But, in the hog, egg and soybean meal market, the market "anger", of which, hog prices rose for 17 consecutive days, the average price of all into the "14 yuan era.
And egg prices are also strong against the trend, after the National Day holiday consumption off-season, egg prices rose to historic highs, in terms of raw materials for feed, soybean meal quotes up to the sky, in the southeastern coast, some of the oil mills soybean meal quotes rose to 5,680 yuan / ton, then, what happened to the market? Specific analysis came!
I, aquatic prices lower!
After the National Day holiday, the domestic consumer market cooled down, north and south areas, many of the mask problem is still recurring, the regional aquatic circulation is difficult, and the domestic supply of aquatic products into the seasonal listing of the stage, the market supply and demand for strong and weak obviously, the domestic aquatic market lower!
According to the relevant organizations data monitoring shows that, at present, the general water class grass carp as well as tilapia prices continue to go down, in which the average price of grass carp ponds this week fell to 5.7 yuan / catty, ring than last week fell back 3%! Increased difficulty in market circulation and increased seasonal listing intensified the downward trend of grass carp market! Tilapia pond average price of 4.7 yuan / catty this week, down 3.1% from last week, Guangxi, Guangdong, and Yunnan region, tilapia listing increased, but, post-holiday consumption fell back, the price is mainly weak to shock! And this week, carp and crucian carp market stabilized mainly, the average price of carp out of the pond at 4.9 yuan / catty, crucian carp out of the pond average price hovering at 8.5 yuan / catty!
In the special water aquaculture, this week the average price of domestic yellow catfish price 9.8 yuan / catty, compared with last week's drop of 3.1%.
The average price of raw fish out of the pond is 12.5 yuan/catty, down 3.8%! The average price of California perch out of the pond is 13.2 yuan/catty, down 9.2% from last week! As for crustaceans, this week the average price of shrimp out of the pond at 22 yuan / catty, crab prices fell back to 39.2 yuan / catty, compared with the pre-holiday there is a significant drop, which, crab prices fell back 11.6%, in Jiangsu Xinghua part of the 3-two female crab prices fell to 80 ~ 85 yuan / catty!
Two, hogs, egg prices "angry"!
Recently, the domestic livestock and poultry farming, hogs and eggs market rebounded strongly, which, in the hog market, October 15, the domestic lean hog prices, the average price out of the pen rose to 14.04 yuan / catty, the price of hogs compared to the previous day rose 0.27 yuan, compared to the pre-holiday price increase of more than 2 yuan / catty!
Hog prices "rage", from the domestic zoning performance, the market showed a rising trend across the board, the average price of hogs generally rose in 0.3 ~ 0.4 yuan / kg or so, at present, the Northeast Bureau of hog prices surged to 14 yuan, the North China market hogs generally rose to 14 ~ 14.4 yuan / jin, and in East China, Central China, etc., the average price of hogs generally rose to 14 yuan / kg. The average price of hogs generally rose to 14~14.8 yuan/catty, the gravity of domestic hog prices rose sharply, farmers should have entered the harvest festival, but, due to the market bullish mood, recently, the domestic pig source on the amount of obviously tight!
Because the market is generally bullish on the trend of pig prices in the fourth quarter, recently, the domestic price of large pigs rose strongly, the market price difference between the standard fertilizer reached about 0.5 yuan/catty, which greatly affects the retail farm's decision-making on the fence, the retail farms to press the fence to increase the weight of the followers of the emotions, the domestic supply of pigs around 110 ~ 150 kg has decreased dramatically, superimposed on the existence of the market phenomenon of the second fattening, and further shunt the Butcher to plant pig sources, exacerbating the pressure of the tight supply of slaughterhouse, supporting the current round of pig prices "angry rise"!
