(1) When Americans buy a house, they will calculate their GDP once, and then convert it into monthly rent according to the house price, and then calculate the rent again. Its logic is: renting out is renting. If you don't rent it, you rent it to yourself. Don't be surprised, it will burst.

If the median house price in the United States is $500,000 and the annual rent is $30,000, there are 654.38 billion families in the United States (families don't rent houses), and the GDP of the United States will expand by $3 trillion a year.

(2) The United States is an input calculation method, and China is an output calculation method. In other words, what China has invested but not yet produced is not GDP, but the United States is.

(3) Because investment generates debt, the debt of the United States is also considered as GDP, while the GDP of China is not.

(4) China has a large number of stall economy, small-scale catering and night markets, but do you know how powerful the night beer around you is?

Summary: If China uses the American algorithm, its GDP will exceed 32 trillion US dollars, 50% higher than that of the United States; If the United States uses China's GDP, it is only 70 trillion RMB, which is 30% lower than that of China.

Every country's GDP statistics method is different, and what Americans think is true is true. If our country is also calculated according to the American way, I am afraid it is already the largest GDP country.

Although the calculation method of GDP in the United States is not as exaggerated as in India, it is indeed more exaggerated. Our calculation is output-oriented, and the United States is investment-oriented.

For example, a factory that has also put into production of 6.5438+million yuan, the steel, cement and decoration used in it are all counted on the manufacturer's head, and users will not recalculate in GDP. But America is different. This 6,543,800,000 yuan steel and equipment will only be counted once if it is not purchased. But if you buy it as an investment to build a factory, then this 654.38+million will be included in the GDP statistics. So the same output value100000, we only calculate100000, once when people leave the factory and once when they invest. So this figure is not valid in our view, but it is a legal calculation method in others' view.

In addition, the statistical coverage of the consumer side in the United States is relatively large, and there is basically no "fish escaping from the net", while the market economy in China is hardly counted. For example, food stalls, food stalls, small doors, online stores and other consumer terminals are not included in GDP statistics, and even taxes are not included.

If calculated according to the American way, our GDP will increase by at least 30-50%. After all, stall economy and online shopping economy are trillions of markets. Coupled with the repetition of industrial calculation method and investment calculation method, it is more appropriate to surpass America.

However, in the 1990s, Japan, because of the scale of GDP, made the United States feel a great threat, and suffered from the dimensionality reduction of diversified economy. It seems to be a crash caused by the stock market and the property market. In fact, everyone behind it knows that it is old beauty and dares to speak out.

So later, many powerful countries, including Japan, learned to be smart, economical and pragmatic, and the statistical category was compressed. As long as you are happy, you can do whatever you want, and you can be the boss if you want. In fact, everyone knows how much it costs.

The Gdp of the United States is real, and the income generated in market activities is real Gdp, whether it is lawyer income, medical care or education income, it is real Gdp. The increasingly automated and intelligent manufacturing industry will allow more and more people to transfer from manufacturing to service industry in the future. We in China will also shift our economic focus to the service industry in the future. This road must go! In the future, we will be different from the United States, and most of our manufacturing will not be outsourced to other countries. Although there will be some international division of labor, we will have the core technology. The proportion of GDP of medical care and education will not be as high as that of the United States, because China's public goods such as education and medical care are no matter how good and rich they are, the government will not let her set the prices so expensive. The gdp of lawyers in China can't be as big as that in the United States, the laws are not so detailed, there are not so many lawsuits, and there are not so many things in China. There are many non-legal adjustment methods! China people's spending on eating, playing, entertainment, shopping, socializing, traveling, raising children, respecting the elderly and taking vacations is different from that of other countries in the world. The distribution of gdp structure will also have China characteristics!

