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New Year's Day is approaching, hogs, eggs fell together, soybean meal market shock, corn is about to bottom out!
Introduction in December went through most of the end of the month, the arrival of the New Year's Day is only a few days, recently, the domestic agricultural market decadence highlighted by this month's hog prices sharply lower, the market price of pork gradually loosened, and egg prices also get rid of the trend of the horizontal plate, the market opened up the tide of price drops in soybean meal as well as maize, the price of shock lower, however, with the market more than the short game, a variety of agricultural products market and then out of the new changes, the market, the market has changed, and the market will be the first time. So, what happened to the market?

According to official sources, as of December 28, the national agricultural market, the average wholesale price of pork 26.17 yuan / kg, down 1.5% from the previous day, the recent price of pork gradually loosened, but many users feedback, the north and south of the majority of the region, the residents of the purchase price of pork is still maintained at 15 yuan / kg.

And in the egg market, at present, the average price of eggs in the domestic wholesale market of agricultural products 5.53 yuan / catty, down 0.9% from the previous day, however, in the production and marketing market, the average wholesale price of eggs is significantly lower, the price of eggs in some producing areas fell below 4 yuan / catty.

And for the price of beef and mutton, at this stage under the beef and mutton prices to maintain a high level of shock, in which the average wholesale price of beef 77.69 yuan / kg, the average wholesale price of mutton 67.15 yuan / kg, for the average resident, beef and mutton is still high to reach the existence of!

One, pig prices shocked down, downward trend or will be "flash in the pan"!

At present, the New Year's Day holiday is approaching, but, the domestic consumer market boost is highlighting the lack of power, the root cause is the mask problem for the consumption of inhibition of the performance is still obvious, recently, the domestic north and south areas, the average resident focused on the "turn of the sun", the residents of the home to rest and recuperate mainly, catering and dine-in demand is limited to the superstore and the wholesale market! People flow is scarce, the market purchase and sale is not smooth, the consumer market showed a sluggish performance!

In the hog market, due to the lack of consumer support, the end of December, the breeding side of the price willingness to warm up, recently, pig prices showed a counter-trend performance, just a few days, the price of hogs rose more than 14.6%, but with the price of hogs, the market recognized the price of the fence emotions turn thick, pig prices showed a shock downward trend!

According to the data statistics show that on December 29, pig prices fell 0.47 yuan, the national average price of the outer three yuan standard hogs out of the pen fell to 17.44 yuan / kg, the hog price single day decline maintained at 2.6%, year-on-year rise reached 8.6%!

Hog prices shocked downward, the key to the market to recognize the price out of the fence emotions steeply, the previous few days, the average price of hogs from 15.63 yuan / kg, a rapid rise to 17.91 yuan / kg, the breeding end of the profitability of the pen to improve, the market to recognize the price out of the fence emotions to heat up, the northern region of the retail hog farms of the supply of hogs to enhance the positivity of butchery enterprises by the downstream wholesale market of the white pigs not going well, the pressure on the price of the emotions turn thick, the price of the price of the pigs, and the price of the price of the pigs, and the price of the price of the pigs. The price of hogs shocked downward!

However, due to the market grouping of pig enterprises at the end of the month to reduce the slaughtering plan, and the breeding side of the resistance to the decline in pig prices is still high, the market price sentiment again turned thick, pig prices fell or difficult to sustain, in the short term, the market supply and demand game intensification, pig prices may continue to fluctuate strong trend!

Two, egg prices "diving", the market bullish mood warming!

At present, the domestic production and marketing market, the average wholesale price of eggs fell sharply, in which the average price of eggs away from the production area fell to 4.22 yuan / kg, the sales market egg prices bottomed out at 4.3 yuan / kg! And in the domestic zonal market, from institutional data to understand, the mainstream areas of Hebei egg prices fell to 3.87 ~ 4.1 yuan / catty, Xingtai, as well as Handan and other places, the local breeding end of the average price of the walk-in price fell below 4 yuan / catty.

In Shandong, mainstream egg prices stabilized at 4.1~4.3 yuan/catty, and in Henan market, the average price of eggs going across the board was around 4.35~4.4 yuan/catty!

