# Pig market #
This week, the price trend of piglets is exactly the same as that of live pigs. The price of piglets rose from 40.45 yuan/kg to 4 1. 19 yuan/kg, with an overall increase of 1.8%.
# Piggy price #
According to the monitoring of a large number of live pigs, the price of live pigs today is the same as yesterday, and the price of live pigs outside the three yuan 16.35 yuan/kg; The price of piglets has dropped today. The price of piglets abroad is 40.9 1 yuan/kg, which is 0.28 yuan/kg lower than yesterday.
# Pig price #
Latest data! There are 4 1.92 million sows and 4 1.5 million pigs in China.
Recently, the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs released the latest stock data of the pig industry. The data show that at the end of May, the number of fertile sows in China was 4 1.92 million, which was 4 1 02.2% of the normal number, up 0.4% from the previous month and down 4.9% from the previous year.
In terms of pig production capacity, according to the monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the number of live pigs in China was 4150,000 at the end of May, down 0.2% from the end of April and 7.5% from the end of last year.
In fact, the peak of pig production capacity in this pig cycle was in June last year, and the maximum number of sows can reach 45.64 million. Corresponding to the pig production capacity of fertile sows 10 months later, the national pig stock declined for the first time in April, and continued to decline after May, and the pig price bottomed out.
The price of pigs has been rising for more than two months. As of June 19, the province with the highest price of ternary live pigs outside China is Guangdong Province, and today's pig price is 18.58 yuan/kg; The provinces with the lowest price of ternary live pigs outside the country are Qinghai Province and Xinjiang Autonomous Region. Today's pig price 14.83 yuan/kg.
Looking at the pig price in the table from a distance two months ago, the average price of foreign ternary live pigs was mostly11-kloc-0/3 yuan/kg, but now the average price of foreign ternary live pigs has risen to 15- 17 yuan/kg, which is an overall increase of 4 yuan.
If calculated according to the standard slaughter price of a pig, a pig should be sold near 500 yuan, which not only smoothed out the losses of previous farmers, but also made some farmers realize meager profits.
# Raise pigs #
Environmental protection, scale, non-epidemic situation, breeding cost, etc. The rise in pig prices is unstoppable!
Throughout the previous pig cycles in China, we found that the history is strikingly similar. 2013-2017-2021the trend of pig price is similar, while 20 14-20 18-2022 is basically the same.
However, in the second half of 20 14 and 20 18, the trend of pig price was first high and then low. Does this mean that the pig price will reach a high point in the third quarter of 2022?
Summarizing every previous pig cycle, the beginning of the new pig cycle is accompanied by the help of epidemic diseases, but there is no large-scale epidemic disease in the pig industry at present.
However, there are other factors, such as the expansion of environmental protection ban in recent years, the promotion of large-scale breeding, the rooting of African swine fever in China, the high cost of breeding, etc., which are the reasons for the continuous reduction of pig production capacity.
If we seek lessons from history, then the high price of pigs in 2022 is likely to appear in August-September, and the fourth quarter is generally stable, and the overall pig breeding will turn losses into profits. If farmers do not fill the column in the early stage, they can choose to fill the column appropriately. Of course, cost control is still the top priority!