The history of soaring N95 mask prices repeats itself, with retail prices soaring several times.
What impact will the surge in infections have on subsequent meat and food prices?
Oil prices plummeted
According to China's National Development and Reform Commission on the 19th news that, according to recent changes in oil prices in the international market, in accordance with the current price formation mechanism for refined oil products, since 24:00 on December 19, 2022, the domestic gasoline and diesel fuel prices were reduced by 480 yuan per ton and 460 yuan per ton, equivalent to the price of each liter, the price of gasoline No. 92 was lowered by 0.38 Yuan, No. 95 gasoline prices down 0.4 yuan, No. 0 diesel down 0.39 yuan.
After this downward adjustment, the current domestic retail limit price of refined oil products compared to the beginning of 2022, gasoline and diesel prices rose 550 yuan / ton and 530 yuan / ton, equivalent price per liter, No. 92 gasoline rose 0.43 yuan, No. 95 gasoline rose 0.46 yuan, No. 0 diesel rose 0.45 yuan, although it is rising, but the increase is still within the acceptance of everyone! After all, with a monthly run of 2,000 kilometers, 100 kilometers of fuel consumption in 8 liters of small private cars, for example, the cost of fuel only increased by about 60 yuan.
There are also two good news about gasoline:
Good news one, considering the international crude oil prices in investors worried about the Federal Reserve's continued aggressive policy of interest rate hikes, the increase in refined oil product inventories, as well as the U.S. Energy Information Administration to lower the energy demand expectations and other factors, the international crude oil prices are hopeful to continue to fall.
Zhuochuang information refined oil analysts pointed out that according to the current crude oil level forecast, the new cycle of downward adjustment is expected to appear, 2023 oil prices in the first transfer hope to realize the "four consecutive decline".
Good news two, the current distance from January 1, 2023 full supply of National VI B standard automotive gasoline time is getting closer and closer, it is understood that the National VI B standard gasoline compared to the National VI A, in which the content of olefins by the previous 18% down to 15%, this change not only can further reduce pollutant emissions, reduce air pollution, but also enhance the performance of the vehicle, reduce engine carbon and gum deposits, extend the engine life and gum deposits, extending engine life and reducing vehicle maintenance costs.
As for the increase of ethanol content in National 6B gasoline mentioned on the Internet, problems such as intolerance to burning do not occur, because the content of ethanol in National 6B gasoline is still added in accordance with the proportion of 10%.
N95 mask reenactment surge
As early as early as the beginning of 2020, the domestic epidemic occurred in the early stages of the N95 masks because of the shortage of supply and demand for prices skyrocketed, the follow-up with the enhancement of domestic production capacity of the masks, masks supply back to normal, the price gradually fell back, some consumers said that in November, when the original price of N95 masks on the Internet more than one yuan a discount of more than 50 cents a, but recent prices have risen to 4, 5 yuan a.
Mask distributors said that before the epidemic control measures to optimize the purchase of their own N95 masks from agents about a dollar a piece, and there is no minimum order, but recently not only rose to three or four dollars a piece, the starting quantity has also risen to 10,000 pieces.
There are also dealers who say that even if they spend a high price on purchases, they may not be able to get the goods because suppliers will also jump the gun.
Causing the price of N95 masks skyrocketed, in addition to the epidemic prevention and control measures optimized, many people for safety reasons, from wearing medical surgical masks upgraded to N95 medical protective masks, making the market demand in a short period of time skyrocketed, masks rise in excess of demand, but also with the following factors:
1, according to the mask manufacturer market personnel said that the production of the masks Meltblown cloth, ear strap rope, non-woven fabrics, nose strips and other raw material prices are rising, December 19 masks spray flannel raw material PP prices than on December 1 rose 11.85%.
2, mask price increases, many factories began to expand production, mask production equipment prices followed.
3, the shortage of production line workers, manufacturers can only raise wages to recruit.
The good news is that the State Council Joint Prevention and Control Mechanism press conference, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Consumer Goods Industry, deputy director of Zhou Jian, recently has been focusing on the rising demand for N95 masks to deal with the situation, to strengthen the production of N95 masks scheduling.
There are also agents who said that with the end of the enthusiasm of residents to hoard masks, the heat of the N95 masks is slowly declining in recent days, the market demand is not as high as it was before, and the stocking of pharmacies has gradually increased, and there is hope that the N95 masks will return to normal levels again in the near future.
What is the impact of the surge in infections on meat and vegetable prices?
From the information on the Internet, the number of infected people around the world are continuing to surge, taking into account the peak of infection in some areas has not yet come, it is expected that this surge will continue for a period of time, this state of affairs will be on the price of meat, vegetables, and what impact it will have on the price?
1, affecting the consumer demand for meat and vegetables
Whether it is meat or vegetables, consumption can be broadly divided into the daily consumption of residents, hotels, canteens, restaurants and other centralized consumption, the number of infected people increased, we live at home, and fever appetite, which not only affects the centralized consumption of hotels and restaurants, but also affects the residents of daily consumption.
In order to be safe, many schools have been early vacation, which in turn affects the centralized consumption to some extent.
According to official data, pork prices, pork prices last week rose 1.2 percent from the previous week, up 27.1 percent year-on-year, the rise in pork prices is mainly due to the adjustment of epidemic prevention and control measures to stimulate the residents of some areas to stockpile pork, superimposed on the demand for southern preserved demand to enhance, the temperature fell after the resumption of pork consumption, such as the impact of factors.
Taking into account the follow-up to the second fattening of loose farmers out of the number of pigs at a high level, the group of pig farms in order to complete the annual fattening task to deal with the increase in pigs, coupled with some farms are worried about the subsequent price, early slaughter and other factors, the supply of hogs is relatively loose, superimposed on the increase in the number of infected people caused by the growth of consumption is less than expected, the price of pigs is likely to be greater than the increase in the increase in the supply of the impact of the increase in the increase in the consumption of pig prices into the state of decline. The company's business is also a major player in the market.
Vegetable prices, the national 286 production and marketing wholesale market average price of 19 kinds of vegetables and last week flat.
And the next, residents eat more light-based, fall vegetables listed near the end of the winter greenhouse vegetables are taking over the market, vegetable prices are likely to polarization, white radish, carrot, cabbage and other stored vegetables prices probability of steady decline, while rape, spinach, leeks, beans and other vegetables may be with the decline in supply and the upward trend.
2, affecting the transportation of meat and vegetable production and demand
The increase in the number of infected people will inevitably affect the transportation, many areas of the courier is at a standstill is because of the courier staff infection can not be normal work caused by.
China's pork itself is the North and South supply area and sales area distinction is obvious, into the winter vegetables and North and South supply area and sales area is also more and more obvious, the north pork south to meet the needs of the south, the south of the vegetables north to meet the needs of the north.
After the transportation blockage, the northern pork supply is relatively excess, the price of fear of continuing to fall sharply, while the southern supply is tight, the price may rebound slightly.
Southern vegetable prices will be unable to go north because of localized stagnation, the ground price decline, while the northern vegetables will be due to the decline in supply and price increases.
But we do not need to worry too much, meat and vegetables this livelihood supplies belong to the priority supply state, the price of the rise and fall will be controlled relatively reasonable price, and will not appear to rise and fall, there is no need to stockpile in advance.