The 100-city price index of the Central Reference Hospital shows that in 202 1 year and 65438+February, the average price of new houses in cities nationwide 100 was 16200 yuan/square meter, down 0.02% from the previous month. The average price of second-hand houses 1.6 million yuan/square meter, down 0.09% from the previous month.
Specific to the northeast, the average price of new houses in Harbin, Changchun and Shenyang in June and February was 9660 yuan /m2, 9265438 yuan +08 yuan /m2 and 9998 yuan /m2, respectively, with a month-on-month decrease of 0./kloc-0.2%, 0.04% and 0.42%, which were lower than the average decline of 100 cities. The prices of second-hand houses in the three provincial capitals all fell more than those of new houses.
In order to break through the barriers of the property market, many places in Northeast China have introduced policies such as housing subsidies, housing vouchers and support for the promotion of housing enterprises, with a view to supporting reasonable housing demand and helping the real estate market return to stability.
The real estate market is not performing well.
Recently, according to the data compiled by the National Bureau of Statistics, Yiju Research Institute found that the average transaction price of commercial housing in Heilongjiang Province decreased by 1 1 compared with the previous year, ranking first in 3 1 provinces and cities, and decreased by 10% compared with the same period in 2020. In the increase and decrease of the transaction amount of commercial housing in June before 20021year, Heilongjiang fell by 18% year-on-year, making it one of the three provinces with the largest decline.
Moreover, Heilongjiang real estate-related indicators generally faced greater downward pressure before 1 1, ranking lower among 3 1 provinces and cities. For example, the investment in real estate development and the construction area in Heilongjiang decreased by 4% and 5% respectively year-on-year, ranking second from the bottom among 3 1 provinces and cities and 1 respectively.
Harbin is the capital of Heilongjiang and the only city in Northeast China with a population of 10 million.
According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, from August to June in 20265438+1October, new houses and second-hand houses in Harbin fell continuously in April, and in June165438+1October, new houses fell by 0.7% month-on-month, making it one of the 70 cities with a decline 10. 1 1% Second-hand houses decreased 1%, ranking first among 70 cities.
The decline in house prices is only one aspect. According to the data provided by the marketing department of Yiju Harbin Company, from July to June +065438+ 10, the transaction area of commercial housing in Harbin decreased for five consecutive months, with a year-on-year decrease of 24%-56%. On the whole, the cumulative supply area, average transaction price and transaction amount of commercial housing in 202 1 Harbin are in a year-on-year decline, of which the annual transaction amount is 4 18 billion yuan, down 36% year-on-year.
Han Tao, deputy general manager of Yiju Harbin, told the reporter of 2 1 Century Business Herald that one of the factors that affected Harbin property market in 20021was the COVID-19 epidemic. By mid-February of 12, Harbin had carried out six rounds of full-time nucleic acid detection in six main urban areas.
In addition to the epidemic situation, population and industry are the deep-seated reasons that affect Harbin property market. According to the data of the seventh census, the resident population of Harbin is nearly 100 10000, which is 626,000 less than that of 20 10. From 2065438 to 2009, Harbin will definitely develop four leading industries: deep processing of green agricultural products, advanced equipment manufacturing, modern biomedicine, characteristic culture and tourism. Due to the epidemic situation in COVID-19, the characteristic culture and tourism have not performed well. Han Tao pointed out that among the people who buy houses in Harbin, many people are employed in private enterprises and service industries, and their incomes are affected and their purchasing power is reduced.
To some extent, Harbin is the epitome of Heilongjiang and even the whole northeast property market. According to the data of the seventh census, in 2020, the population of Heilongjiang, Jilin and Liaoning will be 3 1.85 million, 24.07 million and 42.59 million respectively, which are 6.46 million, 3.38 million and1.50 million lower than that of 20 10. From the perspective of industry, the growth of heavy industry and resource-based industries in Northeast China is weak, which affects economic and income growth and the purchasing power of the property market is insufficient.
Help the healthy development of the property market in many places
The poor performance of the northeast property market is further transmitted to the land market. As the pilot cities of centralized land supply in Northeast China, the annual centralized land supply transactions in Changchun and Shenyang are weak.
According to the land intelligence data of CIIC's holding account, on February 22nd, the third batch of residential land 1 1 in Changchun was auctioned, and the auction rate was over 80%. On February 24th, 65438, only 8 of the 27 plots of land supplied by Shenyang in the third batch were successfully sold, and the land auction rate exceeded 70%.
The person in charge of the Northeast regional market research of a real estate enterprise told the reporter of 2 1 Century Business Herald that as far as Shenyang is concerned, due to the large number of second-hand houses for sale, the population inflow is small, and the previous housing price rises, the Shenyang market has shown signs of cooling in 2020. 202 1 The pilot project of centralized land supply requires higher funds for housing enterprises, and the overall floor price of newly-purchased plots is higher, making it more difficult to transfer land. The third batch of centralized land-supply housing enterprises has a great financial pressure, and brand housing enterprises have reduced their land acquisition plans as a whole.
In order to boost the market, many cities and counties in the three northeastern provinces have introduced policies such as house purchase subsidies, house purchase vouchers, and support for the promotion of housing enterprises.
For example, in September, 20021year, Changchun released the processing procedures of housing subsidies and vouchers for talents and farmers, and talents and farmers purchased eligible houses at the unit prices of 50 yuan /m2 and 80 yuan /m2 respectively. Shenyang has also introduced a subsidy policy for similar talents to purchase houses for the first time.
For another example, on 202 1 and 10, Harbin distributed housing subsidies to qualified talents to purchase the first suite, with a maximum subsidy of 654.38+10,000 yuan; Housing enterprises that meet certain conditions can apply for pre-sale permit of commercial housing by building; The VAT withholding rate of ordinary standard residential land is1.5%; Relax the loan period of second-hand housing provident fund to 30 years. To promote the healthy and stable development of the real estate market in many ways.
At the provincial level, 202 1 12 Heilongjiang encourages local residents to buy houses, promotes sales and implements preferential policies. In that month, Jilin explicitly encouraged and guided counties and cities to carry out housing subsidies and loan interest subsidies, and supported farmers to buy houses in cities. According to incomplete statistics of reporters in 265438+20th Century Business Herald, there are targeted policies in Changchun, Jilin, Siping, Liaoyuan and other places in Jilin Province to introduce talents or subsidies for farmers to buy houses in cities.
Han Tao believes that the measures to boost the real estate market in Heilongjiang Province may not have a great impact in the short term, because the influencing factors are comprehensive. The above-mentioned person in charge also believes that due to the continuous outflow of population in Northeast China and poor industrial development, it is difficult for housing subsidies and other policies to achieve the expected results, or expect stronger support policies.
"As far as I know, people who receive housing subsidies to buy houses originally have housing needs. They buy a house first and then get a subsidy. Most people will not buy a house because of a small increase in subsidies. " The person in charge said.