The first chapter is an overview.
1. 1 project name
Cement plant with an annual output of 20,000 tons
1.2 Organizer
Guangxi construction engineering group 5 th construction company
1.3 basis for compiling feasibility study report
(1) Guide to Feasibility Study of Investment Projects (China Electric Power Press);
(2) Power of Attorney for Declaration signed by the enterprise and our center;
(3) The original design data and other basic data provided by the enterprise.
1.4 necessity analysis of project construction
(1) This project is the demand of cement market and local economic development. The economy of Sanjiang County in Wanliu City is developing rapidly, and the expressway passing through the county is under construction. At present, the county's annual output of cement is only 40,000 tons, which is far from meeting the market demand.
⑵ The project aims to improve the layout of cement industry in our city, optimize the structure of cement industry where the project is located and improve the overall competitiveness of the industry where the project is located. Following the principle of optimizing production capacity and market allocation, production capacity should be gradually transferred to major consumption areas and distribution centers.
⑶ This project is to meet the needs of market opportunities, and it is ahead of cement enterprises in this city in terms of joint restructuring. Facing the huge market advantage, the project location has become the focus of cement enterprises in this city.
1.5 proposed site
Sanjiangcheng Village, Sanjiang County, Liuzhou City, Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region
1.6 construction scale and objectives
The construction scale of this project is an annual output of 20,000 tons of finished cement.
1.7 Main construction conditions
(1) Source of funds
The total investment of this project is 6,260,700 yuan. Wholly foreign-owned, bank loans.
(2) Supply of raw materials
1) calcareous raw materials
Mainly limestone, marl charcoal, chalk, shells and so on. The limestone reserves in this town are very large, which can be directly exploited and utilized.
2) Clay raw materials
Natural clay raw materials are loess, clay, shale, mudstone, siltstone and river mud, which can be provided in the county.
3) Calibration of raw materials
Commonly used siliceous correction raw materials are sandstone, river sand and siltstone. When the oxygen in the clay
When the aluminum content is low, it can penetrate into high aluminum raw materials such as cinder, fly ash and coal gangue for correction, and can be mined and purchased in the county.
4) Gypsum
Gypsum used as retarder is mainly supplied by Liuzhou, Beijing, and the supply capacity is guaranteed, and it is transported into the factory by car.
5) Fuel
The main fuel for cement production is bituminous coal, and there is a fuel company in Liuzhou that can provide cement production.
(3) Power supply
Sanjiang county is provided by water conservancy and electric power co., ltd.
(4) Water supply
The construction area of the site is rich in water resources, and there is a water supply company in the county. The quantity and quality of water can meet the production requirements.
(5) Construction site conditions
1, geographical location
The proposed project is located in Sanjiang County. Sanjiang county is located in the southwest of Liuzhou city, bordering Liuzhou city, covering an area of 86 square kilometers.
2. Current situation
The proposed project covers an area of 6,543,800 square meters, including basic farmland, villagers' private plots and wasteland. The specific land acquisition problem will be coordinated by the town government with relevant departments.
3. Terrain conditions of the construction site
The east, west and north sides of XX belong to hilly and shallow mountainous areas, and the terrain in the south-central part is relatively flat. So the site is located in the south-central part of the town, which is the seat of the town government. The geological structure of the site is simple, the terrain is gentle and there is no big drop.
