Setting off firecrackers during the Spring Festival is an old tradition in China for many years. In recent years, in order to protect the environment and reduce air pollution, it is forbidden to set off firecrackers everywhere. Recently, however, there is good news that firecrackers have been lifted in some areas.
Then, after three consecutive downward adjustments, the price of No.92 gasoline returns to 7 yuan, and the price of No.95 gasoline also drops to around 8 yuan, and the oil price may rise again.
Pork fell below 14 yuan.
The latest news shows that as of 65438+February 2 1 day 14:00, the average price of pork in China agricultural products wholesale market dropped by 1.7% compared with yesterday, about 13.9 yuan/kg. In fact, the decline of 65438+February 20th was even greater, reaching 2.2.
The most important reason why pork prices can fall below 14 yuan is the recovery of pig production capacity in China. It is reported that since the beginning of this year, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has held five symposiums and departmental coordination meetings for representatives of pig enterprises, demanding that the stable production and supply of pigs be effectively guaranteed.
In terms of finance, it provides peer-to-peer financial services for the pig production control base and gives discount loans to large-scale pig farms.
In June this year, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs issued the "Assessment Plan for the Regulation of Pig Production Capacity" to control the price of live pigs within the normal range and reduce the impact of the pig cycle on the pig breeding industry. After the pig price is stable, it can not only make farmers get relatively stable income, mobilize the enthusiasm of farmers, but also let residents eat pork at a relatively reasonable price.
If the recovery of pig production capacity is the basis of the decline in meat prices, then the downturn in pork consumption is the catalyst for pork price reduction.
Affected by the epidemic, many people work and live at home, and the passenger flow in supermarkets, vegetable markets, restaurants and other places has been greatly reduced, which not only affects catering consumption, but also affects residents' daily consumption.
In addition, students leave early, migrant workers return home early, and factory shutdown reduces the centralized procurement of pork.
Bacon started late under the influence of weather and ended early under the influence of epidemic situation.
The comprehensive effect of many factors leads to the current pork consumption even lower than that before the optimization of epidemic prevention and control measures.
Before the Spring Festival, the price of live pigs continued to run at a small probability, mainly because of the following logic:
1. At present, the supply of standard pigs in the market is relatively loose, the operating rate of slaughter enterprises is not high, and the price of pigs is difficult to rise.
2. There is still 20%-40% fat in some markets. As the Spring Festival approaches, there is not much time left for this part of fat.
3. The local reserve meat is continuously put in.
4. The demand for bacon can feed back the favorable situation of the Spring Festival. It is expected that the favorable situation in the Spring Festival will have limited support for pig prices.
5, the breeding end is quite reluctant to sell, but there is panic selling.
The price of live pigs continues to fall, and the price of pork is naturally easy to fall and difficult to rise. With the drop of pig price, the wholesale price of pork is expected to enter 12 yuan and 13 yuan, and the retail price of pork is expected to enter 15 yuan.
Firecrackers have been set off in some areas.
Setting off fireworks is an important tradition of China New Year. "firecrackers bid farewell to the old year", forget the unpleasantness of the previous year with firecrackers, welcome the new year with a happy mood and start a new life.
However, in recent years, in order to protect the environment, reduce air pollution and protect residents' personal and property safety, from 20 14 to now, 38 cities across the country have successively issued regulations prohibiting fireworks and firecrackers, and the previous all-night New Year's Eve is gone forever.
With the unsealing of the epidemic this year, people are eager to welcome the new year, and they are also eager to "blow up" the epidemic for three years with firecrackers, and they are eager to lift the ban on firecrackers. Some media even turned out last year's article "Fried Cold Rice", which caused a heated discussion among netizens. As can be seen in the comment area, the vast majority of netizens support the lifting of the ban on firecrackers.
It can be said that fireworks and firecrackers are allowed to be set off, which is widely expected.
The good news is that there have been the first batch of people who eat crabs this year. Dongying and Binzhou in official website clearly stated that fireworks and firecrackers can be set off during the Spring Festival, including the 23rd of the twelfth lunar month, New Year's Eve to the 5th and 15th of the first month. In addition, Ruian City, Zhejiang Province also allows local fireworks and firecrackers to be set off on the third day of the New Year.
The harmful gases produced by fireworks do pollute the air, and at the same time, they do cause waste of paper and certain dangers. However, it cannot be banned across the board because it is harmful, and ordinary people do not require permission to set off fireworks every day. As mentioned above, it is enough for these areas to allow fireworks to be set off within a specified time.
In the past three years, everyone has suffered too much pressure. The optimization of epidemic prevention and control measures this year is a new beginning. I also hope that more areas can open this hole, so that everyone can have a happy year and welcome the arrival of the new year with a better attitude.
Oil prices may rise again.
Domestic refined oil prices have been adjusted downwards for the last three times, and each time the downward adjustment is relatively large. With the downward adjustment of oil price, except Hainan and Tibet, the price of No.92 gasoline has entered the "7 yuan era" in an all-round way, and the price of No.95 gasoline has also dropped to around 8 yuan, and many low-priced areas in Xinjiang, Ningxia and Shaanxi have even entered the 7 yuan area.
However, the bad news is that in the new oil price adjustment cycle that started at 0: 00 on February 20, 65438, the international crude oil price has risen twice in a row. As of press time, Brent crude oil price rose by 0. 18 USD, reaching 80.765438 USD +0/ barrel, while WTI crude oil price rose by 0. 165438+.
Affected by this, the agency predicts that the "first tune in 2023" ushered in by 65438 on June 3 is expected to be raised by 100 yuan/ton.
The rise of international oil prices has been adjusted back, first, because the US crude oil inventories have decreased, second, because the market's expectation of oil demand has changed from pessimism to optimism, third, because the US dollar index has weakened obviously, and fourth, because the domestic epidemic prevention and control measures have been optimized, the international community is full of confidence in the growth of domestic crude oil demand.