Friends who are concerned about the price of agricultural products should know that the price of domestic live pigs has skyrocketed in recent days. You know the price of basic pigs is only over 6 yuan. Now the average price in 0.5 yuan has gone up by one day, and the area with the biggest increase has gone up by one day. After this round of increase, the pig prices in Shanghai, Zhejiang, Fujian, Guangdong and Hainan all exceeded 8. In addition, the prices in Guangxi, Shandong, Beijing, Tianjin, Jiangsu, Jiangxi, Hunan, Chongqing, Sichuan and other places also rose above 7.5 yuan. At present, this price can be basically guaranteed for some pig farms that are self-supporting and have satisfactory production results.
The main reasons for this round of hog price inflation are as follows: 1. The boosting effect of the policy is reflected in the terminal market. 2. Although pork consumption is not ideal, affected by the epidemic, it is difficult for pigs in the north to go south, and the supply of pork is unbalanced, pushing up the price. 3. The quantity of imported meat has been greatly reduced, with only 420,000 tons of imported meat in the first quarter. 4. Recently, the price of piglets has increased 100 yuan, and the number of live pigs has decreased for the second fattening. In addition, some pig farms supplement sows, which also reduces the number of live pigs.
There are two kinds of voices in the market for the follow-up pig price. One kind thinks that the pigs available for slaughter are still at a high level, and the increase in pig prices is only temporary and will fall in the future. Another view is that the pig price has been depressed for nearly a year, and the capacity adjustment has been basically completed. This rise is the beginning of a new round of rising cycle. The author believes that the production capacity of live pigs has indeed declined, but it may be too early to say that it is the beginning of a new round of rising cycle. Now the production capacity is at a high level, and consumption has not recovered. There is no basis for the pig price to continue to rise in the market. The pig price may fall again in May and June, but with the obvious recovery of consumption in July and August, the pig price is expected to enter a real rising cycle.
Affected by the recent rise in pig prices, pork prices have also ushered in an upward trend. At the lowest point, the national average wholesale price of pork was around 9 yuan, and now it has risen to 9. 18 yuan, up 0.9% from the previous day.
Following the rise in pork prices, the price of chicken has also risen sharply recently. The price of white striped chicken was 9. 19 yuan, up 2.6% from the previous day. The price of broilers in the market has also risen sharply. Now, the price of Shandong broilers has risen to around 4.6 yuan, the price of Northeast broilers has risen to 4.55-4.6 yuan, the price of Henan and Shaanxi broilers has risen to 4.6-4.7 yuan, and the price of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei broilers has risen to 4.6-4.7 yuan.
The biggest change in the broiler market recently is not the price of broilers, but the price of chicks. The price of chicks has risen sharply, indicating that the market has begun to accept the view of subsequent price increases, and farmers are more enthusiastic about making up the column. In addition, the price increase of chickens indicates that the market quantity of chickens is low, which also contributes to the subsequent price increase of broilers. Considering that the broiler breeding cycle is relatively short, which is greatly influenced by the price of live pigs, it is expected that the subsequent broiler prices will also rise and fall with the price of live pigs.
The latest news shows that the current mutton price is 35.07 yuan, which is the same as the previous day, and the beef price is 28.3 1 yuan, which is 0.2% lower than the previous day. Why are the prices of pork and chicken rising and the prices of beef and mutton falling?
Mainly because the domestic beef and mutton supply is relatively sufficient at present, and the terminal consumption is not ideal. The price of live pigs has been falling since June last year, but the price of cattle and sheep in China has been relatively firm, especially the price of cattle has been relatively high, which has led many pig farmers to turn to raising cattle and sheep, which has significantly increased the amount of cattle and sheep breeding in China. At present, there is a surplus of sheep, a high level of cattle and a large supply of beef and mutton. However, the consumption of beef and mutton has been hit by the sharp drop in pork prices. At present, pork 10 yuan is less than a catty, and beef and mutton are about a catty in 30 yuan. The 20th letter of the English alphabet.
Affected by the unstable international situation and tight domestic supply, the price of chemical fertilizer in China has been at a high level since the end of last year, and the price of chemical fertilizer has also risen sharply compared with before. Although the prices of agricultural materials such as chemical fertilizers have risen, the income of farmers has not increased significantly.
In order to ensure farmers' basic income from farming, at the recent press conference of the National Development and Reform Commission, experts also made a clear statement on the high price of chemical fertilizers and the supply of agricultural materials such as chemical fertilizers. At present, the present situation of chemical fertilizer in China is that the supply of nitrogen fertilizer and phosphate fertilizer is guaranteed, but potash fertilizer needs to be partially imported to meet the demand. However, under the influence of factors such as guiding potash fertilizer enterprises to increase production and putting in 1 10,000 tons of potash fertilizer reserves, the price of potash fertilizer showed a steady and declining trend.
The price of chemical fertilizer will probably continue to drop in May, because the state has made efforts in many aspects, such as promoting enterprises that have stopped production to resume production, urging energy enterprises to ensure the energy supply of chemical fertilizer enterprises, improving the transportation capacity of chemical fertilizers and raw materials, urging enterprises to put the reserved chemical fertilizers on the market as soon as possible, speeding up the circulation efficiency of chemical fertilizers, strengthening market supervision, and strictly investigating illegal activities in the chemical fertilizer market. The fundamental purpose of these is to ensure the normal supply of chemical fertilizers in China and to suppress the soaring price of chemical fertilizers.