"This is a classic line from Zhao Benshan's skit "Yesterday, Today, Tomorrow", but it is still relevant and appropriate today.
And the most attention is the grain market, the domestic three staple grains in the corn, wheat prices have now broken through our knowledge, "hanging" type of substantial increases, while the price of rice appears to be extraordinarily "eclipsed", why the rice! The price does not rise, 2022 rice can also rise?
Below we start to say corn, water wheat "yesterday and today"
First of all, to say corn, because the rise and fall of the price of corn determines the development trend of wheat, but also determines the price of rice.
From the beginning of 2020, corn prices have risen signs, due to the critical reserve has not been canceled, we are still stuck in the corn market perception of the corn market, I'll collect, you need to point in time I'm going to sell the old thinking, some people see a business opportunity, a large number of bidding ahead of time to auction the high-priced corn, the market at that time, many people are "shocked! ", shoot so high corn can be sold out?
Results - the second year, that is, 2021, the critical reserve abolished, corn officially entered the market, the price of the rise and fall by the supply and demand decisions, corn prices as if wearing a rocket suit straight line up, exceeded the 3000 yuan mark, the early auction of high-priced corn traders all earned "Ditch barbaric trench flat" until the "Thor's hammer" of aged wheat also let the corn prices came to an abrupt end, although stopped the pace of the rise, but the three major staple foods in the price of corn opened a new price chapter.
Large quantities of stale wheat flooded the entire market instead of corn, and at the same time, due to the excess of wheat after the 2021 rains, countless wheat into the feed business, the preciousness of good wheat has not yet appeared, and turn the eye to 2022, the price of wheat in March before it seemed so "eye-catching", and suddenly the price of wheat has been reduced by the price of corn. An "international situation" changed the "fate" of wheat, so that wheat prices gorgeous turn, but also let the market everyone is "shocked", in fact, there is nothing to be surprised about. Just now, I said, the good wheat treasure did not show up, and now has been fully revealed.
And at this time the high price of wheat is also difficult to enter the corn market, due to the corn has led to the rise in wheat prices.
Rice "yesterday"
After finishing the wheat, we have to talk about today's main event - rice, rice has been silent for many years, I have to say, his "despondency "by three direct reasons: first of all, rice is a ration, the rate of increase will affect people's livelihoods, and secondly, rice stocks are large, or supply exceeds demand, if the same as wheat, then the price of rice will also "catch up".
The third point is the relative excess capacity, we must know that now planting rice farmers have been very painful, now rice prices are low, planting a year to lose a year ago, which is also the first few years of planting rice to make money, resulting in a "swarm" of planting lead to excess capacity, so rice prices can only watch corn, wheat up! The market of the day.
There is really no chance of price increases in rice? Non-also
Wait a moment, we also have to go back to say corn, we must know that my domestic corn has always been a tight balance of the state, every year is still missing so much, need to use imports, barley, brown rice, DDGS, etc. to replace the wheat has not been able to replace the rest of the burden is given to the rice, so this year's aging rice is the main event is to replace, if the corn, wheat again a substantial If corn and wheat rise sharply again, then rice will have to replace a large number of anyway, depending on how much the number of replacements.
If the 2022 aged rice replacement of too much, then 2023 is the rice of the "turnaround year", and vice versa if the replacement of less, then 2024 is also to the rice of the big rise in time, or else it will affect the enthusiasm of rice growers.
In the last two days the price of rice also appeared to change: COFCO Rice Hulin began to buy 2021 rice, the price of 1.32 yuan / catty; COFCO Rice Shenyang to buy 2021 rice, the price of 1.43 yuan / catty; this is obviously for the price of rice to make the padding, a lot of traders are also optimistic about rice, are ready to fist-pumping to buy rice.
At the same time, the auction of aged rice is about to start in large quantities, and the reserve price of these two recent auctions has begun to rise to varying degrees.
So, backward rice prices are not likely to "stand still", late will "catch up", the most important thing is to see how much the price of corn can rise, but also determines the future of rice "tomorrow! "!
Old iron men, you think the price of rice in 2022 can rise to how much?