In the middle and late February, the winter solstice and New Year's Day are approaching. However, in the domestic agricultural products market, due to the low price of live pigs, the price of pork is gradually "reduced", and the prices of eggs, aquatic products and sheep are all "lost"! So what happened in the market? The specific analysis is coming!
First, the price of live pigs has dropped by over 31%, and the price of pork has "reduced"!
according to the analysis of pig price data, due to the mismatch between supply and demand in the staged market, the price of live pigs went down sharply. On February 8, the average price of live pigs was 17.82 yuan/kg, which was 1.18 yuan/kg lower than yesterday, and 37.12% lower than that of 28.34 yuan/kg in late October!
The price of live pigs has dropped by over 31%. In the northern and southern regions of China, the center of gravity of pig prices has fallen sharply. At present, in the northern region, pig prices are hovering in the "8 yuan era"! In the southern region, pig prices in many places have fallen below 9 yuan/kg! Affected by this round of pig price decline, the average ex-factory price of white pigs in many slaughterhouses in China has dropped by 1,111 ~ 3,111 yuan/ton, and the domestic pork price has gradually "reduced"!
It is understood that in the middle and late October, domestic pork prices were in the "first-level warning" of excessive rise. According to official sources, the pork prices rose by less than 31% year-on-year in the week from February 5 to 9, and the warning of excessive rise in domestic pork prices was lifted!
According to official sources, on February 6th, the average wholesale price of pork in China dropped to 31.13 yuan/kg, while in domestic designated slaughter enterprises, the average ex-factory price of lean-skinned pigs dropped to about 25.8 yuan/kg, which was as high as 31.57% as that on October 21th!
according to Beijing xinfadi market, on February 7th, the price of striped pigs in the wholesale market dropped to 11.75 yuan/kg, the wholesale price of front and rear buttock tips dropped to 11.5 yuan/kg, and the price of pork belly dropped to around 14~16 yuan/kg! Pork prices have fallen sharply. In particular, this round of decline in pig prices has further fermented, and there is still a basis for further decline in pork prices in the market. At that time, pork prices will fall below 15 yuan/kg in the northern and southern regions of China, and pork prices will fall back to 11~13 yuan/kg in some northern regions!
second, the price of eggs, aquatic products and sheep is "a loss"!
As the price of live pigs dropped by more than 31%, the domestic pork price gradually "dropped", and the prices of various domestic agricultural products piled up and fell, and the market showed the performance of "all losses"! The specific analysis is as follows:
Egg market: At present, the average wholesale price of eggs in the domestic production and marketing market has dropped to 5.2~5.3 yuan/kg! Although the life of residents has gradually returned to normal after the optimization of the domestic mask problem, due to the sharp increase of residents' self-protection, domestic egg consumption is still dominated by staying at home. Recently, the catering industry in large and medium-sized cities in North and South China has obviously cooled down, and the demand for ordering food and take-away by residents has further declined. However, due to the recovery of the domestic catering industry, residents' hoarding mood has declined, and the pace of taking goods in the terminal market is slow, and the consumer market has not followed up enough, and traders lack the enthusiasm for receiving goods.
In addition, due to the fall in the price of live pigs, the price of pork has gradually declined, the support of egg replacement consumption has weakened, and the downstream demand is not smooth! On the breeding side, the scale of newly-opened laying hens stopped falling and rose this month. Recently, the price of meat and poultry has fallen sharply, the enthusiasm of the breeding side to eliminate old chickens has declined, the egg production capacity has slowly picked up, and the supply pressure has gradually improved!
Therefore, due to the long and short factors, the price of eggs fluctuated downward, and the price of eggs in many places in the domestic market fell slightly. At present, the price quoted in the Beijing wholesale market fell to 5.11 yuan/kg, the Shandong market stabilized at 5.1~5.6 yuan/kg, and the Hebei market stabilized at 4.8~5.1 yuan/kg, while in the Guangdong market, the market remained at around 5.47~5.9 yuan/kg!
aquatic products market: in the domestic aquatic products market, due to the "fever reduction" of pork prices, the demand for aquatic products substitution is weakened and superimposed, and the domestic consumer market as a whole is deserted, the wholesale market is not smooth, and the shipping pressure at the aquaculture end is greater, and the prices of various domestic freshwater fish fluctuate downward!
Among them, in the grass carp market, the average price of grass carp leaving the pond in Tangkou, China is 5.7 yuan/kg, which is 4.6% lower than the increase! Grass carp market is low, on the one hand, limited by poor demand and sluggish consumer market; On the other hand, due to the arrival of the end of the year, farms and traders have a certain demand for cash, and the market supply has increased; In the carp market, the average price of carp fell by 6% this week to 4.7 yuan/kg; In the tilapia market, the price of tilapia fell by 1.1% this week, and Tangkou quoted 4.6 yuan/kg, down by 11% year-on-year.
However, in the crucian carp market, due to the decrease of supply and the increase of market demand, the market of crucian carp rose by 7.1% this week, and Tangkou quoted 8.3 yuan/Jin!
Fattening sheep market: The winter solstice solar term is approaching, and the domestic demand for mutton has entered the traditional peak season. However, due to the impact of the domestic mask problem on the economic downturn, residents' income has declined, and their purchasing power level is not as good as in previous years. At the end of the year, residents' expenses have increased, and the heat of cautious consumption has increased and superimposed. At present, the demand for catering and in-house meals in China is not smooth, and residents' dinners and group meals have been postponed actively, and the demand for mutton is bleak. At present, in the author's hometown
As the price of live pigs in the market drops by over 31%, the price of pork keeps falling, and the alternative consumption of mutton gradually declines, the domestic fattening sheep market is still bleak!
According to market feedback, at present, in Tangxian County, Hebei Province, the quotation of small-tailed Han sheep skewers has dropped to 12 yuan/kg, and that of Xinmin sheep has dropped to 12.6 yuan/kg.
In Hengshui, Hebei, the transaction price of 1.31 kg of mutton sheep is only 1.3 yuan/kg; Shandong Yanwo partial fattening sheep offer 12.1~13.3 yuan/kg; Shanxi Yuncheng 151 kg fattening sheep 13.5 yuan/kg; Anhui Huainan Hu sheep 15.5 yuan/kg; The transaction price of Shaanxi goat is 17 yuan/kg
On the whole, due to the sharp drop in the price of live pigs, the obvious loosening and superposition of pork prices, the bleak domestic consumption market and the fact that residents' purchasing power is declining, the prices of various agricultural products in the market are "all lost". Personally, in the short term, due to the frustration of demand rebound, poor consumption follow-up, and relatively loose supply performance, the prices of domestic eggs and eggs are still difficult to rebound significantly.
The price of live pigs has dropped by over 31%, the price of pork has "gone down", and the prices of eggs, aquatic products and sheep have all been lost! What do you think of this? The above is the author's personal opinion, the pictures are from the Internet, and the content is for reference only!