By Jinlun
Under the epidemic, China's economy is facing a huge test.
A few days ago, the chairman of the board of directors of Xibei Catering, Mr. Jia Guolong, said in an interview that the cash on Xibei's books would not last more than three months. Xibei is a star enterprise in the catering industry, and now even Xibei is facing a crisis. Looking at other industries, in addition to some of the pharmaceutical and online entertainment enterprises, are also facing unprecedented pressure.
At the same time, although the country is working together to prevent the epidemic, the situation remains dire.
This is China's critical moment, this is the survival of many enterprises at the moment, this is the struggle of the country's fortunes, this is the fate of the individual and the era of the great game, the great turbulence, how do we look at Guangdong, look at the Guangzhou-Shenzhen-Foshan-Guangzhou, look at the future?
Hugo Park Finance continues to be optimistic about Guangshen, Foshan and Dongguan, and continues to be optimistic about Guangdong.
What is Guangdong? It is the largest province in China in terms of economic output, and it is rich enough to rival the rest of the world. Last year, Guangdong's GDP was $10.7 trillion, which could rank it as the 13th largest economy in the world, surpassing the level of regional powers such as Australia, Spain, Mexico, and Saudi Arabia.
What are Guangzhou and Shenzhen? Two of China's four first-tier cities, both with populations of over 10 million and GDPs that have long since surpassed $2 trillion each, are home to a significant portion of China's best and most innovative and transformative talent.
What is Foshan and Dongguan? China's market economy of the pioneer cities and test beds: in 2019, Foshan broke the trillion, Dongguan Songshan Lake technology aircraft carrier as the core area all the way to break the wave, the realization of the gross regional product of 948,250,000,000,000 yuan, away from breaking the trillion just short of more than 500 billion yuan.
More than forty years since the opening of the reform, Guangdong has accumulated not only wealth, but also talent, systems, spirit, values, and a high degree of recognition of the market economy.
Why is Hugo Financial optimistic about Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Foshan and Dongguan? It is because of the actual operation mechanism, the high quality of the officials, and the innovative spirit and operation capability of the private economy.
What kind of city is Guangzhou? It is a cosmopolitan city that can make money and has the spirit of public ****.
Guangzhou has the first-class university resources among the mainland cities in South China, and the number of students enrolled in universities is among the highest in the country. Guangzhou has the first-class medical resources in the whole of China, and has an important mission to synergize and enhance the medical depression in the Greater Bay Area. What is more valuable is that Guangzhou's industrial structure is constantly being optimized: in 2019, the proportion of the three industries was 1.06:27.32:71.62. The value-added of the modern service industry grew by 9.3%, accounting for 67.5% of the service industry, up 1.0 percentage point from the previous year, and the service-led economy is increasingly consolidated.
Last year, Guangzhou's citywide GDP was 236.2860 billion yuan, an increase of 6.8% over the previous year at comparable prices, a growth rate of 0.6 percentage points over the previous year, and the total amount was the fourth in the country.
Guangzhou to build an international comprehensive transportation hub center only ambition, do not play false, take the data and results to speak:
Guangzhou Baiyun Airport passenger throughput last year in the Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao Greater Bay Area won the championship, a record high, the official data show that: in 2019, Guangzhou Baiyun Airport passenger throughput of 73.38 million passengers, ranked in Beijing, Shanghai After that, it pipped Hong Kong International Airport to become the largest airport in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area in terms of passenger throughput.
Past 70 million, aiming for 90 million! It is expected that by 2025, with the basic completion of the airport's Phase III expansion project and the full completion of the comprehensive transportation system in the airside economic demonstration zone, the passenger throughput of Guangzhou Baiyun Airport will reach 90 million.
In addition to the airport, the domineering Guangzhou Port is also powering up and running wild, and the world ranking continues to improve.
January-November last year, the Port of Guangzhou completed a container throughput of 21,178,300 TEUs, cargo and container throughput continue to rank among the top five ports in the world, and the ranking of the Guangzhou International Shipping Center construction rose to 16th in the world.