(6) Transportation
Sanjiang is located in the north of Guangxi, at the junction of Hunan, Guizhou and Guangxi. Liu Zhi Railway is 89 kilometers long and passes through Danzhou Town, Laobao Township, Chengcun Township, Zhouping Township and Bajiang Township. The highway is mainly composed of two national highways, 209, 32 1, extending in all directions. Before 2000, Danzhou, Guyi, Zhouping and Jiang Dou had 149 administrative villages with highways and 16 townships with oil roads. The county's highway mileage is 964.764 kilometers, including 40.259 kilometers of third-class highway, 258.529 kilometers of fourth-class highway and 665.976 kilometers of contour highway. There is an oil road 107.37 km; 65,438 bus stops+0,4370 square meters. In 2006, the construction progress of traffic projects in Sanjiang County was accelerated. The total investment of transportation projects in the county has been 1. 1.07 million yuan. Sanjiang-Congjiang (Phase I) project has completed land acquisition survey, land certificate and forest right certificate approval, and is currently doing preliminary work such as bidding for project owners. Two cement roads, Zhaizhun-Du Dong-Xiangjie, Chankou-Le Tong-Mengzhai, have entered the site to pave cement pavements, and the projects are progressing smoothly. Tongcun Grade IV Highway 17, of which 6 have been built and are under construction 1 1. Of the 40 Tongtun roads, 23 have been completed and 17 is under construction. New achievements have been made in the construction of transportation infrastructure. The main highways include National Highway 209, Liuzhou in the south, Tongdao County in Hunan in the north, National Highway 32 1, Guilin in the east and congjiang county in Guizhou in the west. The highway traffic network in the county is radial with the county as the center, and the towns in the county 15 are unimpeded. In addition, Liu Zhi Railway runs north to Hunan, Hubei, Nantong, Liuzhou and Nanning, and Liu Zhi Railway runs across the county, with 9 railway stations in the territory. The planned Guiyang-Fuzhou Railway and yingtan-Xiamen Expressway all pass through Sanjiang, which has potential traffic advantages. There is also water transportation from Rongjiang to Liuzhou.
(7) Climatic conditions
Sanjiang Dong Autonomous County is located at the junction of Hunan, Guizhou and Guangxi provinces in the north of Guangxi. Located in the humid climate zone of Nanling in the middle subtropical zone, it belongs to the mountainous valley climate zone, with abundant rainfall and hot and rainy seasons. The average temperature in recent ten years is 18.3℃, the maximum is Leng Yue 1 month, the average temperature is 7.3℃, and the extreme minimum temperature is 5.2℃. The hottest month is July, with an average temperature of 27.3℃ and an extreme maximum temperature of 39.5℃. The active accumulated temperature is 569 1.4, and the air relative humidity is above 8 1%. The annual average sunshine hours are 1334.3 hours. The average frost-free period is 320 days, the average annual precipitation is 1730.2 mm, and the annual solar radiation is 89.69 kcal/cm2, with the same season of rain and heat, and the cold part is bright. The main disastrous weather is spring drought, autumn drought, flood and cold in late spring.
1.8 project investment and benefits (see attached table)
1.9 Main technical and economic indicators
The designed production scale of this project is 20,000 tons of 425# cement/year. From the perspective of construction scale, the project fully reflects the scale benefits of the cement industry. On the premise of ensuring the production of high-quality cement products suitable for market demand, the investment should be reduced as much as possible to facilitate the rolling development.
The project construction implements the concept of circular economy, actively promotes clean production technology, takes improving the utilization rate of resources and energy as the core, reduces the consumption of energy, water resources and mineral resources, and minimizes the generation of pollutants. On the basis of giving priority to reducing resources, energy consumption and pollutants, according to the concept of circular economy and building a conservation-oriented society, we will realize efficient utilization and recycling of resources, minimize waste discharge, complete energy conversion and rational utilization, and realize the processing of comprehensive utilization of waste, thus becoming a new generation cement factory in our city.
Chapter II Market Forecast
2. 1 Determination of product target market
There is no cement plant in Sanjiang County, and there is a large demand in the county. With the acceleration of the construction of small towns, cement is in short supply. The main market target is the sales in Sanjiang County.
2.2 Product Price Status and Forecast
2.2. 1 Liuzhou Construction Market Analysis
Table 6-3 Liuzhou1991~ Capital construction investment unit in 2002: 100 million yuan.
year
Capital construction in
Put investment in it.
Municipal public utilities
Engineering residential building
Usually building other things.
199 1 3.65672 0.98568 1.46987 1.45897
1992 6.46 132 1.86759 2.4532 1 1.89765
1993 10.30645 2.25649 3.78962 1.96589
1994 8.502 1 1 1.89365 3.26456 2.94365
1995 13.8357 4.286 12 5.6 1235 3.33642
1996 19.8285 1 4. 14652 6.5632 1 2. 12456
Average annual growth rate during the eighth five-year plan period
1997 19.373 18 4.5362 1 7.2 1345 3.44562
1998 18.36789 6.42 136 6.6639 1 3.26458
1999 22.57685 8.23659 7.89562 5.32 145
2000 24.75456 9.22654 9.6532 1 5.623 13
200 1 23.99856 9.39856 8.65345 4.562 13
Average annual growth rate during the ninth five-year plan period
2002 28.89942 12.8569 9.56324 6.23 145
2.2.2 Trend Extrapolation Forecast
(1). Establish the model.