At present, the domestic egg prices show a steady trend, the trend of egg drop gradually improved, on the one hand, with the increasing scale of laying hens, the breeding side of the egg inventory gradually improved, however, at this stage, the egg inventory year-on-year is still at a lower level; on the other hand, the domestic mobility of people in many parts of the country to gradually improve the enthusiasm for food and beverage as well as the super-consumption of the gradual restoration of the hot, superposition, the new year's day, the Spring Festival in the On the other hand, the mobility of people in many parts of the country is gradually improving, and the consumption of restaurants and supermarkets is gradually recovering! Therefore, egg prices have bottomed out rising trend, I think, in the short term, egg prices or will gradually get rid of the price depression, the market fluctuations in the strong trend!

Three, soybean meal market shock!

Recently, in the domestic soybean meal market, due to the mainstream oil mills show some price-pressing mood, by the current stage of the market under the soybean meal stocks are small, the domestic catering industry is cold, soybean oil is not good, the oil mill profit margins decline, superimposed on the higher cost of imported soybeans, oil mills price-pressing mood to thick, the domestic soybean meal quotes bottomed out the performance of the rebound!

However, due to the end of the year, the breeding end of the concentration of the steep increase in the mood, feed enterprises cautious replenishment, the demand for soybean meal gradually slowed down, while the scale of the oil mill soybean crushing continues to increase, the enterprise soybean meal stocks continue to increase, according to the agency's analysis, the domestic sample enterprise soybean meal stocks reached 503,900 tons this week, compared to early November, soybean meal stocks increased by nearly 70%.

Soybean meal supply capacity is gradually improving, the enterprise offer shock weak!

According to institutional data, at present, the domestic mainstream traders fell 40~50 yuan/ton, of which, Tianjin traders soybean meal offer 4630 yuan/ton, Shandong traders offer 4600 yuan/ton, Jiangsu traders offer 4610 yuan/ton, while in Guangdong, traders offer 4680 yuan/ton, the mainstream traders offer fell 40~50 yuan/ton around!

According to institutional analysis, as this month's imported soybeans reached 140 ships, the scale or will reach 9.1 million tons, the oil mill start rate to maintain a high level, the spot soybean meal supply capacity continues to improve, and into the end of the year, the feed enterprises still have a certain demand for stocking up, but, due to the gradual loosening of the supply capacity of soybean meal, the enterprises are cautious mood is high, in particular, at the end of the year, the domestic feed production or will decline, which will also Limit the performance of soybean meal market rise, in the short term, soybean meal prices may continue to oscillate weak trend!

Four, corn prices are about to bottom out!

Recently, domestic spot corn prices frequently lower, due to the fall, blocked by the mask problem, the grass-roots farmers slowed down the pace of grain sales, which also resulted in the gradual release of the end of the year corn supply capacity, grass-roots level, as well as traders to realize the demand for a steep increase in the domestic spot corn circulation increased, the enterprise to the plant is relatively loose, the factory along the trend of price pressures, the mainstream maize processing enterprises in Shandong quoted a gradual decline to 1.47 yuan / kg! Around!

But, as the market bullish mood is still high, grass-roots farmers have extended the cycle of corn hoarding, the market resistance to price reductions rebound one after another, by the rising cost of corn planting costs, this year's corn planting area in the Northeast to reduce the area of soybean planting instead of an increase in the number of grass-roots farmers to sell emotions turn thick, superimposed on the traders inventory is small, and deep processing enterprises still have to centralize replenishment needs before the festival, the short and long game! Under the corn prices are about to bottom out, prices are still shocking upward trend!

According to institutional analysis, New Year's Day, before the Spring Festival, the performance of domestic spot corn purchases and sales are still active, corn prices will still be mainly narrow range oscillation, but, in the medium and long term, the corn supply gap is still obvious, due to the international commodity prices, the cost of imported corn is rising, the domestic part of the traders turn to domestic corn storage, corn supply gap is more obvious!

Phase by phase, next year, February to March, corn price trend is weak, after all, the enterprise to inventory consumption is the main, and with the Northeast ground lying grain listing increased, tide grain listing increased, corn prices lack of support! Into 4 ~ 5 months, grass-roots residual grain is basically at the bottom of the policy regulation gradually appeared, the enterprise inventory continues to consume, the center of gravity of corn prices will gradually move up, but, into 6 ~ 7 months, with the arrival of the summer wheat harvest, traders have a tendency to vacate the warehouse, corn market supply briefly rebounded, the price of the trend of oscillation is weaker, but, in the medium and long term, the domestic spot corn prices will still maintain the trend of high-level shock. Enterprise listing price or will hover at 1.5 ~ 1.6 yuan / pound!

New Year's Day is approaching, hogs, eggs fell together, soybean meal market shock, corn is about to bottom out! In this regard, how do you think? The above is the author's personal views, pictures from the network!