With the opportunity to make money and convenient transportation, the Chinese are not stupid, and will naturally choose to vote with their feet.
Guangzhou has long been in the runner-up position in the list of cities attracting inflow of people, so its popularity has always been strong: Guangzhou's metro traffic reached another record high on December 31, 2019, reaching 11,569,400 passengers. According to subway professionals: last November, the data on subway passenger traffic in major cities across the country showed that Guangzhou's subway passenger traffic on weekdays in November was 9,428,000, ranking third in the country, and passenger traffic on rest days countered weekdays by 9,480,900, ranking first in the country and surpassing Beijing and Shanghai.
This is the choice of people based on economic rationality: I want to find a relatively balanced life and work in a first-tier city, not only to make money, but also to sit in a first-tier city to enjoy the quality of the resources and all kinds of convenience.
Continuing to talk about making money: Guangzhou has a total of 180 domestic and foreign listed companies, with 20 new ones in 2019, and a total market capitalization of 2.50 trillion yuan, a record high for the annual increase.
One of the more interesting Guangzhou stories is about budget disclosure, which proves that Guangzhou people are not only low-profile, good at making money, and capable of making money, but also have a sense of responsibility and a public **** spirit:
On October 8, 2009, Mr. Wu Junliang and several "volunteers" in his Shenzhen company Mr. Wu Junliang and a few "volunteers" from his Shenzhen company sent a request to view the budgets of 33 government departments in the central and local ****. 8 days later, the office of the Guangzhou Municipal Bureau of Finance replied to the "volunteer", Li Detao, saying, "The budget of the Guangzhou Municipal Government for 2009 involves 114 departments, and it is very inconvenient to send emails, so the budgets are listed in the Publicity*** Spirit. The budget is not convenient, so the budget is listed on the Guangzhou Finance Network."
Wu Junliang's reaction was "unexpected!" And during the same period, another heavyweight city Finance Bureau's response was: "The information you requested is a state secret, and this organization has decided not to disclose it."
This is the character of the city of Guangzhou: receptive, positive, pragmatic, and willing to explore the direction of progress.
Mr. Wu Junliang is a friend of mine, and this story has been publicly reported by the media many times.
Lao Guang's character is like this, words do not say much, directly open, you less fooled, Laozi have no time to take care of.
According to my friend Dr. Zhou Songfang research: more than four hundred years ago, the Ming Dynasty genius Tang Xianzu in early September of a year from his hometown in Jiangxi Linchuan, to the end of the month over the Meiling into Guangdong, October 7 before and after the snow arrived in Guangzhou City, at the time of the "Autumn Fair", foreign merchants and foreigners and provincial merchants and passenger ships gathered, the prosperous scene, making the city of Guangzhou.
Linjiang clamor ten thousand wells,
Landing surges a thousand ships.
This is a very powerful and powerful spirit,
This is the reason why we are here in Guangzhou.
Yes, "the pulse is strong, from Guangzhou".
Four hundred years of history have passed, and Guangzhou is now at the beginning of its climb to a higher place in the city's history. This time, Guangzhou will win again!
What kind of city is Shenzhen? Shenzhen is a city of innovation and progress, an international metropolis glittering with technology and finance. And, of course, it is also known as a model area for socialism.
What is the driving force behind Shenzhen's breakthrough in Shekou with the spirit of hard work, bringing together talents from all directions, and gathering the world's wisdom, capital, and technology to build a city of global prominence in a small town on the edge of the city?
Shenzhen's private economy is the most active, the desire for success in the eyes of Shenzhen people is the strongest, so whether in the former Huaqiangbei, or in today's Shenzhen Bay, whether in the cafe, or in the dinner party, Shenzhen people's high-frequency words are "cooperation", "signing", "operation", "operation", "operation", "operation", "operation", "operation", "operation", "operation", "operation", "operation", "operation", "operation". ", "operation", "financing", "listing" ...... This is a city which The city is always revitalized, it is a city that makes people nervous, and it is also a city that can adapt to the great frustration of change.
