0 1, pork fell to a new low and became the price of cabbage.
It is understood that the average retail price of pork during the National Day has dropped to 9.87 yuan/kg, down 60% year-on-year, showing how depressed the pork market is. In order to promote sales, all localities have also given ultra-high discounts. For example, in a supermarket in Gushi, the pork belly has bottomed out, 3.98 yuan/kg, allowing consumers to queue up to buy.
In another supermarket, the front and back leg meat is 3.98 yuan/kg, the pork belly is 5.98 yuan/kg, and the back elbow meat is 7.5 yuan/kg, which is equally incredible. It can be said that this market is lower than normal years.
This reminds me of vegetables!
In fact, last year, some big names in the pig industry predicted that pork would drop to 4-5 yuan a catty in 2022. Other celebrities in the pig industry, such as "Butcher of Peking University", scoffed at him and thought he didn't know how to raise pigs. But now, the prophecy has come true ahead of schedule.
In the final analysis, the reason for the decline in pork is that the profit of raising pigs has been extremely high in the past two years, which has made many people crazy to join the pig industry. Therefore, the pig production capacity has recovered rapidly, and there is still a surplus situation in the disorderly expansion. For consumers, they have long been accustomed to alternative consumption, and the demand for pork is not so great, so the recent consumer demand is not as high as expected, only 80% in previous years.
Of course, judging from the market in these two days, the purchase price of live pigs has ushered in a wave of rebound, with an average price of 5.23 yuan/kg. The price of live pigs in many places across the country has ushered in a long-lost rise, and in this wave of rise, pig farmers have also seen hope. Among them, all the northern regions except Xinjiang have reached the 5 yuan Pass.
In the future, it is predicted that pig prices will continue to rise. First, the temperature drops, and everyone's enthusiasm for purchasing pork will be significantly improved; Secondly, the effect of de-capacity is obvious, sows are eliminated quickly, and 300 kg pigs are also released one after another, which also means that the supply of standard pigs is tight in the later period, which is conducive to promoting pig prices.
However, even if the pig price rebounds, it is predicted that it will not rise too much. It is predicted that the upper limit of pig price should be around 8 yuan. what do you think?
02. Egg prices continue to fall.
Egg prices have been falling since June 5438+ 10. In fact, as early as the Mid-Autumn Festival, the price of eggs began to fall. Today, some areas have fallen back to the 3 yuan era, with a drop of about 20%.
From the market point of view, Beijing fell by 0. 1 1 yuan, and the price of eggs was 4-4. 1 1 yuan/Jin; Dongguan fell by 0.08-0. 1 yuan, and the price of eggs was 4. 13-4.22 yuan/kg; Liaoning fell 0. 1 1 yuan, and the price of eggs was 3.93-4 yuan/kg; Hebei fell by 0.08-0. 12 yuan, and the price of eggs was 3.84-4 yuan/kg; Henan fell 0. 1-0.2 yuan, and the price of eggs was 3.97-4.05 yuan/kg; Shandong fell 0. 1 yuan, and the price of eggs was 3.84-4 yuan/kg; Jiangsu and Anhui fell by 0.06-0. 1 yuan, and the price of eggs was 3.95-4. 1 yuan/kg.
The reason why the price of eggs has dropped so much is that the weather in the north is fine and the weather conditions are OK. However, due to the weather in the early stage, the inventory increased, and the egg farmers were also speeding up the delivery. The middleman plays it by ear and drives down the price. As a result, egg prices have fallen below 4 yuan. Even so, the enthusiasm of egg merchants for taking goods is still not high.
At present, the price of eggs in some areas has fallen to the cost price, which is not good news for egg farmers, and many egg farmers have begun to be reluctant to sell. However, in the short term, egg prices are still likely to fall. After all, every year 10 is a seasonal off-season, without the stimulation of festivals, the market demand is not high, consumers have already bought during festivals, middlemen are cautious in taking goods, and prices are difficult to rise.
Of course, the "power cut" in some areas will also have an impact on the egg industry. Food companies' orders are limited, and the amount of goods taken is reduced, which once again suppresses the price of eggs. It can be seen that the price of eggs is difficult to rise next, and everyone should be mentally prepared.
03. The price of cattle and sheep is lower.
In the market, the price of beef and mutton continues to rise, which makes many people complain. For example, in my hometown, the price of beef and mutton is rising during the National Day. The price of beef and mutton is around 45-50 yuan, rising by 3-6 yuan/kg. Due to the high price and sluggish consumer demand, the price of beef and mutton immediately returned to the original price after the holiday, and has now dropped to about 40-45 yuan.
Nowadays, the prices of cattle and sheep producing areas have also started to fall. A farmer in Liaoning said that there are six fattening cows and two calves at home. Last year, they sold 1.2 million, and this year 1.2 million was not given. At present, the origin price has dropped to 1.6 yuan/kg, which is about 1 yuan lower than that in September.
The fall in the price of cattle also makes those farmers who raise cattle unhappy. Although the price is still high at present, the profit of a cow is about 3000 yuan less, and everyone is still not very happy.
The price of sheep has also started to fall. For example, Inner Mongolia goats dropped from 18 yuan to 16 yuan, and Shanxi goats also dropped to 16 yuan/kg. Baoding sheep 13.5 yuan/kg, Qiqihar ewe 12.5 yuan/kg, bird's nest fine-wool sheep skewers 14 yuan/kg.
In addition to the decline in sheep prices, the mutton market is not very good, such as Tongliao 30 kg male mutton 760 yuan and female mutton 670 yuan; Datong male lamb 500 yuan, female lamb 400 yuan; 650 yuan, a 30 kg male lamb, and 450 yuan, a female lamb. A sheep farmer in Yuncheng said that there were four male lambs weighing 32 kg at home, and the sheep dealer only offered 350 yuan a low price, which made him unacceptable and he had no choice but to sell them.
At present, the aquaculture industry is going from bad to worse, and the market situation is not satisfactory. In the final analysis, consumer demand is reduced and it is unable to support excessive consumption. However, the scale of aquaculture is constantly expanding, and its market is difficult to rise. what do you think?