2122 has come to the middle of February in a blink of an eye. With the approach of New Year's Day and Spring Festival, I believe many pig farmers are particularly looking forward to the future market trend! As the peak season of meat consumption in February, the current market has surprised many pig farmers! Since February, the price of grass-roots pigs has experienced intensive adjustment! Especially in the past few days, the pig price has started to fall in an all-round way for five consecutive days, and the pig price in many places has officially fallen below the 11 yuan mark! Compared with the pig price in October, the mainstream purchase price of grass-roots pigs has dropped by more than 1 yuan per catty!
And while the price of pigs continues to fall, the price of corn continues to rise! Pig farmers are now facing more and more market risks. Why is the price of grass-roots pigs so low during the peak season of meat consumption? What happened to the hog market this year? Is there an opportunity for domestic pig prices to rise in February? In view of the related problems of everyone's collection, Pig God of Wealth will make a detailed report for everyone! Let's talk about the specific situation together!
the price of pigs plummeted! Something big happened again? Why can't the price of pigs rise in the peak season of meat consumption? Uncover the truth of the market!
The Pig God of Wealth said: After February, the domestic pig price only rose at the beginning of the month! From February 5 to now, the turbulent market of grass-roots pig prices has been constant! According to the big data in the pig market, the mainstream purchase price of grassroots pigs is currently maintained at around 9~11 yuan per catty, and the pig price is down by 13.97%~15.13% month-on-month! At the same time that the price of pigs is experiencing a violent shock, the prices of feed raw materials such as corn and soybeans are still rising, especially the sales price of corn has approached the 3,111 yuan per ton mark! Now the pig-to-food ratio of pig farmers is only maintained at 7.37:1! This is the lowest pig-grain ratio at the grass-roots level since the fourth quarter!
in the face of the current market, I believe that many pig farmers are most concerned about when the pig price will rebound and rise. What's wrong with the pig market now? Pig God of Wealth believes that there are three market truths in February, and everyone must be clear!
market truth 1: February, the traditional peak consumption season, is not as hot as everyone imagined;
the pig god of wealth said: in recent years, the income of national families is also being challenged because of public health incidents! Especially in the winter stage every year, it is not only the key stage of public health event protection, but also the key stage of influenza prevention! Even if the temperature drop is to stimulate the meat purchase demand of national families, under the influence of the big environment, the peak season market has not reached expectations compared with previous years!
Market Truth 2: Since September, grass-roots pig farmers have shown signs of holding down prices, and now they are selling pigs;
Pig God of Wealth said: Before the beginning of the fourth quarter, some small and medium-sized retail pig farmers had already started to choose the second fattening, covering the bar and carrying the price! Everyone thinks that the market will be good in the fourth quarter of this year, but after the favorable price increase in October, the pig price in February put many small and medium-sized retail pig farmers under pressure! Now many pig farmers who have chosen to fatten twice before have started selling pig return funds!
Market Truth 3: Group pig farms are also under great pressure, and loans and year-end financial reports have an impact;
The Pig God of Wealth said: Since February, some large and medium-sized pig enterprises and collectivized pig farms have also joined the ranks of selling pigs! These enterprises and large households all have great loan pressure, especially the pig-raising listed companies, and they will also have year-end financial report pressure by the end of the year! For better funding, these companies are also choosing to sell pigs!
judging from the above three market truths, it fully shows us that the drop in the price of grass-roots pigs in February was not unreasonable, let alone without reason! Many people say that the price of pigs has fallen because of the storage of meat! However, the pig god of wealth can clearly say that even if the country puts in reserve meat, it is to make the pig price market more stable, not to suppress the pig price! I hope that pig farmers will not be influenced by false statements on the Internet. Now the country collects the pig breeding income of pig farmers very much!
now that we have found out the truth about the drop in pig prices, is it possible for pig prices to rise in February? Combined with the current market, the pig god of wealth believes that the probability of domestic pig prices rising will continue to increase after February 21! There are two main reasons!
reason: from February 21th, 1: 11, Christmas, New Year's Day and other holidays will further bring good consumption! The demand for meat procurement in catering channels continues to increase, and the price of grass-roots pigs has naturally ushered in new price increase opportunities! This is a real market-level consumption benefit!
reason 2: after the recent intensive selling of pigs, the domestic pig price has now fallen to a lower level! This will affect the pig farmers' mentality of selling pigs to a certain extent! With the end of the centralized pig selling tide, the relationship between supply and demand of pigs began in late February, which is likely to usher in a turning point change!
With the approach of New Year's Day and Spring Festival, Pig God of Wealth believes that the depressed pig market also has a chance to pick up! At this critical stage of changeable market, Pig God of Wealth implores everyone to act together, click on the bottom right corner of the article to watch, and praise the country's key agricultural products and food control policies such as pig price and food price!