Festival, the catering and short-term tourism industries recovered greatly, and some food enterprises and catering industries had the enthusiasm for centralized procurement after the holiday!

Therefore, after the festival, the production capacity of eggs at the breeding end is insufficient, and the domestic stock of laying hens remains low. However, the newly-opened laying hens are limited in scale, and the inventory in all aspects of production and sales is low. After entering the post-holiday market, the downstream demand gradually picks up and overlaps. As the Lantern Festival holiday approaches, students will return to school in an all-round way, and the market just needs to increase, some enterprises have a certain phenomenon of bargain hunting after the festival!

It can be seen that, supported by multiple favorable factors, the market fluctuated strongly after the short-term drop of egg prices after the holiday. So, whether this round of egg price increase can be sustained, personally, with the gradual completion of stocking in the downstream market before the Lantern Festival, the egg price reached a stage high point. Due to the deviation of household consumption demand, the centralized replenishment of the market came to an end, and the egg price still had the basis of high and low!

After the Spring Festival, the price trend of eggs is "weird". What happened? What do you think of this? The above is the author's personal opinion, the pictures are from the Internet, and the content is for reference only!