The tertiary industry accounts for more than 80% of GDP in the United States, and the sum of primary and secondary industries accounts for less than 20% of GDP. Only the United States can achieve such a high proportion of the tertiary industry in GDP. Because of the hegemony of the dollar, the United States only needs to print money to buy the products it needs. Only by desperately buying overseas goods can we export more dollars, and only by exporting more dollars can we maintain dollar hegemony. Therefore, the United States only needs to print money to export dollars, and does not need to produce its own products. Only military industries and high-end industries need to maintain the leading position in military and technology, and at the same time, domestic consumption must be encouraged. For this reason, China must implement high income to encourage more consumption and thus export more dollars. America's high-consumption countries are based on dollar hegemony, which other countries can't replicate. Other developed countries in the west occupy the high end of the industrial chain, and they are small in population and rich in resources, and even can live well by exporting resources. Japan and South Korea support the domestic economy and people's high income by occupying the high-end advantages of the industrial chain. Therefore, to become a high-income country depends on abundant resources and high-end products. China can only rely on exporting low-end products to support low-end income. If China wants to improve people's living standard and income, it can only upgrade its industry. If China's industrial upgrading enters the high end of the industrial chain, it will inevitably impact the interests of the West, Japan and South Korea, and even challenge the interests of the United States. China, in particular, leads the way in 5G. If China's 5G monopolizes the world, the future world will definitely belong to China. Therefore, the United States is in a hurry and must suppress China. To this end, the United States has adopted various despicable means. The United States is well aware that if China occupies the middle and high end of the industrial chain, the end of the United States will come.

The number should be true, but its calculation method is somewhat different from ours. For example, it is easy to understand that there is a certain scale of employing domestic nannies in our country, which shows that people's living standards are improving and people's employment methods are diversified. However, the nanny fees paid by Chinese families are not included in GDP, while in the United States, such fees are included in GDP. As far as legal fees are concerned, the annual legal fees in the United States will create more than $1 trillion in GDP for this country. The annual lawyer fee in China is about $50 billion. From these simple data, we can see that the GDP composition of the United States and China is different. From these data, we really realize that we are the manufacturing center of the world.

When you see this high, you may think that the US GDP figures are wet! But pay attention to one thing-accumulation, comrade.

Capital accumulation, technology accumulation, resource accumulation and knowledge accumulation.

The United States is a country that has been industrialized for more than one hundred years. It experienced several industrial revolutions, and later, it led the industrial revolution. The landlord's family does have surplus grain.

We did have glory in ancient China, but the accumulation of agricultural society and industrial society is not the same concept. /kloc-China's so-called high GDP in the 9th century is not reliable. The efficiency of wealth accumulation in agricultural society is much higher, and most of the resources are consumed, which is incomparable to industrialized European countries at the same time. Historical comparisons made by European and American scholars, such as the proportion of China's ancient GDP, are all estimates. We use the logic of the industrial age to push back or measure that China was stronger than Europe in the middle of Qing Dynasty, which belongs to Guan Gong's war against Qin Qiong. Let others talk about it. We can't deceive ourselves. We have not forgotten the slogan that we will be beaten if we fall behind.

China's industrialization stumbled, one hundred years behind the west. It's not just the problem of backward technology, but that you can't get so much room for action. Market initiative and technological dominance have been occupied, even ideological hegemony.

What should we do? Continue to focus on development, solve our own problems, and don't go with the flow.

People always ask why China is involved. It is the same. You are a latecomer, so there is no room for premium. You live first, looking for space and opportunities. Or, as in most areas, you can sit back and relax, smile and people will die. Elites will compete for bed tickets in developed countries or world empires, enjoy the order of others, and then pay the order tax-your investment, technology, and the status of a discriminated second-class citizen.

The order is expensive. If you don't believe me, you can build a safe area yourself.

Some people say that the manufacturing industry in the United States has been hollowed out, but it is not entirely true. The United States is just hollowing out low-end manufacturing. It has been pursuing high-yield industries, including manufacturing, which has also promoted its technological progress. In addition, it also led to the unprecedented prosperity of his financial industry.

Secondly, the role of the dollar is very great. The US dollar is the main currency in circulation and reserve in the world. This feature determines that the upper limit of the US debt level that issues US dollars is very high, far exceeding that of ordinary countries. It has the productivity of the whole world to endorse his debts. Therefore, the US government is not afraid of excessive debt levels. Even if it collapses, unless you don't use dollars, the consequences of the collapse will be borne by the global economic crisis, and North Korea and Iran may become the biggest winners.

