Garlic prices have risen relatively quickly since March, with stockists shipping out one after another, and prices for all sizes exceeded $2 per pound in early April. As most of the cold storage rental period are over in April, storage merchants a large number of shipments, mid-April so far the price appeared a slight decline, maintained at about 2 dollars. However, with the sharp reduction in stocks, prices will rise again (they already started to rise yesterday) and reach a new high estimated at around $4/catty in mid to late May. In June around the time of the new garlic market, the price of refrigerated garlic will have a slight decline, but will not be less than 2 yuan / catty, the purchase price of new garlic will be around 1 yuan / catty. Next, the refrigerated garlic is basically shipped out, followed by the new garlic market, its trend will be similar to last year.

The above analysis is based on the premise that there are no major fluctuations in export volume and no major epidemics and no speculation. If there is a major epidemic (this possibility should not be ignored) or lobbying into the speculation, garlic prices will have a substantial increase, and the high level is difficult to predict. There are fluctuations in exports of garlic prices will also fluctuate