Everywhere is crowded, the market is opening, the market is opening. Before you consult, I will tell you when you buy a house. The house just needed now is so popular that it was robbed as soon as it opened. What's left now is big square meters, 160,180,220 square meters, and almost all the current properties are tied together with schools, known as Taiyuan's September 1st Primary School and Bayi.
At present, in so-called parts of Taiyuan, the starting price of houses is1.2000 yuan, and the average price ranges from1.5000 to 20000.
Second ring house price: the starting price is about 10000 yuan, and the average price ranges from 12000 yuan to 15000 yuan!
Third ring house price; As long as it is a large-scale development, the price of real estate is above 1 10,000 yuan, and as long as the local house is a house with complete five certificates, the house price is above 7,500 yuan!
Is Taiyuan's economy really so good? Why are there so many buyers? Friends around us are buying a house, buying a house, and then buying a house!
If you look at Taiyuan's economy again, the per capita disposable income is decreasing. Why do house prices skyrocket? People really can't understand the inflated bubble!
What about Taiyuan now? Poverty, investment withdrawal and despair?
Taiyuan is poor. In 20 16, the per capita disposable income of urban residents in Taiyuan was only 29,632 yuan, which was 12% lower than the national income level of 33,665,438 yuan. As the capital of a province, I believe you will be surprised that the income level of urban residents is so far from the national average.
At the same time, the population of Taiyuan has not increased. Because of Beijing's population purification, a large number of people in Sichuan and Chongqing have returned, and then Shanxi people are not willing to return at all. In 20 14, the resident population of Taiyuan was 4.3 million, and in 20 16, it was 4.34 million, with an average annual increase of 20,000, and the annual population growth rate was only 0.46%, which was just equal to the natural population growth rate of China. This means that there is no inflow of foreign population in Taiyuan.
At the same time, industrial investment is also rapidly withdrawing from Taiyuan. During the period of 1- 10 this year, the total investment in fixed assets in Taiyuan was only 80.2 billion, which was 48% lower than that of154.5 billion in the same period last year. Because this reduction is really incredible, I have checked it more than a dozen times, and I can assure you that the data quoted here is not wrong at all.
The most critical investment data, industrial investment, has basically declined continuously, from the peak of 52.6 billion in 20 13 to the shortage of10 billion this year. It is estimated that the scale of industrial investment this year is about1200 million. In the past five years, Taiyuan's industrial investment has shrunk by nearly 80%. This data trend can only be described as tragic. Crucially, the scale of real estate investment in Taiyuan has shrunk this year. 1- 10' s real estate investment is 40.4 billion, and it is expected to be around 50 billion for the whole year, which has returned to the level of 20 14, that is, the shrinkage is less than industrial investment, so the proportion of total fixed investment has increased.
There is only one reason for the sharp contraction of investment: Taiyuan's physical industry as a whole is in a state of rushing to the street. As of June this year, the loss of industrial enterprises above designated size was 44.8%( 159/355), and almost one in every two enterprises was in a loss state. I checked the news of Taiyuan industry's withdrawal. The most famous event should be Foxconn's plan to gradually close the Taiyuan factory and transfer its production capacity to Chengdu. Reflected in the data, Taiyuan's mobile phone production began to decline, falling by 20.8% from June to July this year.
Consumption data is also ugly. In the first three quarters, the total retail sales of social consumer goods in Taiyuan was129.7 billion, which was only 6.3% higher than that in the same period last year. The national growth rate is 10.4%(26.32 trillion /23.85 trillion).
Income is extremely low, investment is shrinking, enterprises are generally losing money, and consumption is sluggish. Under such circumstances, the housing price in Taiyuan is very, very cheap, and the average price in 20 16 is only 8,000 yuan. It has gone up a little this year, exceeding 9000 yuan. Among the capital cities of China, this price level is only slightly higher than Urumqi and Hohhot, ranking third from the bottom. In September this year, the Taiyuan government issued a ban on speculation, and the house was held for two years before it was allowed to be transferred. Therefore, after 10, the volume and price of the city's real estate market fell together, and the monthly transaction volume dropped from about 500,000 square meters to 200,000 square meters, and the price fell back to the prefix 8 again.
Well, as far as the housing price in Taiyuan is concerned, I can't say that there is any bubble in this housing price level, which may fall to the bottom of the provincial capital city at any time. Of course, this house price is also in line with the economic development level of Taiyuan Pujie. This is a city without any hope. No one, no money, no industry, and certainly no future.
Maybe it's true, China.
Think back carefully, the overall transformation and demolition of Taiyuan village in the city! In the past, three generations of a family lived in a big yard, but now there are at least three sets, and the funds in their relocated households are not a problem at all. According to incomplete statistics, 70% of housing prices are driven by relocated households, so housing prices have been soaring! Bian Xiao's point of view