Third, the United States has a mature financial market. No matter how many faults there are, the United States is the best choice for financing in the world, which means that the United States must share the fruits of world economic development.

Compared with China, China still has a long way to go.

The scale of high-tech manufacturing industry is still very small, and the key technologies have not been industrialized. Most of the low-end manufacturing industries have absorbed a large number of employed people. Without the participation of the world currency, no financial industry has obtained the world wool. It is impossible for China to transfer a large number of people with low labor ability to the tertiary industry. China will have to maintain the scale of low-end manufacturing, construction and agriculture for a long time to stabilize employment, prices and currency. Namely export and investment.

It is impossible to blindly expand the tertiary industry. Finance, software, design, etc. are also tertiary industries, but they have high requirements for the labor ability of the labor force. And although it has created GDP, it has made little contribution to daily consumption.

China and the United States have different GDP accounting methods. The United States uses the expenditure method to calculate GDP, and the expenditure method GDP = consumption+investment+government purchase+net export.

China is based on production law and income law, which is related to the development stage and tax system of China. Therefore, the GDP of the two countries cannot be directly compared with data and needs to be comprehensively measured.

The accounting method of the United States determines that its household consumption+government expenditure is the main component of GDP, and the United States has always been the largest consumer country in the world. For example, in 20 17, the total retail sales of consumer goods in the United States was $5,756.4 billion, accounting for 29.73% of GDP.

For example, in the second quarter of this year, household consumption in the United States "decreased by 34.6% at an annual rate", mainly because the epidemic caused many residents to "reduce design activities" and tighten their expenses. Therefore, we can see that the GDP of the United States fell by as much as-30% in the second quarter of this year+showing its relevance!

In addition, the United States is the largest exporter of service trade. In 20 17 years, the trade volume of American services was about $65,438 +0.3 19 trillion. Therefore, although the net export of American goods is negative, the net export of service trade can be greatly increased.

Commodity imports are mainly used for domestic consumption, so the greater the commodity imports, the higher the domestic consumption, which complement each other.

Another component of the expenditure law: investment. Is this rare in America? Although it seems that the infrastructure investment in the United States is not as good as that in China, the construction cost in the United States is high and overseas investment is large. Coupled with the huge annual military investment in the United States, this is not small for GDP. In 20 17, the military expenditure of China, the United States and Russia reached 700 billion US dollars, China invested more than 20 billion US dollars, and Russia spent about 60 billion US dollars.

The manufacturing industry in the United States has flowed out, but the arms manufacturing is basically at home, and the GDP generated by this part of input and output should not be underestimated. Coupled with the additional benefits brought by arms exports.

However, China is a developing country, and the manufacturing industry is still the mainstay. The emerging service industry has not risen for a long time, so the accounting of GDP is mainly based on the production method and the income method, and the proportion of manufacturing and extension industries in the national economy is still very large. Therefore, China people still think that manufacturing is the source of GDP.

As a developed country, the United States is the main part of the national economy driven by consumption, technology export and various investments.

To sum up, what you are asking is a large outflow of manufacturing in the United States, and the US GDP is as high as 20 trillion US dollars. Are the numbers true? Judging from American GDP accounting methods, it is true, but Chinese and American accounting methods are different!

The same is true of GDP in the United States, but the statistical methods are different. The United States uses the expenditure method to calculate GDP, so that the GDP of the United States may appear higher.

1, American GDP algorithm The United States uses the expenditure method to calculate GDP as a whole. From the calculation method, the GDP of the United States may be larger than that of China.

American GDP algorithm: GDP = personal consumption+private investment+government consumption+government investment+net import and export.

