First of all, the price of live pigs remains high. This can be seen from the online statistics, because after March, although the overall price of live pigs was in a weak adjustment and declined, most provinces and cities still kept the price above 17 yuan. For example, Hainan Province is still above 20 yuan, and Qinghai Province is currently the province with the lowest price in the whole region, reaching more than 15 yuan. Therefore, although it is lower than last year's peak, when the national average price exceeded 20, it is still above 15 yuan, or even above 17 yuan. Moreover, this price should continue to be maintained for some time, and there is no possibility of a substantial downward adjustment or decline in the short term.
Second, the cost of farming will increase this year. Compared with the past, if pig breeding is developed in rural areas this year, the cost will increase greatly. Because piglets are expensive now, it is normal for a piglet to sell 1200~ 1500. This was unimaginable before. /kloc-you can buy a litter of piglets for more than 0/000 yuan. However, the cost of artificial management of feed may also increase, because the epidemic situation of swine fever in Africa has not passed yet, and there is no particularly effective method. Therefore, disinfection and cleaning and protection of various details must be strengthened in daily management, and a lot of manpower, material resources and costs must be invested, with emphasis on health and epidemic prevention. Therefore, if the amount of funds is insufficient, it is really necessary to consider whether to continue farming.
Third, there is also a lot of good news about pig breeding this year. Because the price of pork has been high since last year, the main reason is that the supply of live pigs can't meet the market demand, and there is a big gap. Therefore, the main reason for this round of pig price increase is the contradiction between supply and demand. In this case, relevant departments are vigorously encouraging rural areas to develop aquaculture and actively supporting farmers to raise pigs. For example, the restrictions on the construction and planning approval of many rural pig farms have been cancelled. Provide policy subsidies and financial guarantee loans to large-scale farms to enable them to obtain stable cash flow and tide over the difficulties. For example, provide them with technical guidance and improve the conditions and technical methods of raising pigs in rural areas. Therefore, for farmers in 2020, as long as everyone has confidence, the relevant departments can also provide many preferential policies to help farmers actively expand the scale of production.
Fourth, raising pigs is not a short-term profiteering project. Many people think that it is time to make quick money now that the price of pigs is rising, but anyone who has raised pigs knows that this is a joke. If you really do this, you will only lose all your money, because agricultural cultivation and breeding is a long-term project, so you must be calm and tolerant of loneliness. You need to spend a lot of money up front, have the ability and confidence to resist risks, and make all kinds of preparations. Only in this way can we really do a good job in the pig breeding industry, so for many people who plan to enter the breeding industry, if they don't have enough technology, if they don't have enough financial support, and if they don't have long-term planning, they should join carefully.
Generally speaking, 2020 is still the rising period of the pig cycle, and the pig price will remain at a high level and will not fall in the short term. Therefore, there is still a chance to start raising pigs at this stage, but we must strengthen management and be prepared to resist all kinds of risks, reduce risks as much as possible and improve profits.