Using the original data from 1990 to 2002 in the following table, the time trend extrapolation analysis is roughly linear.
Figure 6-3 Y-t diagram
Using trend extrapolation method and Excel2002 software, the prediction model can be simulated as follows:
Where-investment forecast value
-Selected time
(2) Forecast
According to the formula, the predicted value of Liuzhou in 2003-20 12 can be calculated.
Table 6-4 Liuzhou Capital Construction Investment Forecast
2003 2004 2006 2007 2008 2010 20112.
Investment 36.6 39.47 42.26 45.06 47.85 50.65 53.44 56.24 59.03 6438+0.83
Chapter III Construction Scale and Product Scheme
3. 1 construction scale
The construction scale of this project is an annual output of 20,000 tons of finished cement.
3.2 Production method
New dry production technology of rotary kiln.
3.3 product scheme
Production of 425# bagged cement and bulk cement
Chapter IV Site Selection
The site of the cement plant is selected in Chengcun, Sanjiang County.
Chengcun township has convenient transportation. Liu Zhi Railway and National Highway 32 1 run through the territory and can pass through Liuzhou, Guilin, Hunan Tongdao County, Guizhou Liping County and congjiang county, among which Liu Zhi Railway has a freight station in Chengcun; Waterway Jiang Xun River Express Rongjiang and Liujiang. Every village in the whole town is connected. The Guiyang-Guangzhou high-speed railway, which started in 2008, passes through Simatun in Li Si Village, and there is a station nearby. The transportation is very convenient and it is a treasure-house for investment and development. Chengcun Township has been listed as an "industrial concentration area" by Sanjiang County in the 11th Five-Year Plan. With its geographical advantages, Chengcun Township has increased its efforts to attract investment.
The fifth chapter can save water measures
5. 1 water saving: the design of water supply project makes full use of the municipal water supply pressure, reasonably determines the water supply mode, and adopts water-saving sanitary equipment to reduce energy consumption.
5.2 Energy-saving: energy-saving point light source lighting equipment is adopted, and metal halide lamps are used for floodlighting in the hall and outdoors. Three-crystal frequency converter energy-saving equipment.
Chapter VI Environmental Impact Assessment
6. 1 Impact and harm of cement production on the environment
Protecting the environment is directly related to the prosperity of the country, the rise and fall of the nation, social stability, overall strategy and long-term development. China has a large population, less per capita resources and a heavy environmental load. At present, environmental pollution and ecological destruction are more serious, so environmental protection must be placed at the height of basic national policy.
In the production process of cement plant, there are many transportation links, poor sealing and high temperature operation, so the pollution to the environment is mainly dust, smoke, noise and waste heat, especially dust and smoke. In cement production, the crushing and grinding of raw materials, the unloading of suspension kiln, the crushing and conveying of clinker, and the grinding and packaging of cement are mostly mineral dust containing more than 10% of active silica, and the particles of10.1micron account for a considerable proportion, which can directly enter respiratory alveoli, with a deposition rate of about 90%. Noise is a kind of malignant stimulus, which mainly harms the hearing organs and nerves of human body and causes other pathological changes of human function.
6.2 Environmental protection measures
First of all, in the cement production of rotary kiln, it is necessary to keep the production stable, make the production fluctuation small, reduce the content of carbon monoxide in flue gas and adjust the reasonable air-coal ratio, which can not only eliminate smoke, but also reduce fuel consumption.
Secondly, use a vacuum cleaner to minimize the harm of dust to people and the environment.
Thirdly, strengthening the greening of the factory, the clean environment is beneficial to the normal production of the factory and the health of workers, and improving the environment of the cement plant by using the dust-reducing, dust-retaining and sound-insulating functions of green plants, which is an indispensable and important link in the environmental protection design of the cement plant in recent years. During the construction of the project, all open spaces will be used for greening to the maximum extent, and roadside trees and hedges will be planted on both sides of the roads in the production area; Planting lawns and green belts in some open spaces can reduce dust pollution and beautify the environment.
Chapter VII Project Implementation Progress
Fully consider the marketing plan, market demand and project anti-risk ability, and plan to complete the whole project development and operation as planned at a faster development speed.
The project is scheduled to formally start construction in March 2008, with ground construction in June and completion in September 2009. The construction period of the above-ground project is 15 months.
