I think discussing whether a profession will disappear needs to consider the objective requirements of the great social process.

Many traditional crafts have disappeared in the past time. Some occupations may require high professional skills, such as those with special skills. In many cases, because it is difficult for apprentices to master the skills needed for their careers, the master failed to complete the inheritance work, and encountered accidents or skills could not be circulated. In this case, this profession may disappear.

Another situation that may disappear is being eliminated by the industrial development of society. For example, we can often see some traditional crafts in articles recalling childhood, such as vigorous big machines, popcorn machine operators, craftsmen who grind scissors and kitchen knives in the streets, and craftsmen who make bowls. Many occupations have gradually disappeared or become scarce under the impact of industrial reform, so it is necessary to consider the social needs of this occupation. With a stable, convenient, clean and fast modern popcorn machine, there is no need for the original heavy machine. With the cheap scissors stably produced by the industrial assembly line, there is no need for craftsmen who slowly sharpen scissors. With a large number of edible utensils with stable quality, ordinary people no longer need craftsmen to repair bowls at home.

I think the same is true of carpenters. Although there is a relatively stable inheritance mechanism, the demand for manual carpenters in society is much less. More people will choose to buy finished products manufactured by industrial assembly lines, and labor costs are also rising, which is also a major obstacle for consumers to consume it.

So I don't think this kind of carpenter will disappear in a short time, but compared with before, the number and scale will definitely be greatly reduced.