On August 23rd, Liaocheng, Shandong Province issued the Notice on Further Promoting the Stable and Healthy Development of the Real Estate Market in our city, proposing that the price of commodity housing should be controlled from September 1st, and the supervision of loans for real estate development projects should be strengthened.
In fact, since August, third-and fourth-tier cities, including Yiwu, Jinhua and Quzhou, have also issued policies to increase the regulation of the real estate market. In the five cities of Yinchuan, Xuzhou, Jinhua, Quanzhou and Huizhou, which were previously interviewed by the Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development, most of them were third-and fourth-tier cities, which was also considered by the market as a strong signal to regulate the sinking.
"Regulation is gradually sinking into third-and fourth-tier cities, actually because such cities are facing some new situations, especially the phenomenon of house price speculation. Therefore, similar sinking also shows that regulation is constantly refined and new problems are constantly discovered. At present, some eastern third-and fourth-tier cities do have all kinds of hype, including some key prefecture-level cities and top 1 counties. " Yan Yuejin, research director of the think tank center of Yiju Research Institute, analyzed Zhongfang. com. So, what's new in the third-and fourth-tier cities? As a result, it has attracted the attention of the regulatory authorities.
The rapidly heating property market and cities
"It is hard to find a room, and it is necessary to find a relationship when buying a house. The projects for sale are generally bundled with parking spaces and storage rooms for price increase." "The new plate is sold out in half an hour." "I started to charge 3, yuan for tea, and proposed to give priority to buying a house in full." This is not a scene of first-and second-tier cities, but a true portrayal of some third-and fourth-tier cities recently.
affected by the intensive regulation of first-and second-tier cities, the centralized land supply of key cities and the tightening of the financial end of housing enterprises, some housing enterprises have sunk to the third-and fourth-tier cities of "extra-legal land". The wave of returning home after the epidemic has led to the rapid warming of the property market in some third-and fourth-tier cities in the near future.
according to the monthly sales price index of newly-built commercial housing published by the national bureau of statistics, it is found that the price index of newly-built commercial housing and second-hand housing in Yangzhou has been rising for 17 months, the price index of second-hand housing in Bengbu has been rising for 16 months, and the price index of newly-built commercial housing and second-hand housing in Quanzhou has been rising for 15 months. In addition, the price indices of new commercial housing and second-hand housing in third-and fourth-tier cities such as Wenzhou and Jiujiang have risen for at least seven months.
from the price alone, yiwu in the Yangtze river delta region is undoubtedly a typical representative of high housing prices. According to the national housing prices, as of August 31, 221, the average price of Yiwu was 29,524 yuan/square meter, and the average price of nearly 3, yuan has far exceeded that of many second-and third-tier cities.
in quzhou, which is more than 13 kilometers away from yiwu, the property market is also showing a hot trend. Although the housing price is not as high as that in Yiwu, the local housing demand began to be released after the epidemic, and the volume and price have risen since 221. On the national house price online, the listing price of Quzhou in July 221 was 18,585 yuan/square meter, which was almost the same as that of Chengdu and Xi 'an in the same period.
According to a research report by Kerui, there are many local customers in Quzhou who have the ability to buy a house in full. "Typically, in the west part of Kecheng, it is hard to find a room in the market, and it is necessary to find a relationship when buying a house. The projects for sale are generally bundled with parking spaces and storage rooms for price increase."
Coincidentally, Changzhou Jintan property market is also hard to find a room. According to the monitoring data of Kerui, the transaction area of commercial housing in Jintan District in the first five months of 221 was 594, square meters, up 118% year-on-year and 151% compared with the same period in 219. The highest pre-sale price of Zhonghai Cuiyu Jiangnan in the whole region was sold out within half an hour of its first opening, and the image of Ganheng Contemporary House and Jiangdong Qiantang was "hard to find a room". Some projects even charge 3 thousand yuan for tea, and put forward the requirement of giving priority to buying houses in full.
On the other hand, since 22, Vanke, Wanda, Xincheng, Country Garden, China Shipping and other brand housing enterprises have intensively settled in third-and fourth-tier cities. With the intensive presence of these brand housing enterprises, the land market has also begun to heat up.