See the table below for specific development progress.
Construction schedule
(2008.3—2009.9)
Partial decomposition
Projects in 2008-2009
March 5, April
June July August September 65438+ October 65438+ October 65438+ February 65438+ February March April May June July 8.
The ninth month
moon
basis
Engineering earthwork excavation
concrete foundation
Foundation bricklaying
Foundation backfill soil
main body
Concrete pouring of engineering beams, ring beams and columns
Concrete slab
Main body bricklaying
Roofing engineering
decorate
System and safety of engineering doors and windows
Interior wall plastering
External wall plastering
Paint painting
Exterior wall spraying
Installation engineering water supply and drainage
warm
electric current
Chapter VIII Investment Estimation
8. 1 Investment estimation basis
1. Investment estimation index of cement plant of National Building Materials Bureau 1997.
2. Construction engineering (civil engineering, public works)
(1) Notice of the State Planning Commission and the Ministry of Construction on Printing and Distributing the Methods and Parameters of Economic Evaluation of Construction Projects (JJ (1993) No.530);
(2) Civil engineering: 200 1 Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region construction engineering unit estimation table; 200 1 comprehensive budget quota for construction projects in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region;
(3) Installation: the budget quota of the national unified installation project is summarized in the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region;
⑷ Market price adjustment: Liuzhou engineering construction and cost information in the first quarter of 2008.
3. Equipment and equipment installation project
(1) Recent quotation data of domestic equipment manufacturers, considering transportation costs and certain floating factors;
⑵ The transportation and miscellaneous expenses of the equipment are calculated at 3% of the original price of the equipment, and the basic expenses and installation expenses of the equipment are calculated according to the Method for Preparation of Budget Estimates for Construction Projects of Mechanical Industry and Budget Estimates Indicators of the Ministry of Machinery.
4. Other expenses
Survey and design supervision fee: calculated with reference to relevant national charging standards.
5. Basic reserve fund
6% of the sum of project cost and other expenses. According to the provisions of DocumentNo. (1999) 1340 of the State Planning Commission, the price difference reserve is not calculated for the time being.
8.2 Estimated total investment of the project (see attached table)
Chapter IX Financial Analysis
9. 1 Selection of basic data and parameters for financial evaluation
According to the "financial evaluation parameters" in the former State Planning Commission and the Ministry of Construction 1993 "Methods and Parameters of Economic Evaluation of Construction Projects", the project belongs to the cement industry in the building materials industry, with a benchmark return rate of 8%, a benchmark investment payback period of 13, an average investment profit rate of 8% and an average investment profit and tax rate of 12%.
The interest rate is calculated according to the current interest rate published by the People's Bank of China. Other data are determined according to relevant regulations or surveys; The following table lists the basic data.
primary data
Project calculation period (year) 16
Departmental benchmark rate of return (%)
Grace period for foreign exchange repayment (year) 0
Amortization period of intangible assets is 10.00.
Proportion of special fund and surplus reserve fund (%)
Special fund 0.00
Surplus reserve fund 10.00
Various interest rates (%)
The foreign exchange borrowing rate is 9.00.
The investment loan interest rate is 1 1.70.
Short-term loan interest rate 0.00
Various tax rates (%)
VAT 17.00
Education surcharge 3.00
Urban and rural maintenance and construction tax 5.00 construction period (year) 1
Foreign exchange repayment period 0
Depreciation rate of fixed assets (%) 6.50
Amortization period of deferred assets (year) 5.00
The interest rate of working capital loan is 10.08.
The interest rate of other loans is 0.00.
Consumption tax 0.00
Business tax 0.00
Other taxes 0.00
9.2 Estimation of sales revenue (see attached table)
9.3 Cost estimation (see attached table)
9.3. 1 raw and auxiliary materials and power
I. Supply of raw materials
The raw materials consumed in this project are mainly limestone.
Raw material supply list
ProjectNo. Unit Consumption Quota Unit Price (Yuan) Amount (Yuan)
1 raw materials and accessories t
1. 1 limestone t 1.200 6.00 7.20
1.2 gypsum t 0.040 50.00 2.00
1.3 sand shale t 0.300 9.00 2.70
1.4 iron ore t 0.020 40.00 0.08
1.5 steel ball kg1.2001.2001.44
1.6 Kilogram of refractory material 0.450 1.00 0.45
1.7 packaging bags, etc. Kg 25.00 1.20 30.00
Subtotal 44.59
All the above raw materials are purchased in the local market, and the supply of raw materials is guaranteed.
