The market of corn has been unstable. Although ups and downs are common, whether the price of corn can break through the 1.5 yuan mark recently has attracted many people's attention. In fact, the impact of corn in the market is also good. Four shocks and three advantages may be the important factors that determine the trend of corn prices.
Four shocks
1, inventory impact of wheat and rice
In fact, it is not only ordinary consumers who buy corn, but also many factories and feed processing enterprises buy corn as processing raw materials. At present, the stock of wheat and rice in China is very heavy, adding up to about 200 million tons. Many factories have bought these wheat and rice as raw materials instead of corn. This has caused the price of corn to go up, which is a great impact on the market price of corn.
2. The impact of imported corn
The number of imported corn in China has greatly increased, with a year-on-year increase of 506% in March last year alone, reaching 193. 1 10,000 tons. According to the forecast, the import of corn this year may triple that of last year. The import of corn substitutes such as sorghum and barley is also increasing. These factors are unfavorable to the corn market and one of the reasons for the decline in corn prices.
3. The impact of expanding corn planting area.
When the price of corn reached the peak, many farmers got high income, but some farmers were greedy and planted a lot of corn with the wind. In this way, the sown area of corn has been expanded and the yield has also increased greatly. The relationship between supply and demand in the market is not balanced at all. Under the strong competition, it is only a matter of time before the price of corn falls. This also tells us a truth, don't plant crops blindly, or you will suffer and lose money.
4, the impact of national policies.
When the price of corn was too high some time ago, in order to stabilize the price and balance the market, the state introduced some relevant policies to control the price of corn. These measures include reducing the amount of corn in feed, reducing the processed products with corn as raw materials, etc. These measures are undoubtedly a huge blow to the price of corn, which is not conducive to the corn market getting better again.
Second, three big benefits
1, consumption increment
As an important feed, corn is also indispensable in aquaculture. With the increase in profits of aquaculture, a large number of farmers have expanded the number of live pigs, and the production capacity has begun to recover rapidly. The development of pig breeding industry will also drive the sale of corn feed, which will not only make the market of corn better, but also raise the price of corn to some extent.
2. Global food prices are rising.
Due to the epidemic situation, climate and other reasons, the food crisis began to appear, and the global food prices rose sharply. The number of hungry people in the world has reached a new high, and the demand for food is far from enough, which is a very short state. In this case, there is an advantage for the domestic corn price, and the corn market is likely to become clear.
However, the food crisis is not a trivial matter. In the case of global food shortage, we should still cherish and protect food. And the price of corn imports will also be raised, so people's desire to buy imported corn will be greatly reduced, thus turning to buy domestic corn.
3, the expansion of production and processing
Now, with the rapid development of agricultural industrialization, the corn processing and production capacity of many factories has been improved. Driven by the development of industrialization, it needs to consume a lot of corn as raw material, so the demand for corn will rise rapidly. And the price of corn will also rise, and slowly gain a foothold in the market.
Summary:
In a word, the price and market situation of corn are unpredictable, and the four major shocks and three major benefits have certain influence on it. Coupled with the weather, market supply and demand, the psychology of both buyers and sellers, it is really difficult to judge the price trend of corn. However, no matter whether the price of corn is rising or falling, we just need to keep a rational attitude and accept it calmly.
The four major impacts on corn prices are actually only temporary and not enough to pose a big threat. However, the three major advantages may have a more important impact on it, so there are still many people who are very optimistic about the price trend of corn and predict that corn will break through the mark of 1.5 yuan. If it can rise to this level, it will undoubtedly be good news for farmers. If it can't, don't be too discouraged.