The resurgence of Japanese classical swine fever in neighboring countries has little impact on pig prices in China. As a reference, the data of 5 markets monitored by the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs show that in the fourth week of March, the price of pork in China fell for 9 consecutive weeks, to 44.9 yuan/kg, down 2.6% from the previous month, down 22.5% from the same period last year, and down 18.7% cumulatively.

The continuous decline of pork prices in China this year is mainly due to abundant supply. According to the monitoring data of granaries in the world, the average profit per pig in China was 161.55 yuan as of March 3 this year. Driven by high breeding profits, the production capacity of pigs in China has recovered significantly and the market supply is sufficient.

By the end of February, the number of fertile sows in China was equivalent to 95% at the end of 217, and the number of live pigs in China remained above 4 million. According to the monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the number of fertile sows in China increased by 1.% in February this year, increasing for 17 consecutive months. It increased by 34.1% year-on-year, and it increased for 9 consecutive months.

In order to ensure the domestic pork supply, China continues to import pork. From January to February 221, China imported 7, tons of pork, up 26.2% year-on-year. However, in order to ensure food safety in China, the quarantine standards for meat imports are extremely strict. For example, six Australian meat enterprises have been "stopped" from exporting to China, and they have not yet re-obtained admission tickets.

At the same time, China has diversified pork imports, and Japan is not the main source of imported pork in China. The data shows that in 22, the cumulative import volume of pork in China was 4.39 million tons, up 18% year-on-year; Imported pork comes from 2 countries, including Spain, the United States, Germany, Brazil, Canada and Denmark, among which Spain, the United States, Brazil and Germany imported 96, tons, the United States imported 7, tons, the United States imported 48, tons and the United States imported 47, tons respectively.

Extended information

Reproduction of Classical Swine Fever in Nara, Japan:

According to CCTV financial report, on March 31st, a pig farm in Nara, Japan was found to have died of multiple piglets, which was confirmed to be infected with classical swine fever after testing. This is also the second outbreak of swine fever in pig farms in Nara, Japan since 1962 after a lapse of 6 years. After the outbreak, the local authorities in Nara have banned outsiders and vehicles from entering the pig farm, and immediately decided to cull all about 1,1 pigs raised in the pig farm.

The report pointed out that some infected pigs had been vaccinated with classical swine fever vaccine, and this is the fifth county-level administrative region in Japan that still broke out after being vaccinated with classical swine fever vaccine, so many voices questioned the poor effect of classical swine fever vaccine. Subsequently, the Japanese Minister of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries responded that vaccination does not mean that all pigs can be immunized, and they should not rely too much on vaccines, leading to the neglect of other epidemic prevention measures.