For a long time, domestic CNC machine tools have been in the situation of rapid expansion of low-grade, slow progress of mid-grade and dependence on imports of high-grade, especially the key equipment needed for national key projects mainly depends on imports, and the technology is subject to people. The growth of the industry needs a slow "quantitative change", and the industry is in the stage of localization of high-end products. The localization of high-end CNC in China CNC machine tool industry will not come soon.
In 2020, the market size plummeted by nearly 1/4.
20 17-20 19 the scale of CNC machine tool industry in China fluctuates greatly. In 20 18, the scale of CNC machine tool industry in China was 334.7 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 10.50%, which was slower than that in 20 17. In 20 19, the scale of CNC machine tool industry in China was 327 billion yuan, down 2.30% year-on-year. It is mainly the adjustment and upgrading of the overall demand structure of the CNC machine tool industry, and the downstream field is sluggish. Affected by the epidemic, the scale of China's CNC machine tool industry will reach 247.3 billion yuan in 2020, a year-on-year decrease of 24.37%.
Abrasive grinding tools have the largest number of related enterprises.
Statistics from the National Bureau of Statistics and China Machine Tool Association show that in 20 19, the machine tool market showed the characteristics of fluctuating contraction of total demand and adjustment and upgrading of demand structure, accompanied by the break of industry structure and balance. In the adjustment process of this change and development, industrial enterprises have made unremitting efforts to adapt to the drastic changes in the market. Some enterprises focus on their main business, deepen market demand and further improve their ability to adapt to the market. However, quite a few enterprises are caught in more and more serious operational difficulties, with serious losses and lack of funds. Some even have to reorganize or be in a state of suspension or semi-suspension, and the industry pattern has undergone major differentiation.
According to the data of China Machine Tool Association, as of June 5438+February, 2020, the composition of enterprises above designated size in China machine tool industry is as follows: the total number of enterprises is ***5720, It involves eight sub-industries: 833 metal cutting machines (accounting for 14.56%), 529 metal forming machines (accounting for 9.25%), 747 measuring instruments (accounting for 13.06%), and abrasive 2025 wood and bamboo processing machinery 127 machines (accounting for 2.5%).
Cars are the most important demand downstream of CNC airport.
Judging from the proportion of downstream consumer demand in CNC machine tool industry, automobile is the main downstream demand area, accounting for about 40% of consumption; Followed by aerospace, the consumption ratio is about17%; Mould and construction machinery are the third and fourth consumption areas of CNC machinery, accounting for about 13% and 10% respectively.
It is estimated that the market size will exceed 540 billion yuan in 2026.
As far as the prospect of market sales scale is concerned, from 2002/KLOC-0 to 2026, the automobile, the main demand field of CNC machine tools in China, will enter the adjustment period, which will affect the sales of CNC machine tools for a period of time. After the adjustment period in the downstream field, the demand for CNC machine tools will increase greatly, which will accelerate the sales growth of CNC machine tools.
In 2020, affected by the epidemic, the demand for machine tools in the downstream application market will decrease in the short term, but in the long term, due to the convenience of CNC machine tools, the demand for CNC machine tools will resume positive growth in 20021year, and it is preliminarily estimated that it will exceed 540 billion yuan in 2026.
—— The above data refer to Foresight Industry Research Institute's Market Demand Forecast and Investment Strategic Planning Analysis Report of China CNC Machine Tool Industry.