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Liu Yonghao said that pork prices will return to normal next year. Is his words credible?
On August 28th, 2020, Liu Yonghao, the chairman of New Hope Group (the largest local feed enterprise group in China), said in an interview during the Summer Summit of Yabuli Forum that due to the influence of African swine fever and other reasons, the stock of live pigs is insufficient, and because of the eating habits of most people in China, it is unlikely that the price of pork will fall back by the end of the year. However, because the amount of people's farming is gradually increasing, the price will gradually stabilize by the middle of next year. In response to Liu Yonghao's remarks, netizens have launched discussions, and I agree with Liu Yonghao's remarks for the following reasons.

First, the increase in pork prices in China this year is due to the discovery of African swine fever in other areas after the outbreak of suspected African swine fever in Wuwu Community, Shenbei Street, Shenbei New District, Shenyang City in August 20 18, and the death of pigs infected with African swine fever was found in some areas from 18 to June 20. In order to stop the spread of swine flu, China culled10 million pigs, resulting in a continuous decline in pork production in China and the need to increase pork imports from other countries. China has purchased 24,000 tons of American pork. In the past two years, China has effectively controlled the epidemic situation of African swine fever and stored a large amount of pork.

The second reason: China encourages individuals to keep healthy pigs, and subsidizes large-scale pig farms to restore the confidence of some pig farmers, and now the profit of raising pigs is very high (each pig has a profit of more than 2,000 yuan), and people begin to breed in large quantities, which greatly increases the output of pork.

Reason 3: Not only individuals began to breed pigs, but also many capital giants began to breed and breed on a large scale. Some media reported that in July this year 16 enterprises raised 50 billion yuan to invest in the construction of pig farms (a highly standardized construction method of pig farms), and the construction of such farms was approved by the state and given a lot of financial support (the support funds were more than 3 million yuan).

Reason 4: The high demand for pork now is due to the need to purchase pork in local canteens such as schools, factories, and institutions, and the catering industry is gradually recovering. For most ordinary people, they are gradually reducing the purchase of pork and choosing to buy other meat products.

Therefore, based on the above analysis, I agree with the remarks made by Liu Yonghao, Chairman of New Hope Group, during the Summer Summit of Yabuli Forum.