Over the past two years, the income of many families has declined due to job changes, and the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates crazily. The expectation of global economic recession has been increasing, and many people have tightened their "money bags".

At this time, people are more concerned about the fluctuation of vegetable basket prices.

It has entered the fourth quarter. According to traditional experience, the fourth quarter is often the peak of annual consumption, and the price of vegetable basket often fluctuates during this period.

So, what has changed this year?

1, beef and mutton fluctuated little.

In the fourth quarter of last year, the market demand for beef and mutton began to increase, and the price naturally rose.

But at present, the price of beef and mutton is relatively stable.

According to the monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, as of last week, the national wholesale price of mutton was 67.45 yuan/kg, which was about 0.4% lower than last year's 70.25 yuan/kg, with little change. The wholesale price of beef in China was 78.2 1 yuan/kg, up 2% year-on-year.

Generally speaking, the consumption of beef and mutton accounts for a small proportion, and it is often greatly affected by substitutes, such as the prices of pork and chicken.

One of the reasons for the continued low price of sheep this year is poor market consumption. Under the pressure of tightening everyone's "money bag", consumption is lower.

However, it is not the peak consumption of beef and mutton at present. With the change of weather and the sharp drop of temperature, and the increase of stocking demand at the end of the year, the consumption of beef and mutton is expected to increase to a certain extent, but under the pressure of falling income, the increase is expected to be limited.

2. Aquatic products fell across the board.

Many people say that they feel that everything is going up this year, and the prices of meat, vegetables and fruits are higher than in previous years. This is indeed a fact.

However, when the prices of many commodities are rising, aquatic products are one of the few categories with falling prices.

Judging from the current prices, the prices of grass carp, carp and crucian carp, which are often eaten, all fell year-on-year, with grass carp falling by 13.3%, crucian carp falling by 7.3% and carp falling by 1 1.0%. In addition, the declines of silver carp and hairtail also reached 15.8% and 2.4% respectively.

However, careful friends will certainly remember that the price of freshwater fish rose sharply last year. At the highest time, it costs 30 to 40 yuan to buy a carp, so compared with last year, the price has risen instead of falling, returning to the normal level.

On the one hand, the overall decline of aquatic products is mainly affected by the epidemic situation, and the overall consumption of aquatic products is weak; On the other hand, prices rose sharply last year, and aquaculture increased, which increased the overall supply this year. Coupled with the continuous high temperature this summer, the normal listing of some freshwater fish was affected, and the listing time was postponed to September-10, which also led to a concentrated increase in phased supply and a decline in prices.

In the follow-up, aquatic products still have no chance to rise sharply. On the eve of the Spring Festival, with the increase of stocking, consumption may be boosted, but the overall situation is limited.

3. How high will pork go up?

Pork is the most volatile market recently. Pork prices have been rising continuously since September. At first, the retail price of the market was still hovering at more than ten yuan a catty, but after entering 10, the price gradually broke through 20 yuan, and then it fluctuated at the position of more than 20 yuan.

Many residents are surprised: it feels like a National Day holiday. Why did the price of pork suddenly rise so much?

Moreover, at present, judging from the pig price at the breeding end, although the national regulation signals are frequent, the pig price only fell for a day or two, and then it continued to float red.

As a result, many people worry that according to this rising method, it won't be long before pork can't be bought again.

Judging from the market situation, the continuous rise of this wave of pig prices is mainly due to the influence of the pressure strip and the obvious improvement of the enthusiasm for secondary fattening. Farmers are generally optimistic about the pork consumption 1 1- 1 in June, so they have a high willingness to fatten, which leads to the staged supply shortage in the market and drives up the pig price.

But in the follow-up, the "ceiling" of pig prices is almost visible. According to the pig production capacity at the end of last year and the first quarter of this year, the increase in pig prices at the end of the year is an inevitable trend. However, due to the decline in income, consumption is obviously restrained, which also limits the upper limit of pork growth.

Coupled with pressure and fattening, the supply of1-1big pigs eased in June, the consumption was less than expected, and the room for further increase in pig prices was very limited.

The limited increase in pig prices also means that there is limited room for further increase in pork prices in the market.

4. The eggs are high.

Besides pork, another collection is the price of eggs.

Since the beginning of this year, the price of eggs has been maintained at a high level, and the mainstream price in producing areas is above 5 yuan/kg most of the time.

According to data monitoring, as of last week, the national wholesale price of eggs rose to 12.35 yuan/kg, up 29% year-on-year.

The overall high price of eggs this year is mainly due to the tight production capacity.

Affected by the increase in feed prices and breeding costs, the overall replenishment is not active, and the overall production capacity is at a low level.

On the other hand, after the weather turned cold, the epidemic spread everywhere, traffic in some areas was blocked, the arrival of goods in the sales area decreased, and there was a staged supply shortage, which supported the price increase.

In the follow-up, with the coming peak consumption season, eggs also occupy an important position in daily consumption, so the probability of subsequent egg price decline is not high, especially in case of poor transportation caused by extreme weather, and it is not excluded that "rocket eggs" will make a comeback.

Although influenced by multiple factors, the price will inevitably fluctuate, but overall, the supply of most commodities is abundant, but with the changes of market factors, periodic fluctuations occur frequently. Everyone should pay attention to rational purchase and don't panic blindly.