All this is because Shenzhen people are not easy.
Every time I talk about Shenzhen, I talk about Yuan Geng. Years ago, when I finished reading the biography of Yuan Geng, I couldn't help but cry.
Yuan Geng, at the age of 62, was the commander-in-chief of the construction of the Shekou Industrial Zone, and faced with barren mountains and from the system of detention again and again. He was criticized for giving bonuses to workers, in fact, he was only to promote the progress of the project, but at that time it was a "violation"; he visited a leader for a 200-meter muddy road, hoping to fix it as soon as possible, but the result was actually "knocked down"; he was "criticized" for the development of the industrial area, hoping to be able to get the money back. In order to the development of industrial areas, hope to be able to obtain more communication facilities and relatively good communication authorization, all for the sake of public interest, the results were forced to be in a department at the time of the "battle of the tongues", encountered cold words ......
Today's many people say that Shenzhen is Tencent Huawei DJI China Merchants Ping An, do not know the contribution of Shenzhen people in addition to these bullish companies, more importantly, because Shenzhen people contribute to the spirit of Shenzhen, the spirit of Yuan Geng (which some people summarize as "a five-vein": five-vein is "reform, openness, innovation, passion, pragmatism"). Yuan Geng and many colleagues unintentionally created the "Shekou gene", China Merchants Bank and Ping An are typical companies with the Shekou gene.
Since Yuan Geng, entrepreneurs take over, Shenzhen in thousands of people's efforts to open up, under the charge, so that today's glory of the country's third city.
Shenzhen's success is by no means a special policy given by the state so simple, he originated from Yuan Geng from the bones of the Shekou Beach, the face of those who attempted to flee the bones of the people, he knew that he had no way back, only to "kill a bloody road".
Yuan Geng is fearless, he encouraged his colleagues, "we are willing to accept the trial of the court of practice", "if you fail, rest assured, I lead, we jumped into the sea together."
Yuan Geng has passed away, but the spirit of hard work in the blood of the Shenzhen people has not faded, just more introverted, more pragmatic:
Shenzhen 2019 delivered a report card is: in 2019, the Shenzhen Municipal GDP of more than 2.6 trillion yuan, an increase of 7% or so, ahead of schedule to complete the "thirteenth five-year plan" target tasks; the Shenzhen Municipal GDP of more than 2.6 trillion yuan, an increase of about 7%, ahead of schedule to complete the "thirteenth five-year plan
Yuan Geng said: "Go forward, do not look back". Shenzhen was born in January 1979, forty-one years of time like a white horse, however, Shenzhen is still a teenager, and once again stood at the starting point of the run to the vast sea.
Shenzhen has not won enough, Shenzhen will win!
Foshan is a city of what? Foshan is the third city of Guangdong, Foshan is a national historical and cultural city, Foshan is one of the four famous towns in history.
Looking back at history, the town of Foshan in Guangdong is famous for its handicrafts. Since the reopening of Foshan also obtained the first bucket of gold in the manufacturing industry, a large number of private enterprises in the form of "one town, one product" to warm up the agglomeration of the development of today's Foshan is ready to give the manufacturing industry equipped with a new engine: to guide small and medium-sized enterprises to embrace the industrial Internet to accelerate the transformation and upgrading to the direction of automation, digitization, and informationization.
Foshan's equipment manufacturing strength is outstanding, and because of the highly integrated relationship with Guangzhou in terms of transportation, the cooperation between the two sides is being developed to the depth of ---- is expected to carry out cooperation in 12 major areas, the formation of the The pattern of "Guangzhou innovation brain, Foshan transformation center".
Foshan's industrial distribution pattern is quite similar to that of Germany: there is no one proud economic center. In Germany, the ranking of the top 100 large enterprises, only three will be headquartered in the capital Berlin, Germany's southeast, northwest and north ministries have their own development of special economic.
