From the breeding end, although the feed price has dropped in recent days, the breeding cost will still be at a high level due to the continuous increase of corn price, which means that the supply of live pigs in May 438+February in early June will be significantly lower than that in June165438+1October.

From the demand side, the recent wave of cooling will cause the average temperature in many areas to drop above 10℃, and the temperature in various places will turn from warm to cold, which will not only stimulate the start of bacon in the south, but also stimulate the increase of pork consumption in the north and south. Even affected by the epidemic, pork consumption is still expected to usher in a greater growth.

Based on comprehensive analysis, it is expected that the pig price will continue to rise weakly in the first half of June from 5438 to February. However, in the middle and late period, the amount of pigs slaughtered increased again, the demand for superimposed cured meat ended one after another, and the price of pigs was likely to fall again.

1 1 Reasons for the increase in pig prices at the end of the year:

After entering the end of 1 1, the price of live pigs in the last two days has been "two consecutive rises", making the price of live pigs in 1 1 a perfect ending in imperfection. 165438+1October 30, except Hainan, Guangdong, Chongqing and Fujian, all other regions rose. There are three main logics for the rise in pig prices in the last two days:

1. Recently, the temperature in the north and south has dropped greatly, and the price of pork is at a relatively low level due to the cooling. Curing has started one after another.

2. After early consumption, the stock of big pigs in the market is decreasing day by day, and the price of big pigs begins to rise, which drives the price of standard pigs.

3. With the drop of pig price, the profit of self-breeding pig farm has shrunk greatly, and the second fattening pig farm has turned from profit to loss. In order to reduce losses, some pig farms stopped selling pigs and waited for the market outlook.