Two. Power?Supply?
The main power consumption is water, electricity and coal, as shown in the following table.
Power supply instrument
ProjectNo. Unit Consumption Quota Unit Price (Yuan) Amount (Yuan)
2 fuel power
2. 1 water m3 2.680 0.20 0.54
2.2 kilowatts? h 128.000 0.28 35.84
2.3 coal t 0.17109.0018.53
Subtotal 54.9 1
Wage and welfare fund
According to the local wage level, the average wage and additional income of production personnel are: 1300 yuan/(person? Month), the average annual cost of 560 thousand yuan.
manufacturing cost
The newly-added depreciation expense in manufacturing expenses is calculated according to the original value of newly-added fixed assets and the classified depreciation period stipulated in the Financial System of Industrial Enterprises. Using the straight-line depreciation method, the depreciation rate of houses and equipment is 9.5%. Other expenses in manufacturing expenses are calculated according to the relevant provisions of economic evaluation of construction projects. Manufacturing costs include repair, transportation, labor protection and insurance. According to 20% of the annual depreciation expense, the other manufacturing expenses of this project are 3,654,380,000 yuan.
9.3.4 Selling expenses
According to the characteristics of the industry, the sales expenses are calculated as 6% of the sales revenue, and the total annual sales expenses are 476,5438+0,000 yuan/year.
Management cost
Intangible assets and deferred assets in management expenses are calculated according to the amortization period stipulated in the Financial System of Industrial Enterprises.
Salaries, office expenses, travel expenses, communication expenses, directors' dues, reception expenses, trade union funds and other expenses. Management fees should be calculated according to the relevant provisions of the industry. The calculation result is that other management expenses are 24,000 yuan/year.
See the attached table for the calculation of total product cost.
9.4 Statement of financial cash flow (see attached table)
9.5 Calculation of financial evaluation indicators (see attached table)
9.6 Uncertainty analysis of the project
The breakeven point (BEP) expressed by the completion rate of business load is calculated as follows:
fixed cost
BEP= × 100%
Operating income-tax-variable cost
142.5× 100%
= 78.34- 1 1 1 1.8-206.6 = 26.64%
The water and electricity, raw and auxiliary materials consumption expenses and sales management expenses of the project are variable costs of the project, and the other parts are fixed costs.
Due to the different operating load in the initial stage of construction, the fixed cost varies from year to year. According to the actual cost structure of each year, the breakeven point expressed by the completion rate of sales revenue is 26.64%. See figure 15- 1 for the breakeven diagram.
9.7 conclusion of financial evaluation
Through static and dynamic calculation and analysis, we can see that:
(1) After the completion of the project, the economic benefits of the project are good in terms of new sales revenue, total profits and taxes paid.
⑵ The financial "three rates and one phase" index is better than the current industry benchmark value, which shows that the investment economic benefit is better.
⑶ According to the break-even analysis, this project has strong anti-risk ability.
To sum up, after the completion of the project, the data and indicators reflecting the economic benefits are better than the industry average, so the project is financially feasible.
conclusion and suggestion
Through the preliminary analysis and demonstration of the legal person qualification, construction necessity, market analysis, construction scale, construction scheme, construction conditions, environmental protection, investment estimation, fund raising and economic benefits of this project, it is considered that the construction of this project conforms to the requirements of the overall urban planning, with clear construction purpose, reasonable construction scale and construction scheme, available construction conditions and reliable sources of funds.
Sanjiang County, Liuzhou City has a good economic environment, complete supporting facilities and basic conditions for project construction. After the project is completed, it will increase the income of enterprises, improve the industrial structure of Suining County, increase local fiscal revenue, promote local economic development and provide employment opportunities. The implementation of the project will play a certain role in the adjustment and development of the local economic structure.
It is suggested that the construction be approved and put on record.
Timetable:
1. Project investment estimation table
2. Liquidity estimation table
3. Total cost estimation table
4. Sales revenue, taxes and additional estimates
5. Income statement
6. Statement of total investment cash flow
7. Fixed assets depreciation expense estimation table
8. Amortization estimation table of intangible and deferred assets
9. Table of sources and use of funds
10 balance sheet
1 1. Financial evaluation index table