The restoration of normality is divided into three steps, that is, three stages, and the time estimation of the three stages is as follows: the first stage is early March; The second stage is from the end of April to the beginning of May; The third stage is from mid-July to early August. These three stages represent different periods of the epidemic development.

The first stage is the period we are currently experiencing (early March). At present, at this stage, the epidemic situation has been initially controlled, social activities have begun to resume in a limited way and major projects are in the stage of resuming work and production.

social activities such as resumption of work and production are carried out in an orderly manner under the premise that the efforts to prevent and control the epidemic situation are not relaxed. Gradually restore social vitality and economic construction. However, for the floating population who go to other places to return to work and resume production, they should be strictly isolated at home before joining the production post.

at the same time, some service industries that are not closely related to people's life and social activities are still in the stage of suspension for the time being. For example, restaurants, hotels, Internet cafes, KTV and large shopping malls are not recommended for the time being. Those who return to work and resume production should strictly implement the requirements of epidemic prevention and control, wear masks, wash their hands frequently and disinfect frequently. Reduce unnecessary going out and staying during non-working hours.

In the second stage (from the end of April to the beginning of May), the development of the epidemic and the spread of the virus were completely controlled. However, there are still confirmed cases and suspected cases for observation and treatment in hospitals, the most obvious manifestation of which is that no more confirmed cases or suspected cases are added every day throughout the country. That is to say, Covid-19 has been wiped out at the social level. There are no more virus patients and asymptomatic novel coronavirus carriers in society.

at this stage, all trades and professions can basically resume production and normal business. All workers can devote themselves to social production and social activities. However, for the sake of safety, everyone should also pay attention to personal hygiene and protective measures in the process of production and life, and avoid contact with virus hosts such as wild animals.

in the third stage (from mid-July to early August), all confirmed cases and suspected cases were cured and discharged. At the same time, scientific research institutes have successfully developed vaccines or specific drugs for Covid-19, including hospitals, which can restore normal order. All aid medical teams returned to their hometowns and original jobs.

During this period, people from all walks of life basically don't have to worry about the troubles and threats brought by novel coronavirus. This virus was completely defeated and destroyed by human beings. Everyone can return to their living and working conditions before the outbreak.

looking back over the past two months, our country has concentrated its efforts on fighting the epidemic. The people of the whole country voluntarily joined in this war of resistance against the epidemic. Although the outbreak of the epidemic coincided with the traditional Chinese festival-Spring Festival, all parts of the country quickly took effective measures to control the spread of the epidemic, and completely canceled personnel-intensive activities such as New Year greetings, temple fairs and fairs, which made the spread of the virus lose its transmission route. This makes it possible to control the spread of the epidemic so quickly.

except Wuhan, it is expected that the whole country will return to normal completely in April. However, starting from March, some cities will be unsealed one after another, and they will be unsealed gradually. At present, most of them use unblocking codes or issuing passes, and most of them are all normal and have no experience of going out.

If you come back from going out, or have a history of contact with people in Wuhan, and have been isolated, it is estimated that you will not be able to leave the house for a while.

starting from tomorrow, almost the third 14 days, even if it is over, March 4th is a turning point in all parts of the country, and many cities will begin to unseal one after another on this day. However, it will not be fully liberalized, and several categories of people will still be restricted from going out. After that, slowly, it will be fully liberalized.

major cities in China should completely return to the past, at least in April. If the epidemic situation is mild, it is expected to return to normal by the end of March. If the epidemic situation is serious, it is expected to return to normal in mid-April or May.

if supermarkets, shopping malls, scenic spots, etc. are fully open for business, and individual businesses are fully started, it is expected that the epidemic situation will be serious by the end of April or early May. If the epidemic is not serious, it will have to be in early April.

like some cinemas and places where students start classes, it is estimated that it will be longer. At present, only Guizhou and Qinghai have defined the start time. For example, the start time of senior three and junior three in Guizhou is March 6, while Qinghai stipulates that the start time of junior middle school students is March 3. Because the epidemic situation in these places is relatively light, the start time is relatively early.

The whole country, including Hubei and Wuhan, will really return to normal, and it will take June for scenic spots, cinemas and large crowded places to return to normal, that is, half a year has passed.

Wen/Yinhua

If I have super powers, I really hope that the whole country will return to normal soon. How many people share my feelings?

