2022 Ginger market analysis
Ginger price fluctuations have a greater impact on growers. Because of the ginger planting early capital investment is large, some ginger farmers or loan investment, for hundreds of acres of planting large households for the loss is not small. According to the current market, next year ginger planting area may be reduced.
So, the next 5 years ginger market is not necessarily very good. As the price of ginger is more expensive this year, it has led to a large number of growers planting one after another. The end result is that there is too much ginger in the market, leading to a continuous decline in the price of the market. (Only according to the current market analysis, not as a definitive judgment, whether to increase the planting area needs to be based on the local market situation to determine.)
Ginger prices and market analysis
1, the law of supply and demand dimension
First of all, Ginger prices in previous years is the rise of the law of supply and demand of the objective results. The reason why there will be seen in previous years, "ginger you army" phenomenon, the biggest reason is the whole market supply and demand problems.
From the supply point of view, in previous years, due to natural disasters and a variety of sudden conditions, lead to a problem in the supply of ginger.
But there was no change in the overall market demand at that time, and there was even a trend of rising demand. This is the root cause of the massive rise in ginger prices in previous years, when the conflict between supply and demand caused problems.
Secondly, we look at this year's ginger market, the market supply and demand for a relatively large reversal of the phenomenon.
On the one hand, because in previous years the price of ginger are rising, led to a large number of growers flocked to a large number of growers regardless of the three seven are all flocked up to plant ginger.
This often leads to a double growth pattern of ginger planting area and planting production, this pattern will inevitably lead to a bumper harvest of ginger.
On the other hand, let's look at the demand side, there would have been a lot of supply of ginger, but from a demand side perspective, the market in 2021 did not have as much demand as it did in previous years, especially with a massive reduction in exports.
The end result is that there is too much ginger in the market, leading to a steady decline in prices in the 2021 market, which is the biggest problem facing the ginger market today.
2, the long-term development of the market dimension
From the perspective of long-term market development, the current market is in fact most in need of neither large-scale price increases, nor large-scale price reductions, but rather the stabilization of market prices. This can be in 2022 can let growers can have a clear income expectations, this is a reasonable market.
So, the most important thing to do for ginger planting is to carry out effective regulation of the market. Let each ginger consumers can use a reasonable price to buy ginger, this is the current ginger market is the most needed thing.
The trend of ginger planting costs in the next 5 years
This year's ginger growers, really mixed feelings. The happy part is due to increased management levels and overall inputs. This year, the average cost price per acre of ginger farmers in about 13,000 yuan (fertilizer, pesticides, ginger seeds, packages of land, drip tube facilities, etc.) high yield.
The sad thing is that this year's market is poor, many ginger farmers still have a lot of ginger in the hands of the unsold, and this year, the expansion of planting, the family does not have land to go to hundreds of miles of outsourcing to plant. Last year, an acre of land rent of 1000 yuan, this year has risen to about 1500 yuan, ginger prices have been low into the cost price.
The current market, green seedling price at 0.50 - 0.60 yuan / kg (excluding labor), ginger farmers generally reflect this year's production increased a lot.
For example, this year many mu can reach 13,000 pounds of mud ginger, then the remaining is just 6500 yuan, ginger farmers will reach a loss of 50%. Caused by the situation of abundant production but not harvest.