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Foresight is the ability to reason as close as possible to the future.
Foresight is a kind of reasoning ability as close as possible to the future, which is based on insight, judgment and learning ability.

Three basic abilities

We dare not say that we have foresight, but these three abilities can be trained.

Insight is the foundation of foresight. You have the courage to "predict the future" because you believe that some unchanging underlying logic is driving change. Understanding the underlying logic under methodology is insight.

For example, opening a restaurant, 10 years, 20 years, has not changed much. At this time, what you are discussing with your peers is only some theoretical things, such as where to open the warehouse and how to design the menu. But "Hungry" appeared, and soon you found that the original restaurant was a combination of "front table+back kitchen". If you are hungry, change the table in front of you, and you will obviously feel that the kitchen part is actually a combination of "chef+equipment". Whoever can grasp the core element of chef is likely to get a share in the catering industry.

After understanding the underlying logic, we should judge the change of the environment and use "underlying logic+new hypothesis" to gain foresight.

How to train judgment? We should be curious about new things, dare to try, and let the future come to us. Specifically, pay attention to all kinds of new technologies, new industries and new demands.

In the past, because experience accumulated faster than the times, the older you get, the richer your experience becomes. Young people must learn from old people. American anthropologist margaret mead called it "pre-figurative culture". However, with the rapid change, it is too late to accumulate experience. Our experience no longer comes from the past, but from the future that is happening.

None of us dare to say that we can predict the future, but we can at least train several basic abilities to predict the future: insight, judgment and learning ability.