With the recent rise in national hog prices across the board (up more than 40%), so feed demand is also expected to usher in a rebound, while the feed price itself is expensive this year, it is expected that feed prices will continue to maintain a high level of subsequent operation.
In addition, by the crude oil market negative continued to influence the domestic soybean meal prices in turn plummeted, but even so, feed prices have not stopped.
So how much is the price of feed a catty now?2022 How is the trend in the second half of the year? The following a simple prediction and analysis.
How much is the price of feed now?
Cake meal feed (vegetable meal, soybean cake, soybean meal, cotton meal, etc.): Hebei Shijiazhuang City, Gaocheng District cake meal feed 2158.1 yuan / ton; Anhui Chuzhou City, Fengyang County cake meal feed 3300 yuan / ton; Shandong Tai'an City, Dongping County, cake meal feed 1500 yuan / ton; Zhanjiang City, Guangdong Province, hemp chapter area cake meal feed 1600 yuan / ton.
Grain feed (corn cobs, grain, pigeon grain, etc.): Anhui Fuyang City Linquan County grain feed 640 yuan / ton; Shandong Weifang City Linqu County grain feed 560 yuan / ton; Hebei Shijiazhuang City Zhengding County grain feed 1380 yuan / ton.
Straw feed (rice straw, sorghum stalks, peanut seedlings, wheat straw, corn stalks, etc.): Hebei Xingtai City Julu County straw feed 800 yuan / ton; Liaoning Panjin City Shuangtaizi District straw feed 660 yuan / ton; Shanxi Xinzhou City, Yuanping City straw feed 500 yuan / ton; Henan Zhoukou City, Taikang County straw feed 1000 yuan / ton; Sichuan Luzhou City, Lu County straw feed 420 yuan / ton.
Silage (green grass, corn silage, oat silage, cane tail silage, etc.): Inner Mongolia Hohhot City, Huimin District silage 660 yuan / ton; Hubei City, Yichang City, Zhijiang City silage 380 yuan / ton; Guangdong Huizhou City, Huicheng District silage 400 yuan / ton; Hengzhou City, Nanning City, Guangxi silage 320 yuan / ton; Xi'an City, Shaanxi Province, Lintong District silage 600 yuan / ton ; Zepu County, Kashgar, Xinjiang, silage 400 yuan / ton.
Bran feed (bread scraps, wheat bran, rice bran, oil bran, corn gluten, etc.): Shandong Yantai City Longkou City bran feed 1900 yuan / ton; Henan Puyang City Puyang County bran feed 960 yuan / ton; Chongqing Beibei District bran feed 580 yuan / ton; Yunnan Qujing City Xuanwei City bran feed 2,660 yuan / ton.
Remarks: The above feed offers are from Huinong network supply hall origin quotes wholesale offers, non-market retail prices, for reference only!
2022 second half of the feed price trend forecast and market analysis
Since June, Shandong, Sichuan, Yunnan, Guangxi, Anhui, Guangdong, Jiangxi, Fujian and other provinces, more than 100 feed enterprises have issued a price increase notice, like Haida, Tongwei, Aohua, Hengxing and other leading enterprises are included, the average rate of increase in the range of 100 yuan -600 yuan / ton.
While the feed price situation is also very simple, one is the role of pig prices to boost the second is the rising cost of raw materials, so even if the recent performance of soybean meal has continued to fall, can only offset a small part of the impact of the comprehensive view of the feed is still maintaining the upward trend.
As for the second half of 2022 the trend of feed situation, many experts have taken the position that the follow-up feed prices are less likely to fall, or stabilized at a high level.
Because the current cost of raw materials market has been the reality of the second half of the possibility of price reductions is also unlikely.
On the other hand, by the international situation, the global supply is still tight, such as the Indian government data show that this year's Indian wheat production in the main area fell to the lowest in 20 years; the U.S. Department of Agriculture also showed that the 2022 U.S. corn planting area is expected to be 3.867 million acres lower than last year.
In this case of reduced production, feed and related by-products prices are naturally easy to rise, but also to a certain extent will lead to the rise in domestic prices.
So, in summary, the second half of 2022 feed prices throughout the market trend situation is expected to be better, and the second half of the pig price also has a strong trend, for the demand side of the feed has a certain support.
And from mid-April after fattening pigs basically in the current mid- to late-June also began to successively out of the pen, the terminal or early stocking to cope with the expected consumption of feed this month or will usher in the peak.
This year there are grain to feed subsidies?
This year, there are grain to feed subsidies, but the policy requirements of each region are not the same, so the subsidy standard is also different, the specific can go to the local relevant departments to consult.
The following are the subsidy standards for grain to fodder in some areas in 2022:
1, Yushu City, Jilin Province
According to the implementation plan of the work of the grain to fodder project in Yulin City in 2022, it is required that silage maize be given a subsidy of not more than 60 yuan per ton.
2, Liupanshui City, Guizhou Province
Adopting the "build first and then supplement" approach, in which high-quality forage collection and storage subsidies of no more than 53 yuan per ton.
3, Tianshui City, Gansu Province
Tianshui City, Gansu Province in 2022 to determine the grain to feed municipal demonstration sites *** 26, subsidies *** 23.42 million yuan.
4, Huai'an County, Hebei Province
In 2022, Huai'an County plans to subsidize 76,100 tons of silage corn harvesting and storage, with a subsidy fund of 4.566 million yuan.
5, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region
For good forage and mulberry fodder, a one-time incentive will be given according to the standard of not more than 60 yuan/ton.
Overall, 2022 the second half of the feed prices are expected to continue to remain high and stable operation, farmers to "load forward", so farmers to reasonable control of farming costs.
But the good thing is that the second half of the market price of pigs will also be better, according to their own actual situation to choose the opportunity to slaughter, in order to ensure that the profit.
And for the rise of feed we do not have to worry too much, on the one hand, the domestic feed production situation is generally stable, so it is difficult to achieve a big rise; on the other hand, this year, will continue to implement the "grain to feed" policy to help you indirectly to realize the increase in income.
Finally, this feed price situation, what do you think? Welcome to leave a message to discuss.