For many of our farmers, while the pig price is improving, everyone has their own expectations for the future trend.

Here, the pig god of wealth expresses my opinion that this improved increase in pig prices is difficult for domestic pig prices to rise sharply.

Judging from the current expression of the pig-grain ratio at the grass-roots level, the pig-grain ratio is still declining at the inflection point, and has now fallen to the level of 8.60: 1, which once again shows us that the pig price will face a series of important challenges at the end of 1 1.

Let's collect165438+1the trend of pig prices and food prices in late October.

What control schemes has the state formulated for pig prices and food prices? Let's talk about the specific situation together.

Since the end of June 1 1, the domestic grain and pig markets have formed different market patterns.

Compared with the sharp fluctuation of live pig prices, the overall situation of food prices is much better.

This is due to the recent acquisition of grain by deep processing enterprises such as COFCO and China Grain Storage.

Affected by public health events, the pace of autumn grain market has changed this year, and farmers are generally not in a hurry to buy grain, and they also have their own expectations for future food prices.

Judging from the consumption situation, the purchase of staple foods such as corn and soybeans in China is extremely hot, which benefits from the demand for processing and feeding.

Two days ago, COFCO organized a corn auction, and the final transaction price reached 2960 yuan per ton, which once again shows that it is not a problem for us to rush to 3000 yuan per ton this year.

For our farmers, the rise in food prices will further increase the cost of raising pigs.

Let's focus on the overall situation of pig prices.

Two days ago, the National Development and Reform Commission also made a clear statement on domestic pig prices.

In the future, we will continue to put in reserve meat to avoid excessive increase in pig prices.

Judging from the current situation of pig-grain ratio at the grass-roots level, the pig-grain ratio has been maintained at the level of 8.60: 1.

Although the price of soybean meal has dropped, the price of corn has risen, which once again puts pressure on the cost of raising pigs for farmers.

Although pig prices in some areas in the north and south remain favorable, most parts of the country have begun to usher in signs of downward shock.

Pig God of Wealth believes that1late October 165438+ has a positive boost in consumption, but it is difficult to change the fate of pig price shocks.

Especially some time ago, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs released a set of important data on the pig production capacity in China, which has explained to us that the future pig price increase lacks support.

According to the "Implementation Plan for the Regulation of Pig Productivity" formulated by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, by the end of September this year, the number of fertile sows in China had reached 43.62 million.

This data has been higher than the control target of the previous pig capacity control implementation plan.

Therefore, in the fourth quarter of this year, the supply of pork at the grass-roots level can be completely guaranteed.

Moreover, according to the monitoring of 500 markets in China by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, in the second week of 165438+ 10, the average price of pork in China was 4 1.2 yuan per kilogram, down 1. 1% from the previous month and up 51from the previous month.

It can be seen that the price of live pigs entered a continuous downward phase from June 165438+ 10.

For us farmers, I also hope that everyone can look at the current market shock more rationally.

After the recovery of the grass-roots pig price increase, the pig god thinks that there is still a high probability that the pig price will drop sharply at the bottom of 165438+ in early February.

Here, the pig god of wealth still suggests that farmers can learn to accept it as soon as possible. Since the pig price has ushered in a short-term improvement, everyone can arrange pigs to be slaughtered in an orderly manner to avoid subsequent market risks.

In 2022, as a crucial year to comprehensively promote rural revitalization, the state's regulation and control of food prices and pig prices continued to increase.

Pig God of Wealth believes that the vital interests of our farmers will also be strongly guaranteed.

Here, I still call on everyone to take action, click "Look at it" in the lower right corner of the article, and praise the national food price and pig price series control policies together.