Finally, let's forecast the future energy consumption. At present, the population of the earth is about 6 billion, and it is expected to reach 10 billion by the middle of 2 1 century. Judging from the figures of population growth alone, the growth of energy consumption will be amazing. In addition, the current energy consumption structure is still very different between north and south, that is, the consumption of industrialized countries is 3/4 of the total energy, and the highest per capita energy consumption is in the United States, which is more than five times the world average. China's per capita consumption is still quite low, less than that of the United States110. In addition, many countries are below the world average110. Therefore, the future energy consumption must consider the improvement of living standards and population growth. The picture shows the comparison between world population growth and energy consumption, and the situation of energy shortage can be imagined.
The energy on the earth will be limited, just as cutting down trees without planting trees will turn forests into wasteland. With such a large consumption, the world's energy resources will also be exhausted. At present, the world energy consumption is about 8 billion tons/year in terms of oil, and 2 tons/person/year in terms of 4 billion people. At this consumption rate, by 2040, first of all, oil will be exhausted; By 2060, nuclear energy and natural gas will also end. The energy of the earth can no longer provide the energy demand of nearly11600 million people. With the increase of the world population, the period of energy shortage will come ahead of schedule. Therefore, the development and utilization of new energy in 2 1 century is no longer a topic in the future, but an urgent event related to the fate of future generations.
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