Today, many places in Tomb-Sweeping Day are affected by epidemic prevention and control, so it is inconvenient to go out to pay homage. We will remember our ancestors in the present way and hold a candle, wishing everyone in heaven a comfortable life.

To remember our ancestors is to cherish the living better. No matter how big the storm is, there is nothing to be afraid of. Compared with life and death, everything is a trivial matter, and every "Qingming" is also warning us to know the past clearly and understand the future.

The early warning of pig price has changed its face. From the perspective of the fundamentals of both supply and demand, it is also reasonable. It is only because the pig farmers are mired in the quagmire and struggling to survive. The main reason is that students in many places have entered the "online class" and many rural markets and fairs have been closed one after another. Home has become the "helpless" choice for most people. The domestic consumer market is further depressed. Due to the influence of epidemic prevention and control, roads in some areas are severely limited, or there is a lack of transport vehicles, which makes it difficult for some pig enterprises to slaughter, and the uncertainties in market transactions are intensified, resulting in a "face change" in domestic pig prices.

According to the monitoring of the pig price system, among the 26 provinces and cities monitored today, the price of live pigs rose 3 times and fell 8 times, and the stable areas accounted for 58% of all the monitored ones. The overall pig market was in a "stable and multi-falling" trend.

according to the purchasing difficulty of slaughter enterprises, the purchasing difficulty of slaughter enterprises is still divided, the purchasing difficulty of low price still exists, the enthusiasm of pig products is average, the whole market is obviously restricted by transportation, the transportation cost is rising, the market sentiment is average, the willingness to stabilize is strong, the pig price decline of slaughter enterprises in southern China is weakened, the pig price decline of slaughter enterprises in northern China is increased, and the difficulty of selling pigs by breeding groups is still prominent.

From the aspect of pig production, according to the data of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, there were 449 million live pigs in China at the end of 2121, up by 11.5% year-on-year. These live pigs will be put on the market from October to June this year, with imported frozen pork and stored pork as backup supplements. From this, it is intuitively estimated that the supply of live pigs and pork market in the first half of the year is still sufficient, even in a relatively "surplus" stage.

From the perspective of pork consumption, you will understand why. At present, the domestic "public health" incident has a significant impact on the pig industry chain. The fresh pork in the consumer market is not smooth, many rural markets are closed, and the catering hall is stagnant, the demand for pork is sluggish. It is difficult for white pigs to get goods, the purchasing sentiment of slaughterhouses is weakened, and the willingness to lower prices is gradually emerging. At the same time, due to the prevention and control of epidemic situation, the stock of pigs in the market is constantly overstocked.

At present, the pig price is lower than that in the same period of 2119, but higher than that in the same period of 2118. Even if the pig price drops in the late warning period, there is not much room for it to fall back.

With the gradual easing of epidemic prevention and control situation in China, the market is gradually unsealed, and the purchase and sale of live pigs resume, the supply of live pigs in the market may show a short-term heavy volume. After all, with the further increase of temperature, the consumption market is even more sluggish, so the downside risk of pig prices is intensified, and the pig prices have an obvious downward trend. Due to the decline in the supply of piglets at the beginning of the year, the oversupply of live pigs is expected to ease after June, and the supply and demand of pork will turn to a basic balance, at that time.

Early warning of tomorrow's live pig price: Based on the comprehensive factor analysis of the recent pig market, early warning of tomorrow's live pig price shows a trend of "great stability and small decline".

The above interpretation of the pig market is for your reference. Welcome to exchange views on the pig market and grasp the market dynamics.