For example, the town of Beijiao in Shunde, Foshan, has two of the world's top 500. For example, Nanhai District, a district with a GDP of more than 300 billion last year, has been ranked in the runner-up position of the top 100 districts in the country for many years.
The GDP of Foshan City in 2019 was 107.5102 billion yuan, an increase of 6.9% over the previous year. What kind of concept is that? Although Foshan is very low-key, the total economic output is far more than the Netroots city of Xi'an, but also in front of Jinan, the capital of Shandong province, and in the short term, they have no hope of plugging in, which is called bullishness.
It may seem surreal that Foshan sits 17th in the trillion-dollar club, ahead of many provincial capitals and prestigious cities, but it's true. This club has only three prefecture-level city members, the other two are Suzhou and Wuxi, China's strongest prefecture-level city "Three Musketeers". If you think about the prosperity of Suzhou and Wuxi, you can imagine the strength of Foshan, but she is too low-profile.
Foshan is famous for its manufacturing industry at home and abroad, and its industrial added value accounts for more than half of the GDP. 2019 Foshan A-share listed companies in the total market capitalization of the 37 major cities in China, ranked eighth, which is represented by the Midea Group of manufacturing enterprises eye-catching performance, Foshan in the rankings once again in this list of a lot of provincial capitals to cut down the horse. The hegemony of Guangdong's oldest three is from strength, want to keep a low profile, but the strength does not allow, no way.
Official data show that Foshan has created nearly 1% of the country's GDP with nearly four ten thousandths of the country's land occupied. If you look at the 2018 data, Foshan with 459.05 billion yuan of industrial added value, ranked 11th in the country, more than the "trillion city" Beijing, Qingdao, Nanjing and Zhengzhou. Is not it incredible?
In fact, it is quite normal, the following is the media record of the daily rhythm of Foshan: an average of two rice cookers off the line every second, every minute can produce 100 microwave ovens, every hour can produce 273 washing machines, the daily production of more than 20,000 units of refrigerators, the annual production of 23 million air conditioners, electronic components 1.7 billion, 2 billion electric light source. ......
Remember, in Foshan, never look down on wearing a pair of slippers all over the street uncle, he is likely to go directly to a luxury car, and then straight to the sales department to buy a layer of office space, his assistants, drivers are more than he wore a senior, this is a story that I have seen with my own eyes.
Foshan people have money, but deep pockets. The 2019 Foshan City Statistical Yearbook shows that the per capita disposable income of urban and rural permanent residents in Foshan is higher than that of Guangdong Province as well as the national level.
Foshan is, of course, beautiful, "clear wave day by day flow when the door, mulberry outlet store store covered water cloud village" (Qing Dynasty Nanhai poet Hu Tiao De) of the scene is still not difficult to find; but Foshan at the same time is powerful, "ten thousand mountains united in one blue, broken shear flow of Xia Dan "(Qing Dynasty Nanhai poet Tan Ying) of the hegemony of the strong and powerful all the time is not flashing.
This battle, Foshan can win! Foshan is not only out of Ip Man, Huang Feihong's martial arts hometown, but also out of the great masters of the important node city of the Greater Bay Area.
Dongguan is a city of what? Dongguan is a city standing at the door of the "Trillion Dollar Club" ready to knock on the door, is an ambitious and dynamic city, vowing to build the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area advanced manufacturing center.
In 2019, Dongguan's gross domestic product (GDP) will reach 948.250 billion yuan, only 50 billion yuan short of breaking the trillion dollar mark.
Looking at Dongguan's report card again, it's basically A+: the total number of regulated industrial enterprises ranked No. 1 in the province in 2019; in the first 11 months of 2019, the share of value-added of the advanced manufacturing industry and the high-tech manufacturing industry increased to 54% and 42.1%, respectively.......
This is Dongguan.
