It is understood that from the joint quotation of slaughterhouses in the north and south, due to the adjustment of market supply and demand, the national pig price remained at 12.38 yuan/kg on April 3, and the pig price rose by 0.05 yuan, showing a "bottoming out" trend. China North and South pig prices rose widely!
Specifically, in the northern market, the quotations of slaughter enterprises in Northeast China rose 1, and the Jilin market stabilized 10.9 yuan. The price of live pigs in Heilongjiang and Liaoning increased by 0.2 yuan, and the average price of live pigs was 10.9 ~ 1 1.6 yuan/kg. The quotation of slaughter enterprises in North China rose by 2 or 3, Beijing and Tianjin rose by 0. 1 yuan, and the markets in Inner Mongolia, Shanxi and Hebei stabilized. Average price of live pigs 1 1.3~ 12.3 yuan/kg. The quotation of slaughterhouse enterprises in northwest China increased by 1, Shaanxi increased by 0. 1 yuan, and Xinjiang stabilized by 10.85 yuan/kg;
In the southern region, the quotations of slaughter enterprises in Southwest China increased by 1, Sichuan, Chongqing and Guizhou increased by 0. 1 ~ 0. 15 yuan/kg, Sichuan market was sideways 12.6 yuan/kg, and Yunnan market stabilized 1 1.5 yuan/kg. In East China, Jiangsu rose slightly by 0.05 yuan, and pig prices in Zhejiang, Shandong and Fujian stabilized, with an average price of 12.2 ~ 13.2 yuan/kg; The quotation of slaughter enterprises in Central China rose by 2 levels, Jiangxi and South China stabilized, and Henan and Hubei rose by 0. 1~0. 15 yuan, of which the price in Hunan was 12.6 yuan/kg; The quotation of slaughter enterprises in South China has stabilized in an all-round way, with Guangdong sideways 13.45 yuan/kg and Hainan stabilized 17 yuan/kg!
On the whole, in April 13, the price of pigs stopped falling and rebounded, and many markets in the country were "floating red", and farmers kept the clouds open. However, at present, the pressure of domestic aquaculture loss is still obvious, and the ratio of pig to grain is only about 4.4: 1, so pigs are still in the stage of obvious loss. Therefore, I really hope that the price of pigs will rise for some time. So, what happened in the market? Is spring coming for farmers?
Personally, the factors supporting the rise in pig prices are nothing more than the game between supply and demand in the market at this stage and the changes in market sentiment at different stages! From the perspective of pork consumption, pork prices are low in most parts of China, but residents' purchasing enthusiasm is poor and catering consumption is limited, which also lays the foundation for the sluggish demand for pork. However, due to well-known factors in some areas, terminal traders have a certain mood of hoarding goods, and the order of white pigs in slaughterhouses has increased, which has certain support for pig prices;
Judging from the supply of live pigs, at present, the pace of slaughter of live pigs in China is slow, the production capacity of ordinary farmers has been largely completed, while the slaughter of large pig enterprises has increased or decreased, and the overall slaughter of live pigs in the market is tight, which also leads to certain procurement difficulties for slaughterhouses. Especially with the arrival of a new round of pork storage, farmers are reluctant to sell at a certain price, which also supports the short-term rise of pig prices!
Now in April 13, the price of pigs has finally gone up, but the spring for farmers has not arrived yet! On the one hand, judging from the current performance of pig price, whether for retail investors or large pig enterprises, pig slaughter is still in a periodic loss cycle, but everyone's cost control is different and the loss performance is different; On the other hand, the rise of pig prices lacks strong support, while the staged pig prices are still in the downward cycle. After all, pig stocks are there, and consumption lacks a basis for boosting. So pig prices will continue to bottom out!
To sum up, although the pig price has shown a rebound, considering that the loss of farming is still outstanding at this stage, the pig price still has downside risks. Therefore, the spring of farmers is far from coming, and the pig price may temporarily rise because of the positive mood of the staged market. However, the upward trend is unsustainable and there is limited room for growth. The pig price is still in the range of sideways volatility, and the downside risk is still strong!
Good news! The price of pigs stopped falling, and the market rose on 13. Is spring coming for farmers? What do you think of this? The above is the author's personal opinion, the pictures are from the internet, and the content is for reference only!
# Today's national hog price #