Recently, the British market research company IHS? Markit predicts that in 2020, the global sales of new cars will decrease by 65,438+02% compared with 2065,438+09, only 78.89 million vehicles. It is about 100000 less than the 88.83 million predicted in June+10 this year.
According to analysis and forecast, this year's situation is even more serious than the financial crisis in the United States in 2008. Compared with 2008, the world automobile production in 2009 dropped sharply from 70 million to 59 million. It is estimated that the expected annual sales of 1 100 million vehicles will be realized around 2026.
Although it is predicted that all automobile markets will drop significantly compared with last year, if divided by region, it is estimated that China's 22.3 million vehicles will drop by 10%, North America will drop by 15% to172,000 vehicles, and Europe will drop by 14% to133,000 vehicles.
Since the COVID-19 outbreak, the global automobile market has declined. The biggest factor is that in China, the world's largest market, the decline in sales volume is caused by Sino-US trade disputes, tightening emission regulations and reducing subsidies for new energy vehicles. Therefore, the China market has basically got rid of the influence of COVID-19, and the decline in sales in China market is not only due to the epidemic.
The American market mainly comes from COVID-19. At present, many car dealers in the United States have closed their doors, but they can still sell online. Although it can only alleviate the decline in sales to a great extent, the sales figures are far from making up for the decline in store sales.
In addition, according to J.D.Power's report, 24 states in the United States allow dealers to continue to sell vehicles during the epidemic. Another 23 States only allow online sales. In Pennsylvania, Kentucky and Hawaii, all forms of car sales are banned. In addition to the sales volume, the production of American cars has also been greatly affected. Many factories are still closed.
The European market has also been seriously affected, especially in developed countries such as Italy, Spain, France and Britain, where car dealers are still closed.
Since 200 1 joined the WTO, China has become a participant and an important promoter of the global economy. Even in the face of the American financial crisis in 2008, China still promoted the development of the world economy. However, due to the steady growth of China market and the COVID-19 epidemic, the global economy and automobile sales will be adversely affected.
This article comes from car home, the author of the car manufacturer, and does not represent car home's position.