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Pork prices have begun to rise. Analysis of pig and grain price trends in February!

With the beginning of February, the mainstream pig market at the grassroots level has recently begun to show the characteristics of continuous rise and fall.

Especially after the Spring Festival holiday, the mainstream purchase price of pigs at the grassroots level has begun to show an intensive recovery in recent times. However, judging from the actual performance of pig prices at the grassroots level, the current pig price is still at a low level. level.

For farmers, pig prices have begun to rise continuously. Does this mean that farmers will usher in a year of increased income from pig farming in 2023? In the future, what new changes will occur in domestic pig prices? There are two practical problems caused by the sudden change in grain prices and pig prices. I hope that the majority of medium-sized farmers can face them actively. Let's talk about the specific situations together.

According to the current mainstream purchase price of pigs at the grassroots level, the current mainstream quotations for pigs in many places across the country remain in the market range of 6 to 7 yuan per catty.

Objectively speaking, with such pig prices at a relatively low level, many farmers who previously chose secondary fattening, including some group pig farms, are facing increasing pressure to lose money.

According to the current big data of the grassroots pig market, the mainstream price of pigs at the grassroots level has remained at 13.50~14.27 yuan per kilogram since February.

After successive restorative increases, the month-on-month decline in pig prices has now dropped from the original 15% to the current 8.01% to 8.41%, and the fluctuation pattern of grassroots pig prices has been improved.

However, the prices of corn, soybean meal and other feed raw materials are still at a high level. The current mainstream quotation of corn remains at 2,942 yuan per ton, and the mainstream quotation of soybean meal remains at 4,980 yuan per ton.

Based on the above data, the pig-to-grain ratio at the grassroots level is now maintained at 4.85:1. The income of pig farmers continues to decline, and many farmers are facing increasing cash flow. pressure.

However, judging from the current momentum of continuous rises in grass-roots pig prices, domestic pig prices will most likely be in a favorable recovery stage at least in mid-to-early February.

According to the relevant regulatory measures formulated by the National Development and Reform Commission, once the pig-to-grain ratio falls below 5:1 for one consecutive week, the country will launch a new round of reserve purchases to promote the return of pig prices at the grassroots level as soon as possible. to a reasonable range.

So this also fully shows that we are likely to start the purchase and storage regulation of reserve meat in the future, further alleviating the pig raising pressure on farmers.

Compared with the market pattern of grass-roots pig prices, grain prices have also ushered in a new round of market changes since the beginning of February.

Corn and soybean prices in Shandong, North China, Northeast China and other places have shown continuous fluctuations. In particular, corn in Shandong and North China has experienced sharp declines, which has once again made many farmers extremely anxious.

Zhu Caishen believes that the corn shock pattern across the country has been effectively improved.

After successive shocks and fluctuations, the grain sales of grain holders began to slow down, and the grain sales of farmers also ushered in some changes.

As the scale of autumn grain entering the market continues to decline, it is believed that the fluctuating corn prices may see a certain degree of improvement in mid-to-early February.

Based on the above market situation, pig prices and grain prices will usher in a series of favorable changes in mid-to-early February.

But for us breeders, there are two practical problems that we have to face. Below, Pig Wealth God will give you a detailed analysis.

Realistic Problem 1: From February until now, no matter how the grass-roots pig prices fluctuate, it is an indisputable fact that the actual price of live pigs is currently at a low level.

The cost of raising pigs faced by farmers has always remained at a high level.

So farmers must be vigilant at present. The high cost of raising pigs may further cause individual farmers to face the real problem of cash flow rupture.

Furthermore, under the influence of successive fluctuations in pig prices at the grassroots level, most farmers have already faced losses in their pig breeding income, and everyone must remain fully vigilant.

Realistic Problem 2: With the arrival of the Beginning of Spring, spring plowing preparations for the new year will be officially launched across the country. Weather changes are also closely related to the actual income of many farmers.

For grain farmers who have not yet sold their grain, if the weather conditions are not good, the grain will face the risk of mildew.

Especially with the arrival of spring, temperatures in many areas have begun to enter a stage of steady recovery.

Comprehensive changes in temperature will further exacerbate the risks of grain storage in individual areas, so we hope that everyone can sell grain in an orderly manner based on their own grain storage conditions.

As the key year for comprehensively promoting rural revitalization, 2023, the Pig God of Wealth, urges all farmer brothers to take action. Click on the button in the lower right corner of the article to watch together for the upcoming rebound and upward trend in pig and grain prices. Give it a thumbs up.