At present, this kind of price increase is normal, and the state and government are constantly regulating and controlling, so that the economy can continue to develop steadily.
Reasons for the price increase in 2007:
Since the beginning of this year, the national consumer price level has exceeded 3% for three consecutive months from March to May, and it was 3.4% in May. Since July, pork prices in Beijing, Guangzhou and other places have risen again. The price problem has become one of the hot issues concerned by all walks of life.
Development and Reform Commission interprets three major reasons for rising prices.
One reason: driven by the international market price. With the continuous rise in oil prices, countries such as the United States have developed bioenergy on a large scale, and the demand for corn, soybeans and other foods has increased substantially. This has led to a sharp rise in food prices in the international market, which in turn has pushed up domestic food prices and affected the prices of major non-staple foods such as edible oil, meat, poultry, eggs and milk.
The second reason: cost push. In recent ten years, China's main agricultural products have been running at a low level. The prices of major agricultural products such as rice, wheat, corn, soybeans, rape and pigs are mostly lower than those of ten years ago, and only a few varieties are slightly higher than those of ten years ago. At the same time, however, with the increase of production materials and rural labor prices, the cost of planting and breeding has risen sharply, so the current price increase of agricultural products has obvious recovery.
The third reason: the imbalance between supply and demand structure. Since the price of live pigs fell to the bottom in the first half of last year, the number of live pigs declined, and the price of live pigs began to rise periodically in the second half of last year. The epidemic situation in some areas has also aggravated the shortage of live pigs.
Expert's opinion: raising interest rates will not help to regulate prices and curb investment.
At present, the main macro-statistical variables (such as CPI, monetary aggregate, stock index, etc.) have many defects. ), which may even distort our view of the real world. Simply taking these variables as the goal of macro-control will mostly affect the effect of macro-control, and it is difficult to get the expected effect of raising interest rates.
Price has become a hot spot. How to actively and steadily deal with price fluctuations?
First of all, we need to seriously implement the "rice bag" governor responsibility system and the "vegetable basket" mayor responsibility system, and solve the problems in the production, supply and price of grain and non-staple food in time. Second, efforts should be made to keep the prices of major industrial and agricultural means of production basically stable. Comprehensive use of export control, increase reserves, strengthen supervision and other price and financial measures to stabilize fertilizer prices. Third, it is necessary to strengthen price monitoring and analysis, timely discover problems of signs and tendencies, and prevent abnormal price fluctuations. Fourth, properly handle the impact of rising prices on the broad masses, especially low-income groups, pay attention to the timing and intensity of price reform measures, and prudently launch government price increase projects.
"As can be seen from the analysis of the causes of rising prices, inflation will not happen. The reason for the increase in food prices is the increase in food prices. The rise in food prices is related to the international energy shortage. Due to the international energy shortage, international oil prices continue to rise. In July 1 1 day, the oil price in the world market has exceeded 75 dollars per barrel. Therefore, all countries in the world, including China, are accelerating the development of corn processing ethanol industry. " "Changing grain into oil" has raised the price of grain and feed, affected the cost of raising pigs and chickens, and thus driven the price of meat, poultry and eggs.
According to the the State Council Development Research Center, the increase in pork price is also due to the cyclical adjustment of the market, because the domestic pork price was very low in the same period last year, and it dropped to 2.7 yuan/kg at the lowest, which affected the enthusiasm of farmers to raise pigs and even started to slaughter sows. Therefore, the price of pork began to rise during the Spring Festival this year, and due to the influence of the growth cycle of pigs themselves, it is expected that the price of pork will stabilize at around 10.
According to the Institute of World Economics and Politics of China Academy of Social Sciences, the rising price of meat and poultry, poultry products and eggs is the comprehensive result of the influence of pig disease, the low benefit of early breeding and the rapid increase of current breeding cost. The state has introduced an incentive policy, and the price drop is predictable. The price of eggs has dropped rapidly.
"It can be seen that there are some special and short-term reasons for the rise in food prices." On the one hand, it is affected by the increase in food prices brought by international oil prices, and on the other hand, it is affected by market cycle factors, which leads to the increase in food prices this year.
As for the price of food, it is not worth worrying about. Although it will have some impact on urban low-income people in the short term, it is easy to control the price increase because it is not due to lack of food. "Food prices will remain stable after rising to a certain extent and will not continue to rise."