First, the pig price has changed from a continuous increase to a substantial adjustment.
From June 65438 to June 65438, the price of pigs has been adjusted twice. On October 25th, 65438/kloc-0, the price of pigs was lowered on a large scale again, and it turned green from south to north. The decline in the north is generally above 0.4 yuan, and the decline in the south is relatively small, around 0.2 yuan.
This drastic change in pig price is enough to explain the fierce game between supply and demand in the market. On the supply side, the superior keeps putting in frozen pork reserves, which on the one hand alleviates the tight supply situation in the market, on the other hand, it also releases signals to the market to stimulate farmers to continue to produce pigs.
After the price of pigs rose above 14 yuan, the selling and raising of pigs at the breeding end became polarized, and the slaughter speed of some pig farms was obviously accelerated. Considering the current high breeding cost, some pig farms choose to wait for higher prices. Considering the overcapacity in China, there are more pig farms keeping prices down than those actively raising pigs, which is one of the reasons why pig prices are still so high due to overcapacity.
On the demand side, although the temperature in various places has dropped significantly, the price of pork is close to that in 25 yuan, and consumers are not willing to spend at this price. In addition, there is no favorable holiday consumption in the near future, and the epidemic has repeatedly affected the demand for pork at the catering end.
The demand side is obviously reduced, and the pig price is not supported enough, so it is difficult for the pig price to continue to rise.
Follow-up pig price trend, first, look at the attitude of breeding pigs, second, look at the live weight of live pigs in the market, and third, look at the delivery of white meat at the terminal.
Second, food prices have changed.
Let's start with the price of corn. Under normal circumstances, it is currently in the critical period of corn quantity. We can know from the market that the centralized listing of corn has never appeared, because the supply and demand of the corn market is not good.
On the demand side, traders and enterprises need to be cautious because of the high moisture content of corn this year, which is difficult to store for a long time.
On the supply side, corn planting cost is high and corn price is ideal this year. Grass-roots farmers have strong confidence in the follow-up price and are reluctant to sell.
At present, the price of corn can rise near the centralized listing, mainly for several reasons:
1, the breeding profit has increased substantially, feed enterprises have higher acceptance of corn prices, and the acquisition is more active, which has boosted the price.
2. Affected by the rising price of imported corn, the amount of imported corn in Hong Kong has been greatly reduced.
3. The epidemic situation affects corn transportation, and it is difficult for northeast corn to pass customs.
4. The acquisition of enterprises in Northeast China is active, boosting the price increase.
Let's talk about the price of wheat. Recently, with the improvement of the market of wheat processing by-products, the rise of international wheat prices and the reluctance of grassroots farmers to sell, domestic wheat prices have resumed their upward trend after a period of price reduction adjustment.
After the price of wheat rises, the delivery of by-products may be affected, but the demand for flour will soon take over the baton and enter the peak season of flour market demand in165438+1October, and the price of wheat is expected to rise further.
But at present, the price of wheat around 1.6 yuan has been relatively high. Considering the high yield of wheat and the loss of feed demand this year, it is difficult for wheat prices to rise sharply. Traders and farmers are advised to be cautious about the current price.
Third, there are three kinds of "marriage strange phenomena" in rural areas. What happened?
As we all know, influenced by traditional concepts such as son preference, there are more men than women in rural areas, and rural girls pursue urban life, so many rural boys can't find wives.
This leads to three strange phenomena.
1, there are more "rich women" whose fingers don't touch spring water.
Because it is difficult to marry a daughter-in-law, many families take good care of the new daughter-in-law, and the woman's family status has been greatly improved. She not only has to do manual work such as farm work, but also does not have to do housework such as washing clothes and cooking. What's more, she doesn't even have to look after the children.
2. There are more families who "flash away" after marriage.
Because there are more men than women in rural areas, even women who get married for the second time are "hot potatoes" in many places, and many men are vying for them, so they have no worries after divorce. In recent years, the phenomenon of "flash away" after marriage has become more and more prominent.
3. The bride price in rural areas is getting higher and higher.
Although farmers' income has increased in recent years, it is still at a low level compared with cities.
Even so, because there are many bachelors, it is difficult to get married, and the bride price is getting higher and higher everywhere. There are more and more new sayings about bride price, such as "moving is quiet, and silence has to be dumped" and "colorful and a little green". These new statements have brought great economic pressure to the man's family.