It took eight months for the SARS virus to end. Although the mortality rate in Covid-19 is lower than that of SARS, it is highly contagious. Up to now, more than 81,111 people have been diagnosed in China, and nearly 3,111 people have died unfortunately. This epidemic is really serious.

Since the outbreak of the epidemic, people all over the country have chosen to stay at home and suffocate the virus, and when it will return to normal has become a matter of concern to all of us.

Zhang Ying, deputy director of Tianjin CDC, known as "Sherlock Holmes" in Tianjin, once said:

On February 27th, Academician Zhong Nanshan also said at the special news briefing on epidemic prevention and control in Guangzhou that it is expected that the epidemic situation will be basically controlled in April. But controlling it doesn't mean you can return to normal, and there is still a way to go.

Just like Bai Yansong's interpretation of epidemiology by experts in the program, no matter how it is calculated, it will last for the whole March, but if there is a slight relaxation in the middle, there will be loopholes in any link, which will prolong the end of the epidemic and increase the difficulty of the epidemic prevention war.

Recently, Director Zhang Wenhong of online celebrity also talked about the epidemic situation:

1. Hubei is now in a tough battle, and the state's control will not be relaxed until the number of new cases in Hubei continues to decline.

2. When there are no new cases in the whole country within one month, you can take off the mask.

3. There is no specific medicine at present, but it is important to rely on multidisciplinary comprehensive treatment.

4. COVID-19, a virus with high fatality rate, is not easy to exist with humans, but may adapt to humans.

5. Agree with Academician Zhong Nanshan's prediction that "the domestic fighting will end at the end of April". The most important thing now is patience and confidence.

We have made great efforts to prevent and treat the disease. Except Hubei Province, the total number of confirmed cases in other provinces has been in single digits in recent days. It can be said that the control has achieved initial success.

Although China's Covid-19 has achieved initial victory, Covid-19 has spread to more than 21 countries around the world, especially Japan, South Korea, Iran, Italy and other countries. Therefore, it is also possible for China to develop from a virus exporting country to a virus importing country.

According to the experience of SARS, because viruses are fond of cold and afraid of heat, if we want to return to normal in the whole country, it will be July at the earliest, when the weather is hot. Of course, it does not rule out that scientists have developed specific drugs, which may accelerate the elimination of the virus.

at the present situation, there is still a long way to go before the country can return to normal.

Now is the easiest time to relax. If paralysis is relaxed, it will easily make the virus come back.

even if I can't get back to normal, I hope everyone of us is healthy!

in what month is it expected that the country will return to normal?

It is quoted by Zhong Nanshan Courtyard that the national epidemic situation should be strictly controlled until the end of April. In addition, from the climate of our country, the whole country will warm up in May and really enter summer, and respiratory infectious diseases popular in winter and spring should not be high! Therefore, it is very likely that the country will return to normal in May!

However, May is still two months away from now. Can we just wait as ordinary people? Although many whistles have been blown all over the country to resume work and production, due to the limitation of production capacity of masks and other materials, enterprises are under great pressure to prevent and control risks, and the possibility of really resuming work and production will be discounted!

Although there are no diseases and low risks, some places blindly emphasize the responsibility of prevention and control and miss the opportunity of development. In order to be "safe", they would rather wait for the national epidemic to pass! The controlled bayonet seems to be ready for the resumption of work and production. You can pass with a health certificate, but no one is responsible. No one is willing to sign and seal this certificate, and migrant workers still can't go out! Trapped foreigners can't go back!

At this moment, I personally think that Dr. Zhang Wenhong from Shanghai Huashan Hospital has a point: "If you don't return to work as soon as possible, the death rate of the population will be higher than that of COVID-19"!

With such a large population, if all the clothes are stretched out, how long will it last? If the hospital is not operating normally, it is only for patients with fever, and those with other diseases can only watch ...... < P > In fact, Chinese medicine practitioners in various places have not summed up that many hospital preparations can be used for prevention, treatment and recovery. Why can't we restore normal life in dynamic control? With the exception of Wuhan and even Hubei as a special case, should other places, like Jian Jiang, Guangdong and Guizhou, take practical actions to resume their work and seize the opportunity of development?

Although the epidemic situation has been repeated in Lishui, Zhejiang Province, 8 new cases were imported from Italy! We should see that many countries in the world except China have outbreaks, and the imported risks are gradually increasing, which will make our epidemic prevention and control period even longer! If we wait for the epidemic to disappear completely, we may miss the development opportunity!

