When the panic of pig slaughter in the market has abated and the pork consumption market has picked up, the price of pig will rise to a certain extent.
Although it is difficult for the pig price to rise sharply in the environment of "more supply and less demand", it is not a big problem to rise moderately.
However, breeding friends should not expect too much. After all, there is not much time left for everyone to be slaughtered before the New Year. In just 21 days, the Spring Festival will be celebrated, and the pressure of short-term pig price increase is still not small. Those who plan to sell pigs before the New Year may wish to settle down and be happy for the New Year.
near the end of February, and near the end of 2122, due to the impact of the previous period and the second fattening, the price of pigs continued to fall.
However, with the further decline of pig prices, some areas have fallen below the "cost line", and the sentiment of farmers who are reluctant to sell at the price has increased.
At the same time, following the "first wave" of colds, the number of people traveling and dining increased slightly, and the consumer market showed signs of moderate recovery.
The "signal" on the superposition policy side has changed, which is reflected in the pig price market in recent days. It has changed from a continuous decline to a rhythm of shock and upward, and the support is limited, and the increase is a little staggered.
In terms of supply, the market supply is still sufficient. Near the end of the month, large-scale pig enterprises basically maintain the normal rhythm of slaughter, but the overall progress of secondary fattening is slow, and there are still some large pigs to be slaughtered in most areas.
Recently, however, the pig price has returned to a relatively low level again, and the profit of breeding in some areas has turned to a loss. Free-range farmers have been carrying the price because of the loss, and the low-priced areas have rebounded slightly.
At the same time, in recent years, large-scale farms have continued to lose weight and increase their slaughter, and the proportion of large retail pigs has decreased. The national pig trade has continued to decline, which has also formed a certain supporting effect on short-term pig prices.
From the demand side, during the period from the winter solstice to the Spring Festival, the market demand is generally on the rise from cold to warm, especially after the first wave of colds, the market outlook is expected to improve slowly.
As New Year's Day approaches, slaughter enterprises have a certain demand for stocking. After the weather of March 9th, it turns cold further, and the snowy weather in some areas makes it more difficult to buy live pigs.
However, the curing activities have shrunk obviously and basically entered the final stage, but the demand side has not improved significantly, while the supply side is still basically stable, and the market may be supported by low prices, but the pressure to go up sharply is greater, and the market may fluctuate in a range.
generally speaking, the current "cold problem" continues to suppress demand, and the curing and enema are gradually ending, and the overall consumption recovery rate is slow, and there may be a short-term "recovery tide" before New Year's Day.
Although the free-range farmers have a certain price-bearing mood after the pig price has fallen for a long time, the rhythm of slaughter of large-scale pig enterprises is relatively stable. At the same time, there is not much time left for the breeding end to slaughter years ago, and the market still has certain expectations of accelerating slaughter.
In short, there has been a phased improvement in the demand side, but the overall prosperity is still constrained, while the supply side is still relatively sufficient. It is expected that the short-term hog price may show a "bottom shock" with a relatively limited rebound.
According to the monitoring of the pig price system, among the 26 provinces and cities monitored today, the price of live pigs rose by 18, fell by 2 and fell by 6, and the rising areas accounted for 69% of all the monitored areas.
The lowest average price of live pigs monitored in China is 8.13 yuan/kg, the highest average price of live pigs is 8.41 yuan/kg, and the overall average price of live pigs is 8.27 yuan/kg, which is 1.16 yuan/kg higher than the national average price yesterday. Today, the overall price of live pigs shows a trend of "fluctuating and rising more".
according to the purchasing difficulty of slaughter enterprises, the purchasing difficulty of slaughter enterprises in northern China has increased, farmers' reluctance to sell has increased, breeding groups have a certain price increase sentiment, and the consumer sentiment has improved.
It is more difficult for slaughter enterprises in southern China to purchase live pigs, and their enthusiasm for bidding for breeding groups has increased.
The bidding enthusiasm of leading group traders has increased, and the pig price of group pig farms has increased to a certain extent, and the pig price of group pig farms has increased to a certain extent, and the traders' enthusiasm for receiving goods has been strengthened.
The ex-factory price of pigs in slaughter enterprises in Northeast China increased by RMB 1,111/ton, while the price of pigs in slaughter enterprises in Shandong Province decreased by RMB 1,111/ton.
Forecast of pig price trend tomorrow: Based on the recent analysis of pig market factors, the market sentiment has improved, and it is expected that the pig price will show a trend of "stable in the middle and more rising" tomorrow, focusing on the market volume and transaction of pigs in the group's pig farms.
The above interpretation of the pig market is for your reference. Welcome to exchange views on the pig market, grasp the market dynamics, collect and share, and raise pigs to make a fortune.