In 2019, the GDP of Songshan Lake Hi-Tech Zone in the Pearl River Delta National Innovation Demonstration Zone is expected to grow by 11% year-on-year; the tax revenue is 16.3 billion yuan, and the proportion of advanced manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing industries is over 90%. One Songshan Lake, 16.3 billion yuan in tax revenue!
This is Dongguan.
On August 9, 2019, more than 1,500 Huawei partners and more than 5,000 global developers came to Dongguan to participate in this largest developer conference in Huawei's history at Songshan Lake. During the conference, Huawei's self-developed operating system "Hongmeng" was officially released to the public.In 2018, Huawei's revenue was 721.2 billion yuan, of which the consumer business accounted for the highest proportion reached 348.9 billion yuan, followed by 294 billion yuan of carrier business, Dongguan is an important base for Huawei's consumer business (cell phones, tablet).
This is Dongguan.
What is the Dongguan people's toughness? I think it's the phrase "fall where mom! I'm not going to be able to do that.
Although it is a bit indecent, but full of emotion, fully expresses the origin of Dongguan Shijie Yuan governor in the face of the enemy's blood and passion, this sentence was later engraved by the people of Dongguan in the Yuan Chonghuan former residence of the statue on the base.
Over the years, Dongguan has been "on top of the hard", from the financial crisis in 2008, all the way up against the wind, and now Dongguan to the country's 0.03% of the land and the country's 0.6% of the resident population, creating a 0.9% of the country's gross domestic product, contributing to the country's 1.6% tax revenue, creating a 4.8 percent of the national tax revenues, and a 4.8 percent of the country's tax revenues. tax revenue, generating 4.8% of the country's foreign exchange earnings, absorbing 0.9% of the country's employed population, and storing 0.8% of the country's financial deposits, with all of the above indicators exceeding the proportion of Dongguan's land area to the country's proportion by more than 20 times (2018 data).
In 1932, in the face of the enemy's press, Dongguaner patriotic general Jiang Guang'nai in Shanghai had left a powerful famous sentence: "A foot of ground, can not give up", which is the hardcore Dongguaners.
The epidemic, for the country to bear the pressure, the front tough, Dongguan will win!
In the face of the epidemic, hold Park Finance is optimistic about the four cities of Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Foshan and Dongguan, because these four cities have formed a considerable amount of infrastructure, talent, technology, capital and many other aspects, especially Guangzhou and Shenzhen have a certain amount of space to vacate, but also because of its efficient prevention and control action to seize the valuable time to fight the epidemic.
The four cities have a high degree of marketization, the concept of market economy is y rooted in people's hearts, the private sector has a certain degree of self-coordination, the general quality of the officials is high, and a considerable portion of them have experience in the front line of the fight against the African Union, and the key positions are all professionals in the gatekeeper. The four cities have a much better access to information than the average mainland city, and because of their geographic location, once they need more material assistance, they can also deliver it as soon as possible.
Most importantly, the four cities have responded to the spread of the virus with the highest level of care, and now entering and exiting any of the cities requires rigorous temperature testing and screening, which is the most critical of all!
These four cities as long as they can hold (now look very hopeful), Guangdong this a big disk will keep 70% of the total economic output and the corresponding growth rate, which means what for every Guangdong people? It means that the financial problems will not occur, it means that the average resident has no problem paying the mortgage, credit card, it means that the basic consumer spending is not a problem, it means that the huge number of jobs will not be cut too much, it means that small and medium-sized enterprises can reduce the losses, it means that the transfer of payments is guaranteed ......
This battle is not only about the fate of the country, but also about your fate and mine, but also about your wallet and mine, every Cantonese and every Chinese.
Ancestral shrine is here, there are still young children in the knee, the assets of millions of families, wealth are carried on this land, but also have to cut off constant affection, friendship, love and difficult to avoid the challenges of the big time.
This battle, the Guangdong people can win, and must win!
Because we have no way back!