The above table shows the composition of the nominal GDP of the United States in 20 19 years, in trillions of dollars. According to the composition of American GDP in 20 19, American GDP in 20 19 reached $265,438 +0.428 trillion, of which personal consumption accounted for $65,438 +04.563 trillion, accounting for 67.96% of GDP, and private investment reached $3.744 trillion, accounting for 20 19. The GDP per unit trillion dollars is 18.32%, government consumption is 30 19 trillion dollars, accounting for 14.78% of GDP, and government investment is 0.735 trillion dollars, accounting for 3.6% of GDP.

2. Accounting method of China's GDP The statistical method of China's GDP is the production method. Compared with the United States, China's GDP calculated by the production method may be smaller, and GDP is the sum of the added value of various industries in the national economy.

The formula is as follows: GDP= added value = total output-intermediate consumption GDP= total added value of various industries.

If China uses the production method to calculate, it needs to calculate the situation of the primary, secondary and tertiary industries, and then summarize them into the GDP of China. Such data may be smaller than that of the United States.

3. America's GDP statistics may be even bigger. The United States uses the expenditure method to calculate. The total capacity of the consumer market in the United States in 20 19 was 5.7 trillion dollars, which means that all Americans spent a total of 5.7 trillion dollars. However, when the United States calculates GDP, personal consumption reaches 14.563 trillion US dollars. However, China's consumer market has reached 5.4 trillion US dollars, but when China calculates GDP, China's consumption may be relatively small.

In addition, buying a house in the United States is a permanent property right, which sounds beautiful, but you have to pay property tax every year. Moreover, when counting GDP, not only buying a house needs to be included in GDP, but even living by yourself needs to be included in "virtual rent", which also accounts for about 8% of US GDP.

In China, virtual rents are not calculated, and even the rents of many real rented houses may not be included in GDP.

There are many night market stalls in China, individual economy and underground economy, which may not be considered as GDP. But these may all be included in GDP in the United States.

So overall, the GDP statistics of the United States may be larger.

Conclusion To sum up, the United States uses the expenditure method to calculate the GDP of the United States, which is very detailed and has many projects, which may look relatively large. The United States has reached $20 trillion, which is also true data.

Is the US GDP figure true? It should be affirmed that the figures are true, but about 30% of the people who made this series of figures were not made by people, nor by people's physical and intellectual labor in the primary, secondary and tertiary industries, but by one or several machines. What machine can create more than 30% GDP? Yes, this is a printing machine. To be precise, it is printed by the Federal Reserve, purchased by the US government through issuing bonds, and then put into the social circulation field. As a result, most of these government debts became GDP.

In the past, the American government issued bonds every year, but the amount of bonds issued was not large, accounting for about 10% of the annual GDP. But what should we do when we encounter a special disaster year this year, with large-scale production suspension and shop closure? You can only print more money and issue more government bonds to live; Roughly speaking, the total GDP of the United States in the first half of the year was about 8 trillion US dollars, but printing money and issuing bonds reached 2.4 trillion, reaching an unprecedented proportion of 30%. According to the current epidemic situation in the United States, the issuance of bonds in the second half of the year will only be more than less; It can be said that 70% of the GDP of the United States this year (not excluding the next three to five years) is wealth created by the masses, but 30% is printed out of thin air by the Federal Reserve through printing money, which is probably the real GDP situation in the United States.

If the "American Banknote Printing Machine" is compiled into a story and told to the children in China, the children will surely shout: Wow! American people are really happy. By printing money, the American people can live a happy life without food and clothing ...; It is said that children talk nonsense, but it is really like this. At present, the United States can rely on the hegemony of the dollar to make the American people live a happy life by printing money. However, this is only short-term and unsustainable. If the printing machine in the United States prints money for another three to five years regardless of the consequences, then it can be said with certainty that the disaster in the United States is coming; Of course, this is not a disaster in COVID-19, but an economic disaster; If the United States comes to this step, it will be a subversive disaster.

The outflow of manufacturing industry will definitely have an impact on GDP, but it will not be absolute. China and the United States have different GDP calculation methods, and there is a big gap between the output-based calculation method and the investment-based calculation method. However, it is unfounded to say that the US GDP of 20 trillion is false.