But the opposite is true, the excessive rise in hog prices has caused a chain effect, the official price stabilization and supply measures continue to promote the performance of large-scale hog enterprises out of the shrinkage of the performance of the obvious improvement, feedback from the market to understand, the domestic part of the grouping of hog enterprises out of the incremental enthusiasm turned strong, the retailer market also has a certain degree of out of the enthusiasm of the abattoirs to smoothly collect the pigs of the difficulty of the weakening, which also caused the grouping of hog enterprises high price of pigs. The difficulty of pig sources out of the market, the market bidding transaction enthusiasm fall back, pig prices latent downward pressure!
And in the domestic egg market, recently, the price of eggs, "angry rise", after the National Day, the domestic production and marketing market average wholesale price of eggs generally rose more than 12%, of which, the market in the sales area of the wholesale price of eggs rose more than 6 yuan / catty, and in the retail side of the market, the price of the average egg rose to 6.5 ~ 7 yuan / catty or so!
The irrational rise in egg prices, the root cause is the lack of market capacity, production and marketing market inventory is small, due to the National Day before the egg price is high, the market focused on replenishment of the demand for deviation, the phenomenon of low inventory in the terminal market, the National Day holiday market inventory continues to be cleared, and after the holiday students back to school and factories to start, the market for the egg source to supplement the positive improvement in the enthusiasm of traders to take stock of goods to enhance the enthusiasm, but, limited by the breeding However, due to the lack of capacity at the breeding end, the inventory is small, superimposed on the cooler weather is conducive to the breeding end of the hoarding to carry the price, the difficulty of traders to take goods increased, the domestic production and marketing market egg prices rose sharply!
However, with the domestic egg prices rose to a new high stage, the market for high-priced eggs acceptance gradually turned bad, the terminal market residents alternative consumption phenomenon increased, purchasing enthusiasm fell back, and traders on-demand purchasing, resistance heated up, is expected, the egg price has the space of the high fall, but, due to the egg production capacity is difficult to release this month, the issue of more than one masks emanate from the market is still willing to replenish the stockpiles, the market is not expected. It is expected that the egg price downward space is not big, in the short term, the market still has the basis for further rushing high!
Three, soybean meal market rose over the sky!
Recently, the domestic soybean meal market, the price of "up to heaven", which, in some areas of Guangdong, the oil mills quoted up to 5680 yuan / ton, in Shandong, the local oil mills quoted up to 5380 yuan / ton, and in the Jiangsu region, the oil mills quoted up to 5420 yuan / ton
Domestic soybean meal prices rose sharply! Rising, on the one hand, due to the domestic mainstream oil mills soybean stocks are small, National Day holiday, Shandong, Jiangsu and Guangdong and other places, the mainstream oil mills, "broken beans" shutdown, soybean meal stocks hovering at a low level! And this month, the scale of soybeans into the port is small, the cost of a substantial increase in the mainstream oil mills operating at a low rate, the market tight supply of soybean meal pressure highlights;
On the other hand, the domestic demand for soybean meal performance is strong, by the market for hogs as well as the egg market sharply higher, the breeding end of the capacity expansion performance highlights, the domestic pig market, the sows in the stockpile, the newborn piglets and hogs in the stockpile increased gradually, the breeding end of the feed for the steep increase in demand. Demand for feed, in particular, the recent market pressure pen weight gain and the second fattening performance counterattack, downstream traders feed purchasing enthusiasm, feed enterprises to increase the work rate, soybean meal supply is tight, the demand side continues to heat up, supporting the current round of soybean meal market higher!
In the short term, due to the shortage of raw materials, the supply of soybean meal disadvantage will continue, the domestic soybean meal market will remain high, however, due to the high soybean meal market, the market cautious replenishment of the willingness to strengthen, some traders as well as the main body of the breeding of wait-and-see mood has become thick, it is expected that, soybean meal to further increase the space gradually weakened!
Warning! Aquatic prices are low, hogs, eggs, "angry", soybean meal up days, what happened! In this regard, how do we see it? The above is the author's personal opinion, the picture is for reference only!