In the blink of an eye, in late October, a huge earthquake occurred in the agricultural product market, and the pig price started a second breakthrough, and the local pig price broke the 15 yuan mark; The differentiation of corn and wheat market is weakened, and the risk of wheat is increased, but there is good news for corn, and the market outlook can be expected; Egg prices continue to fall, and some areas have returned below 6 yuan; Sheep prices are still depressed, and the short-term market is not optimistic.

so what is the market like? What is the trend of the market outlook? Let's take you into the market to find out:

First, the price of pigs rose across the board in two days, hitting a new high in the year

Recently, the price of pigs fluctuated sharply, rising and falling suddenly, and both the market and pig farmers felt a little uncomfortable.

In October, the pig price has been fluctuating and rising for the first two weeks. After reaching 14.14 yuan/kg, it fell continuously for four days, and the pig price returned to the era of 13 yuan again. In the pig market today and tomorrow, there was a continuous violent rise for two days, and the market was in an uproar and there were many discussions.

On October 21th, the national pig price rose by about 1.35 yuan on average, and the national average pig price was 14.12 yuan/kg, hitting a new high in the year. The pig prices in Shanghai, Fujian, Jiangsu and Zhejiang exceeded the 15 yuan mark.

Pig prices have generally increased in various places, and the increase is relatively large. Among them,

The pig price in Anhui has increased by 5 cents per catty, ranging from 14.5 to 14.9 yuan/catty; Jiangsu rose 5 cents, 14.5-15.15 yuan/kg; Liaoning rose by 5 cents, 13.8-14.1 yuan/kg; Up by 4 hairs, 14.6-15.15 yuan/kg;

Shandong rose 4 cents, 14.1-14.65 yuan/kg; Shanxi rose 4 cents, 13.9-14.5 yuan/kg; Heilongjiang rose 4 cents, 13.6-14.1 yuan/kg; Jilin rose 4 cents, 13.7-14.1 yuan/kg.

other provinces have increased by 1-3 gross.

There are many reasons for the recent fluctuation of pig prices. According to the analysis of insiders,

First, the mentality of breeding subjects is unstable. From the current market, when the pig price rises for a few days, the mood of each breeding subject rises, resulting in a lot of selling pressure, so slaughter enterprises can only lower the purchase price.

when the price falls for a few days, the market does not buy up, and the market is controlled, resulting in frequent market fluctuations.

Second, there are many market news. The news about pig production capacity, the release of reserve pork, the import and export of pork, etc. all have some influences on the pig price, which has played a role in fueling the situation.

Third, related enterprises are not standardized in operation.

For example, some large pig enterprises control the slaughter at will, which affects the normal rhythm of pig supply in the market; For example, some slaughtering enterprises are more flexible in adjusting pig prices in combination with factors such as the quantity of pork in stock, sales speed and the number of vehicles to send pigs.

These irregular production operations are also a factor that leads to frequent fluctuations in pig prices.

Due to the rising price of pigs, the price of pork has been rising again and again recently. At present, the mainstream retail price of pork in China has reached 19-23 yuan/kg, and many netizens have reported that it is more difficult to spend.

The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs monitors the pork price, and it continues to rise. The report shows that as of 14:11 today, the average price of pork in the national agricultural products wholesale market is 35.12 yuan/kg, up 1.4% from yesterday. Beef is 78.52 yuan/kg, up 1.4% from yesterday; Mutton is 68.46 yuan/kg, up 2.1% from yesterday; Eggs 12.37 yuan/kg.

pork, beef and mutton all rose.

second, the risk of food prices has risen, but there are "three positives" for corn

In today's grain market, the prices of corn and wheat are still in a state of polarization, wheat continues to rise, and the trend of corn is weak, with only a few enterprises in Shandong rising and some enterprises in Northeast China continuing to reduce prices.

Today, the wheat market ended its unilateral rise, and there were differences in the market:

On the one hand, Liaocheng, a developed flour, rose by 1 points, with a price of 1.61 yuan/kg; Hexing flour rose 1.5 points and quoted 1.61 yuan/kg; Zhoukou Luwang rose 1 points, and the price was 1.61 yuan/kg.

On the other hand, Zhoukou Wudeli dropped by 1.5 points, and the quotation dropped to 1.615 yuan/kg; Shangqiu Wudeli dropped 1.5 points and quoted 1.615 yuan; Xinxiang Wudeli dropped 1.5 points and quoted 1.61 yuan/kg.

Today, the corn market is still weak in Northeast China, but strong in Shandong, Henan and other places:

On the one hand, Yipin in Daqing, Heilongjiang Province fell by 1, with 1.315 yuan/kg for 14% water and 1.1494 yuan/kg for 31% water; The Jade King of Kailu, Tongliao, Inner Mongolia, fell by 1.5 points, with 1.325 yuan/kg for 14% water and 1.171 yuan/kg for 31% water.

On the other hand, Houyuan Bio in Mengzhou, Henan Province rose by 2 points, offering 1.455 yuan/kg; Henan Luzhou Group rose 1.5 points and quoted 1.415 yuan/kg; Fufeng, Baoji, Shaanxi, rose 1 points and quoted 1.36 yuan/kg.

judging from the current market, the risk of the wheat market is relatively greater, and there is a risk of falling back at any time. The reasons are as follows:

First, the current wheat price is on the high side, and it has entered the era of 1.61 yuan. The purchase price of individual wheat enterprises is close to 1.71 yuan/kg, and the room for further increase is extremely limited.

Second, many feed enterprises are rushing to harvest corn at present, which indicates that some feed enterprises' share of wheat will be replaced by corn, because the price of wheat is too high and there is no cost performance.