Recently, Renheng won a homestead in Jiangyin at a floor price of 15,951 yuan/square meter, becoming the new "land king with unit price". According to Kerui data, many third-and fourth-tier cities such as Nantong, Changzhou, Jinhua and Huai 'an all had centralized land auctions in July, and the transaction volume also exceeded 1 million square meters. Among them, seven double-limit homesteads launched in Changzhou City attracted many real estate enterprises including Zhonghai, Poly and Jindi to bid, and all of them finally reached the top. Prior to this, Huizhou, Quanzhou, Suqian and other cities also experienced the phenomenon of land transactions at a premium rate of over 1%. Among them, Wuhan Real Estate won a homestead in Yiwu in March with a total price of 3 billion yuan and a floor price as high as 36, yuan, setting a new record for the local soil auction.
The person in charge of a well-known brand real estate enterprise said, "The general principle of many developers' investment now is to go wherever there is a bank credit line. Their core appeal is to ensure the safety of cash flow first, not profit.
After ordinary brand housing enterprises enter the third and fourth lines, most banks will reserve loan lines for them. The battlefield of the third and fourth lines is more intense for housing enterprises. In addition to Country Garden, Evergrande and Zhongliang, this year Vanke, China Shipping, Poly, Jinmao and other real estate enterprises also quickly sank the surrounding third and fourth lines to grab land, which led to intensified competition and "involution" of the market.
Super-2 Cities Raise the Control Stick
According to the incomplete statistics of China Housing Network, nearly 2 third-and fourth-tier cities such as Foshan, Dongguan, Huizhou, Jinhua, Yiwu, Wenzhou, Jiaxing, Wuxi, Changzhou, Huzhou, Nanping, Zhenjiang, Nantong, Quzhou and Liaocheng have successively increased the relevant control policies of the real estate market this year. In addition, Zibo, Kaifeng, Zhuhai, Liuzhou, Huangshan, Huainan, Yongzhou, Xianning and other cities have further standardized the construction of corporate integrity.
on August 24th, Wenzhou ushered in the new policy of the property market. The "Notice on Further Strengthening the Sales Management of Commercial Housing" issued by the city stipulates that the land premium rate and floor price should be strictly controlled. In terms of new house sales, it is stipulated that hot real estate must adopt the public lottery method presided over by a notary public; In terms of second-hand housing, it is required to monitor the transaction price of second-hand housing in hot residential quarters.
In the same month, Yiwu also strengthened the regulation of the real estate market, further optimized the land supply, and strengthened the quality control of commercial housing. Among them, in adjusting the restrictions on the sale of houses, it is required that newly purchased new commercial houses and second-hand houses can be listed and traded after obtaining the "Property Right Certificate" for three years.
Previously, Quzhou, a fourth-tier "small mountain city" with housing prices approaching second-tier cities, also upgraded its regulation policy again. The New Deal starts from five aspects: implementing the management of restricted purchases, expanding the scope of restricted sales, strengthening tax adjustment, establishing the release mechanism of reference prices for second-hand housing transactions and standardizing the release of information on second-hand housing listings, so as to further curb the excessive rise in housing prices.
It is worth noting that under the background of "price limit", Yueyang Housing and Construction Bureau recently issued a "limit order". After the "limit order" requires the sales price of new commercial housing to be filed, the actual transaction price shall not be higher than the filing price, nor shall it be lower than 85% of the filing price. You can only apply for adjustment after 6 months, otherwise you will not be able to sign online. According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, in July, the prices of newly-built commercial housing and second-hand housing in Yueyang dropped by .7% and .6% respectively, making it a city with more declines among 7 cities.
It can be seen that after some third-and fourth-tier cities vigorously develop real estate, the local housing supply is too large, which is divorced from the actual housing demand, which leads to the pressure of destocking, which in turn leads to marketing chaos such as sharp price reduction of real estate. The regulation of the property market emphasizes "stability", and the stable and healthy development of the real estate market is the most desirable result for the management. Therefore, "anti-surge" and "anti-slump" are the future direction of real estate regulation.
in Yan yuejin's view, the continuous policy control this year has made the real estate market generally stable and good, and the phenomenon of speculation is much less. The further tightening of regulatory policies in Wenzhou, Yiwu, Quzhou and other cities can be said to be the direction of policy upgrading in some key third-and fourth-tier cities in the second half of the year. It is expected that the number of subsequent related regulatory cities in third-and fourth-tier cities will continue to increase. Especially after the "three red lines", some real estate enterprises have taken land in such cities in order to avoid the risk of land acquisition, which has led to fierce land auction, which is the content that needs active attention in subsequent regulation. At the same time, these cities also need to make efforts in land supply and other aspects to better improve the relationship between supply and demand in such cities and promote the stable and healthy development of the market.