To welcome the cold dew solar term, the weather is obviously much colder, so the demand for all kinds of commodities is also increasing, because everyone is ready to stock up for the winter.
Of course, pork, which everyone must eat almost every day, is indispensable. As an agricultural and sideline product second only to grain in China, the importance of pork is well known, but its price can be described as soaring all the way, and consumers can't afford it.
Moreover, even now that the National Day holiday is over, pork prices are still strong. According to the latest data from the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, the average wholesale price of pork nationwide was 32.81 yuan/kg on October 8, up 2.5% from before.
so what causes the continuous rise of pork prices? Will it go up in the future? Let's take a look at the latest pork market in October.
how much is the price of pork now?
Pork: 8 yuan/kg of pork in Xiangfang District, Harbin, Heilongjiang; Pork in Yuhang District, Hangzhou City, Zhejiang Province is 7.88 yuan/kg; Pork in Jimo District, Qingdao City, Shandong Province is 13.82 yuan/kg; Pork in Feidong County, Hefei City, Anhui Province 11.38 yuan/kg; Pork in Wuzhi County, Jiaozuo City, Henan Province 11.25 yuan/kg; Pork in Pidu District, Chengdu, Sichuan is 9.75 yuan/kg; 9.8 yuan/kg of pork in Furong District, Changsha City, Hunan Province.
pig's white stripes: yingze district pig's white stripes in Taiyuan, Shanxi, 15 yuan/kg; Shangjie district, Zhengzhou City, Henan Province, pig white strip 8.9 yuan/kg; Pig white bars in Liwan District, Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province are 13 yuan/kg; 8 yuan/kg of pig white stripes in Dadong District, Shenyang City, Liaoning Province.
Source: official website, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, screenshot No.3 meat: No.3 meat in Huangpu District, Shanghai, 12.25 yuan/kg; 9.9 yuan/kg of No.3 meat in Dongtai City, Yancheng City, Jiangsu Province; No.3 meat in Wen 'an County, Langfang City, Hebei Province, 12.15 yuan/kg; Daye city No.3 Meat in Huangshi City, Hubei Province, 12 yuan/kg, etc.
Pork belly: Pork belly in Wen 'an County, Langfang City, Hebei Province is RMB 11/kg; Chuanying, Jilin City, Jilin Province, pork belly 9 yuan/kg; Pork belly in Jinan District, Fuzhou City, Fujian Province 12 yuan/kg; Pork belly in Changqing District, Jinan City, Shandong Province 12.5 yuan/kg; Pork belly in Yanshan District, Guilin City, Guangxi, 14.43 yuan/kg; Pork belly in Jiulongpo District, Chongqing is 11.24 yuan/kg; 9 yuan/kg of pork belly in Haidian District, Beijing; Pork belly in Baodi District of Tianjin is 7.63 yuan/kg, etc.
minced pork: minced pork 6.5 yuan/kg, Panyu District, Guangzhou, Guangdong; Pig minced meat in Yuhua District, Changsha City, Hunan Province is 5.75 yuan/kg; Yinan county, Linyi City, Shandong Province, minced pork is 8.54 yuan/kg, etc.
pork leg meat: the front leg meat in Yuhang District, Hangzhou, Zhejiang is 12.67 yuan/kg; Lanshan district, Linyi City, Shandong Province, front leg meat 11.12 yuan/kg; The hind leg meat in Guanyun County, Lianyungang City, Jiangsu Province is 13 yuan/kg; The hind leg meat in Shunqing District, Nanchong City, Sichuan Province is 12.62 yuan/kg.
remarks: the above pork prices are all from the wholesale quotation of Huinong. com (non-market retail price) for reference only.
the specific price is subject to the latest local actual quotation.
what is the reason for the 2.5% increase in pork price compared with that before the holiday?
1. The weather is getting colder
Due to the influence of cold air, there has been a sharp drop in temperature in the south in recent days, while the winter mode has been started early in the north, and the phenomenon of curing sausages and bacon in various places has increased obviously, so the demand for pork consumption has increased greatly.
This has led to an increase in the price of big pigs purchased by slaughter enterprises, thus effectively driving up the price of pork.
2. Reluctant psychology
Recently, the second fattening boom has revived, and some areas have even started to fatten for three times. Therefore, most farmers are reluctant to sell, which makes the supply of live pigs tight.
In the case of a phased shortage of pigs in the market, the price of pork will naturally rise.
3. Demand is booming
At present, some areas are still affected by the epidemic, and the transportation cost of pig enterprises has increased, resulting in high pig prices.
However, after the holiday, most school canteens and outdoor catering industries have resumed work one after another, and the atmosphere of the National Day holiday is superimposed, and pork consumption is booming, which has contributed to its price increase.
will pork increase in the future? The latest market of pork in October
During the National Day, the rising price of pork became more and more obvious, and it ushered in seven consecutive rises. According to statistics, the cumulative increase of pig price in seven days exceeded 1.5 yuan/kg, and the year-on-year increase was close to 1.51%.
as far as the current market situation is concerned, there are still favorable factors in pork prices in the short term. On the one hand, the cooling effect brought by cold air has not ended, on the other hand, it will not last long until the phased shortage of pigs in the market has passed.
With the gradual departure of the National Day holiday, the consumption of pork has declined, and the price of pigs may have a certain correction.
What's more, in the face of the "rocket pig" trend during the National Day, relevant departments are also taking a number of measures to ensure stable supply and prices, and the fourth batch of central pork reserves will arrive as scheduled.
Therefore, it is expected that pig prices may go down from mid-October.
In the long run, the slaughter of pigs in China has shown a sustained growth trend, and it is expected to increase steadily in the fourth quarter, which also means that there will be no shortage of pigs in the future market and the supply in the later market will be guaranteed, so the pig price also lacks the basis for a substantial increase, and the downward pressure is greater.
as for the new round of obvious gains, it is expected that it will have to wait until New Year's Day and the eve of the Spring Festival.
Generally speaking, the reason why the price of pigs continued to float red during the National Day was mainly due to the widespread cooling, farmers' reluctance to sell and the rising demand for pork.
Although the current market pig price is expected to continue to fluctuate strongly, the holiday bonus has passed, and the superimposed official regulation and control will be strengthened, and the pig price may be slightly lowered. Therefore, farmers should be alert to the risk of the pig price going up and down, and scientifically arrange the fattening or slaughtering work so as to maximize their own interests.
for consumers, after the pork price gradually turns from rising to falling, they can also buy more pork to make bacon and sausage and eat it in winter.
finally, what do you think of the above pork prices? Welcome to leave a message for discussion.