Current location - Recipe Complete Network - Complete cookbook - Will the outbreak affect agriculture, rural areas and farmers? Will food prices go up?
Will the outbreak affect agriculture, rural areas and farmers? Will food prices go up?
What are agriculture, countryside and farmers? As we all know, it refers to rural areas, agriculture and animal husbandry, and farmers. Although the epidemic was carried out in Shenzhen, and it is also an area with more data and information, the influence of radiation sources is particularly great. On the surface, first, the villagers who worked and studied in Wuhan were infected with bacteria, and they were sent to the countryside during the Spring Festival, which made their family and friends more at risk of illness; Second, because of the prevention and control of the spread of the epidemic, many rural roads have been closed, making it difficult to get in and out of the village and inconvenient transportation; Third, the road closure caused traffic jams, prompting some areas to sell grain (20 19 autumn grain), and no one took it away; Fourth, villagers who had to go back to school were forced to stay at home to fight the epidemic again because they could not start classes again. It is estimated that the income of farmers will undoubtedly be affected this year, not to mention delaying self-study. Fifth, at the time of spring ploughing, although domestic epidemic prevention is conducive to the human capital needed for spring ploughing production and manufacturing, due to traffic and other reasons, the supply of agricultural means of production is blocked, and spring ploughing cannot be promoted immediately in some areas, which can be described as good and bad.

Due to the outbreak of the epidemic, traffic was blocked, the logistics and transportation of food crops and food products were affected, and the sales were relatively tasteless; Coupled with China people's traditional psychological state of preparedness for disasters, especially in big cities, there have been many purchases of wheat, flour, rice and other grain in some areas. This led to a certain increase in food prices after the Spring Festival, and some varieties such as corn and bean cypress increased greatly. In the middle and late period, the impact of the epidemic has just been mentioned, and it must be relatively extensive. The impact on food prices also needs to be divided into short-term, medium-term and long-term; In addition, there are many reasons that affect food prices, which should be analyzed in stages according to the change of time. Naturally, the final change of grain price will return to the fundamentals of supply and demand inventory.

Simply speaking, from two aspects: on the one hand, from the perspective of grain varieties, wheat and rice are dominant. Although the purchase of grain sources has been hit to a certain extent due to the slow start of production and processing enterprises in a short period of time, and the demand for finished grain has expanded due to the epidemic, the price has risen to a certain extent, but the increase is not large and the scope is not large. After all, the improvement of grain trade is limited, coupled with the reduction of group enterprise transactions and catering industry procurement, what is happening at this stage is the regional and staged market situation caused by the mismatch between supply and demand at this stage. However, due to the strengthening of the state's bidding for national grain storage sources, the requirements for them are gradually weakening, especially in the middle and late period. With the increase of temperature, the middle and lower reaches of the transaction will also enter the off-season, and the price of grain will be stable, and will weaken and decline with the approach of new grain sales and old grain promotion.

For example, the above factors, combined with the specific rural areas, can be expected. In 2022, the number of people working at home will increase by about one third compared with last month. Especially in China, where the epidemic is obvious, it is possible that half of the people choose to farm at home or work for local students in the first half of the year. At this stage, although the year has passed, there is still a long time to go before spring ploughing production and manufacturing. Except for field management such as wheat, rape and fruit tree pruning, most agricultural activities, such as rice field ploughing and pre-seedling of vegetables and fruits, must be carried out in early March. What's more, because the market price of food crops stops every year, most farmers only grow medium rice and are unwilling to earn income by farming, so there is still a situation of insufficient high yield in agricultural production. Coupled with the gradual relaxation of restrictions on the import of agricultural products in China, many overseas agricultural products with high quality and low price will squeeze the marketing price lever of agricultural products in China, trying to stimulate the initiative of farming according to the price and improve the output of agricultural and sideline foods under the condition of temporary epidemic or uncertain quantity.

The epidemic situation has also caused great impact on rural agricultural products and their food crops, at least causing great damage to many planting and agriculture. Because the epidemic situation is very serious now, roads and villages in rural areas are closed, which makes it impossible for customers and cars to buy agricultural products and food crops in rural areas. The poultry can't be recycled, so farmers can't sell it naturally. Although the price of grain in the market is very good now, the prices of other vegetables are also very high, including meat products. However, the vegetables for farmers have rotted in the ground, and the lack of food crops or concentrated feed in the aquaculture industry has also contributed to the death of some poultry, and medium and large poultry are at risk of dying of thirst.