Therefore, the conclusion should be that all localities should not wait for the unified speech from above to return to normal life! We should adjust measures to local conditions and enter their normal lives according to local actual conditions. Prevention and control in the dynamic! A lot can be done from today! It is enough to focus on traffic input detection and Wuhan, Hubei Province, as well as returnees and close contacts!

let's do what we can from now on!

First of all, from the peak of the outbreak, after the prevention and control of the * * * epidemic in all parts of the country, the inflection point of the epidemic began to appear gradually in mid-February, and the number of confirmed cases in all parts gradually decreased. At the beginning of March, the impact of the peak of the resumption of work after the Spring Festival had been gradually eliminated, and there was still the possibility that people returning to work would cause re-infection in the future. However, under the strict prevention and control of enterprises returning to work in all parts of the country, it is estimated that the incidence rate will not be very high

According to the reported data of the epidemic situation, the number of confirmed cases in all regions except Hubei is now high, and many provinces have started to make zero diagnosis. Up to now, most provinces in China have adjusted the level of epidemic prevention and control from level I to level II, and more than seven provinces have correspondingly adjusted the level of epidemic prevention and control to level III. All these data indicate that the trend of epidemic prevention and control is getting better.

Although the epidemic situation is expected to be basically controlled by the end of April, it will take a long time to return to a normal life. In the future, in addition to strengthening epidemic prevention and control in Hubei Province, other provinces should continue to do a good job in epidemic prevention and control. The most important thing is that with the continuous outbreak of cases in other parts of the world, all localities are beginning to pay attention to imported cases from other countries. Take Heilongjiang as an example, there have been no new confirmed cases for many days. However, due to the recent serious outbreak of the Korean epidemic, many people began to return to China, which added difficulties to the domestic epidemic prevention and control work.

If you really want to return to normal completely, you must meet the following conditions:

1. All suspected virus carriers are completely isolated from people who are exposed to the virus, and there is no route of infection, which cuts off the whole infection chain.

2. There are treatable drugs for the epidemic.

3. Produce a vaccine that can prevent pneumonia.

Therefore, from the above analysis, even if the epidemic situation is basically controlled in April, it will not fully return to normal life, and the impact of the epidemic will be further prolonged. If it is fully recovered, it will be at least in the second half of the year or at the end of the year.

what is the definition of returning to normality? My understanding, the ideal return to normal, life has the following characteristics: no need to wear a mask, go to work normally, go shopping casually at night, and the restaurant business is booming. If this situation is named ideal normal and the score is 111 points, then the return to normal can be classified according to the characteristics of life, which can be divided into four steps.

the first stage: from March 11 to early April, 51 minutes is normal. At this stage, all parts of the country except Hubei have been zero-diagnosed for several days, which is relatively stable. The epidemic situation in Hubei may fluctuate. According to the current epidemic curve, the number of people cured every day and the number of newly diagnosed people, on March 21, the number of people being treated in the country dropped below 111. Outside Hubei, all industries wore masks to work, and production resumed 81%. In Hubei Province, some industries were approved to work, and production resumed 41%. The national shopping malls were closed and restaurants were still empty.

the second stage: from early April to April 21th, 71 minutes is normal. Outside Hubei province, you can work without masks, production has resumed 91%, life has basically recovered, shopping is basically normal, and children still can't go to school. In Hubei Province, 61% of production is resumed by wearing masks, and shopping, going to school and having dinner are still dreams.

the third stage: from April 21th to May 21th, 91 minutes is normal. Back to normal outside Hubei, children go to school normally, eat together normally, laugh and work happily without masks and hearts. Hubei Province resumed 81% of work, slowly took off the mask, and was eager to eat food. I went to school in the third grade of high school and junior high school, and the university was hard to say.

the fourth stage: after may 21th, it will be normal at 111. More people cheered, people who lost weight got busy, beer, skewers and crayfish began to get together, and the dolls began to go to school for eight consecutive months without summer vacation.

The above is only a personal prediction view. I suggest that you actively play the health code, follow the unified deployment of the central government, and make preparations for returning to work.

non-key areas are expected to return to normal at the beginning of April, and key areas are expected to return to normal at the end of April. First of all, we should define the return to normality, that is, the social order is similar to that before the epidemic, at least we don't have to wear masks all day.

1. Professor Zhong Nanshan predicted that the epidemic might be completely controlled before the end of April. According to my understanding, the so-called complete control, at least not in the province or city as a unit to calculate new cases, but in the whole.