Time flies, and it entered the middle and late February. This month, the pig market continued its fundamental decline. Although the pig price strengthened briefly at the beginning of the month, due to poor consumer demand and loose supply of domestic pig sources, the pig price was hit hard! At present, the average price of live pigs in China has dropped to 17.42 yuan /kg. Compared with the end of October, in less than two months, the price of live pigs has fallen as high as 11.92 yuan/kg, and the price of live pigs has been hit hard by 38.5%, with a decline rate of nearly 41%. The domestic pig fattening profit level has collapsed, and some autotrophic pig farmers have some pressure to lose money, but for most secondary fattening cycles, it is obviously a loss!
The profit of pig slaughter has dropped sharply, and the center of gravity of pig price has obviously moved down in the north and south regions. At present, the price of pig hovers around 7.8~9 yuan/kg in the north region, and around 8~8.5 yuan/kg in most regions.
The market in the north has been bottoming out, and pig prices have fallen below the fattening cost line of some head pig enterprises. In the south, pig prices have generally fallen into the "8 yuan era", while in high-priced areas, Zhejiang, Fujian, Shanghai and Guangdong, pig prices have been sideways in the "9 yuan era".
In the traditional cured meat market, the price of pigs in Sichuan and Chongqing dropped to 8.2~8.7 yuan/kg!
The price of live pigs has continuously bottomed out, and domestic pork prices have obviously loosened. According to official sources, at present, the early warning of excessive domestic pork prices has been lifted, and pork prices have entered the stage of market price adjustment.
According to official data, the average price of pork this week was 31.71 yuan/kg from February 9 to 15, compared with 24.56 yuan/kg last year, the year-on-year increase rate of pork price dropped to 25%. At present, the average price of live pigs rose only 7.86% year-on-year. It can be seen that the price of pork has not bottomed out yet, and there is still room for further decline in the market price of meat!
According to the Xinfadi wholesale market, on February 8th, the transaction price of striped pigs in the wholesale market dropped to 11~12.5 yuan/kg, the price of front and rear buttock tips dropped to 11~12 yuan/kg, and the price of ordinary pork belly dropped to 14~17 yuan/kg. The price of pork was obviously loose, but it still exceeded residents' expectations, and the demand for pork in the market was average, especially.
Due to the sharp drop in the hog market, the price of pork is obviously loose. For example, in the egg and freshwater fish markets, the substitution ability of pork is weakened, superimposed, and the consumer market is bleak. The demand for catering and collectivization is insufficient, and the domestic egg prices and fish prices are falling back!
first, the price of eggs has generally declined, and the center of gravity of the average price has gradually dropped!
In the egg market, the theory of egg productivity is expected to pick up this month. Due to the rising mood of domestic breeding chickens in August, the number of newly-opened laying hens has increased by about 2-3% this month, and the egg productivity has improved to some extent!
In addition, this month, the domestic meat and poultry market is bleak, the price of hairy chickens has fallen sharply, and the shed price of many farms in Shandong Province has dropped to 4.2~4.3 yuan/kg. However, it is more difficult for white striped chickens to get goods in the market, the demand market is bleak, the catering industry is deserted, the price of pork has fallen, and the price of meat and poultry has fallen, which has also limited the enthusiasm of eliminating old chickens in laying hens. The domestic stock of laying hens has slowly picked up, and the market supply is relatively stable!
However, due to the slow delivery of eggs, the purchasing enthusiasm of downstream residents has dropped, and the mood of hoarding goods has declined. However, the demand for catering and collectivization is not smooth, the popularity of domestic dinners and banquets is low, and the market price of eggs is under pressure, and the price has shown a downward trend!
According to the data, at present, the price of eggs in the domestic production and marketing market tends to fluctuate weakly. The average price of eggs in the mainstream consumer market, Beijing area and wholesale market has dropped to about 5.15 yuan/kg, while the price of ordinary eggs in Shanghai market hovers at 5.6~6.9 yuan/kg, and that in Guangdong area has dropped to 5.33~5.75 yuan/kg. In the production market, in Hebei, the price of eggs fluctuated downward, and the price of eggs in farms fell to 4.73~4.95 yuan/kg.
The price of eggs in Shandong market dropped to 4.95~5.5 yuan/kg, and in Henan, the price quoted by farms was 5.15~5.55 yuan/kg.
In Northeast China, Heijiliao market, the price of eggs dropped to 4.73~5.3 yuan/kg!
second, the price of fish is low, and the market of freshwater fish is bleak!
In the domestic aquatic products market, due to the arrival of the end of the year, some farmers' demand for realizing cash has increased, and the enthusiasm of adult fish to go out of the pond has improved. However, due to the arrival of the new ten articles in China, residents in various places have a tight mentality, the consumption fever has declined, the demand for residents to travel abroad is not good, the demand for catering and group meals is limited, the wholesale market is not smooth, and the number of foreign merchants in some production areas has decreased, resulting in a certain backlog of adult fish in production areas, and the price has fluctuated downwards!
In addition, the domestic pork price is loose at a high level, and the pork price is obviously lower. The meat price in many places in the north and south has gradually fallen below 15 yuan/kg, consumer confidence has been reshaped, and the demand for substitution of low-priced freshwater fish has weakened and superimposed. Under the background of the depression of the domestic catering industry, the rebound of fish prices has been blocked, and prices have fluctuated downwards!
According to the institutional data, in the previous week, due to the loosening of masks, the market confidence improved slightly, and the price of fish showed a trend of high and low. During the week, the price of some aquatic products fell by about 5%. According to the market feedback, at present, the domestic crucian carp market rose against the trend, the key lies in less supply, improved market demand, and the increase rate remained at 7%, and the average price of Tangkou was about 8.3 yuan/kg. In the grass carp, carp and tilapia markets, the prices generally dropped by about 1.1~6%, among which, the carp market bottomed out in 4.7 yuan/kg, and the grass carp market bottomed out in 5.7 yuan/kg!
In the short term, due to the poor improvement of demand, the demand for catering and dining is limited. Although the peak consumption season comes at the end of the year, the demand gradually falls back, but the price of fish is limited, and the price will still fluctuate within a narrow range!
The price of pigs hit 38.5%, the price of pork loosened, and the price of eggs and fish fell back. What happened? What do you think of this? The above is the author's personal opinion, and the picture comes from the Internet!