Third, from the market performance, the price of wheat has been stagflation today, and many enterprises have begun to lower it, which shows that there is a dispute about the price of wheat in the market now, and some wheat traders are getting more and more anxious to settle down.

The risk in the wheat market has increased, but the corn market is relatively optimistic. Although it is at the peak of the corn market, the corn price is relatively stable, and it has only dropped in a small area and a small extent before, but in recent days, the corn price in some areas has begun to rebound.

The main reason is that some enterprises are optimistic about the low corn price and high cost performance, and their willingness to open positions has increased, and some feed enterprises have expanded their corn procurement.

In addition, there are several good news about corn recently, which also supports the corn market.

First, the price of corn imported from southern ports is high recently, reaching 3,411 yuan/ton, which has boosted the domestic corn market.

Second, the prices of feed raw materials such as soybean meal, fish meal and bone meal have risen sharply recently, which has also brought benefits to corn, one of the important raw materials of feed prices, in the case of soaring prices of pigs and eggs.

Third, the recent corn auction of China Grain Reserve showed a "three highs" state of high reserve price, high premium and high transaction rate, which also played a positive role in corn prices.

From this analysis, the future trend of wheat and corn, wheat has more risks and corn has more opportunities.

3. Eggs continue to fall. Egg prices in 5 yuan can be expected to

enter mid-October, and the egg market and pig prices will fall almost at the same time. At present, pig prices have started to rise, but egg prices are still fluctuating downward, and egg prices in some areas have returned to below 6 yuan.

Today's egg market shows that the national average price of eggs dropped by 3 points, 5.74 yuan/kg.

Among them, the three northeastern provinces fell across the board, and the mainstream quotation was 5.41-6.31 yuan/kg; Hebei and Inner Mongolia provinces in North China fell, and the mainstream quotation in the region was 5.16-6.25 yuan/kg; In East China, Shanghai, Jiangsu and Shandong provinces and cities fell, Anhui rose, and the regional mainstream price was 5.5-6.9 yuan/kg; The mainstream price in Central China is 5.57-6.41 yuan/kg; The mainstream price in Northwest China is 5.7-6.7 yuan/kg.

Among them, 5 yuan fell in Huilongguan, Yuegezhuang, Laiguangying, Wangsiying, Shimen in Shunyi and Shuitun in Changping, with 271 yuan /44 kg; Tianjin Jixian, Baodi, Wuqing, Ninghe and other places fell to 5 yuan, 257 yuan /45 kg; 3 yuan fell in Shanghai, 167 yuan /27.5 kg; Duqi County, Henan Province fell to 1.1 yuan, 5.71 yuan/kg; Jiangsu Shuyang, Fengxian and other places fell in 2 yuan, 171 yuan /31 kg; Pingliang, Gansu, Jingchuan fell to 1.1 yuan, 5.91 yuan, Jin.

The reasons for the continuous decline in egg prices are not complicated:

First, the price of eggs has risen to 6 or 7 yuan a catty, which is relatively rare, and many consumers are discouraged, resulting in a decline in sales.

Second, since the second quarter, the amount of chicks' supplementary bars has increased, which has led to an increase in the number of newly opened laying hens and an increase in productivity.

Third, due to individual events, the income of some residents has shrunk, the catering industry has also been affected, and it is difficult to transport eggs abroad in the producing areas, all of which have adverse effects on egg prices.

regarding the market outlook, I personally feel that eggs are not the home market in the consumption in the fourth quarter. Under the circumstances that the production capacity is picking up and the consumption is weakening, it is difficult to make a big difference in the price of eggs, and it is possible to return to the 5 yuan era in an all-round way or even lower.

Fourth, the sheep industry retreated, leaving a lot of pig hair

Finally, the price of sheep has been low since the beginning of the year. Even if the price of sheep rebounded in some areas in June and July, it could not stop the "general trend" of the downward cycle of the price of sheep.

The mainstream price of fattening sheep in various places has dropped to 1.3-1.5 yuan/kg, the price of eliminated sheep is between 9-1 yuan/kg, and the price of lambs weighing 31 kg is mostly between 411-611 yuan/kg.

compared with the same period last year, these prices are about 211-311 yuan each.

The latest sheep price shows that the fattening sheep in Zhoukou, Henan Province is 14 yuan 1 Jin; Xiangcheng county, Henan province: cotton sheep and ewes are ten yuan a catty, and rams are thirteen and eleven jins; Lambs (male) weighing 31 kg in Tongguan area of Shaanxi Province weigh 5OO yuan/lamb, and females weigh 4OO yuan/lamb; Eliminate ewe 11 yuan/kg, fatten mutton sheep 12 yuan/kg.

recently, there has been a phenomenon in the market, that is, new farmers who have entered the sheep industry since 2118, because of the fact that the price of sheep has fallen this year, the feed has risen sharply and the labor cost is high, they lose money every day they raise it, and the more they raise it, the more they lose money. Recently, they began to clear the column and start a big sale. As a result, the price of sheep has been falling in the near future.

Some farmers have begun to accelerate the culling of ewes, while slaughter enterprises need to buy fattened sheep at a cost of 1.4 yuan or 5 yuan a catty, while buying and eliminating big ewes is 5 yuan or 6 yuan cheaper, while mutton is still sold at a high price of 35-45 yuan/catty, which is more profitable, thus squeezing the price of normal fattened sheep.

as for the market outlook of sheep prices, experts predict that the inflection point of the sheep cycle will be in the second half of 2123. I wonder if it is reliable?

dear friends, the prices of pork and eggs have fluctuated frequently recently, and they are still not low. I wonder what your price is? Welcome to share it with netizens all over the country for your reference.