First, the domestic epidemic has slowed down, and domestic consumption has driven up prices.
Second, farmers are holding a wait-and-see attitude due to heavy rainfall in many places.
Thirdly, most consumers choose raw meat because of the overseas epidemic.
0 1. Consumption and domestic demand stimulate pork prices to rise. As the epidemic situation in COVID-19 slows down, pork prices continue to rise. At the same time, the related data survey on the Internet also shows that the price of pork in early 2020 is lower than that at the end of 20 19, and the price of pork has dropped from 52 yuan per kilogram at the end of 20 19 to 46 yuan per kilogram around March and April of 2020. Even if this wave of pork price decline does not meet people's expectations, it is enough to be gratifying. Soon after the price of pork went up, people's demand for pork increased day by day compared with the severe epidemic period, and the catering industry also resumed work one after another.
According to the data of the National Bureau of Statistics, the national catering industry revenue decreased by 46.86% year-on-year in March, and the monthly decline has narrowed to 15.2%. It is inevitable that pork prices will continue to rise.
Affected by heavy rainfall, farmers usually take a wait-and-see attitude. The sudden rise in pork prices is not only driven by domestic consumption, but also caused by the supply side. This year, affected by heavy rainfall, most farmers took a wait-and-see attitude to control pig slaughter, which further aggravated the seasonal supply shortage of pork and led to an increase in prices. In the face of rising pork prices, Shandong Zhuochuang Information Co., Ltd. also made corresponding records and investigations. Wang Lingyun, an analyst in charge of the pig industry of the company, gave such an analysis of the reasons for the increase in pork prices: due to the influence of pig breeding cycle, the supply of pork is relatively tight in summer, and the transportation of pig products has been blocked due to the recent heavy rainfall, which has led to the increase in pork prices in some areas. Farmers believe that the weather is changeable this year, and they are more determined to take a wait-and-see attitude.
In 2003, an epidemic broke out in some provinces of China, and frozen meat was affected. Affected by the sudden epidemic in some areas of China in June and July, people's purchases of frozen meat also declined. Expert research shows that the sudden outbreaks in these local areas are mostly caused by imported frozen meat in fresh wholesale markets. In addition, the overseas epidemic situation has not been controlled or even aggravated, so most consumers prefer to choose raw meat, and the import quantity of raw pork is also significantly reduced compared with before. In this way, people's demand for pork is rising, but the supply of fresh pork is declining, which will inevitably lead to an increase in the supply price of pork market.
So finally, I also wish the overseas epidemic situation to be controlled as soon as possible. After all, in today's globalization, everyone is sharing weal and woe. If the overseas epidemic situation is not controlled, all aspects at home will be affected.