Successive days of rising egg prices have also stabilized, the next fear of facing the risk of retracement.
Peanut prices have been in the doldrums for a long time, recently opened rebound mode, the mainstream production area prices rose significantly.
Urea prices are worrying old farmers, what is the situation?
Pig prices collapsed
Recently, the price of hogs, as we predicted at the end of December, not only can not usher in a strong rise, and may even suffer a "collapse down", the pig price system shows that, after entering the month of January, the price of hogs really "tragic fall! ", was "collapsed" market, in addition to Liaoning, Shandong rose 0.05 yuan, Heilongjiang and Jilin to remain stable, the other regions fell across the board, of which North China fell 0.125-0.2 yuan, East China fell 0.15-0.25 yuan, Central China fell 0.175-0.4 yuan, South China fell 0.175-0.25 yuan, South China fell 0.175-0.25 yuan, South China fell 0.175-0.25 yuan, South China fell 0.175-0.25 yuan, South China fell 0.175-0.4 yuan. 0.4 yuan, South China fell 0.5-0.55 yuan, Southwest China fell 0.35-0.5 yuan.
Causing pig prices to collapse, there are no more than two reasons, one of which is the excess supply of hogs, grouped farms began to impact the new year's annual slaughtering task, the Spring Festival this year, leaving farmers a short window of time for the slaughtering of small and medium-sized farms are worried about the year after the price of hogs to fall further, to grab the year before the slaughtering.
The second is the pork consumption downturn is difficult to change, pickling demand has been close to the end of the Spring Festival favor although the articulation of the beginning of the power, how can be infected by the number of people at a high level of influence, pork consumption demand recovery is limited.
The next period of time, pork consumption will continue to recover, but the increase in hog supply is still above the amount of pork consumption demand recovery, pig prices are still difficult to change the downward trend.
But after the Spring Festival, pig prices are likely to change the norm of falling in previous years and ushered in a rising market:
1, the recent breeding end of the accelerated slaughter, overdraft hog production capacity after the year.
2, after the year infection peak one after another, pork demand is expected to increase with the restoration of food and beverage, the start of the school year, workers return to work.
Egg prices rising change
Continuously rising egg prices for about a week, recently stopped rising and stabilized, egg prices around the flat state compared to the previous day, the production area of egg prices stabilized at 9.15 yuan / kg.
Beijing Xinfadi 208 yuan / 44 catties, Shanghai ordinary brown eggs pick up price of 130 yuan / 27.5 catties, Shandong Jining, Wenshang brown eggs 142 yuan / 30 catties, Hubei Xishui pink egg price of 219 yuan / 45 catties.
Egg prices, including those in Shandong, Henan, Shanxi, Hebei, Jilin, Liaoning, Jiangsu, Anhui and Hubei, were all stable overall and oscillating and consolidating.
Egg prices failed to continue the rising market, I think there are mainly the following logic:
1, although the current stock of egg-laying hens is low, but by the impact of the previous price downturn, the inventory at all levels is high.
2, before and after the Spring Festival is the traditional low season for the egg market.
3. Students are on vacation, workers are returning to their hometowns, and end-use demand from restaurants and canteens is low.
4, practitioners of the general lack of confidence in the domestic sale of eggs, negative egg prices.
Demand is weak negative egg prices, coupled with inventory at a high level, the supply side is also negative egg prices, egg prices stabilized before the Spring Festival after a further decline in space, the overall continuation of the weak market.
Peanuts open rebound market
According to statistics, during the New Year's Day holiday domestic peanut spot prices rose slightly, some areas rose slightly by 100 yuan / ton, the mainstream futures contract also rebounded.
Currently, the mainstream transaction price of oil mill oilseed rice is at 9900-10200 yuan/ton, Liaoning Baisha unity offer at 10400-10500 yuan/ton, Henan Baisha unity offer at 10600-10700 yuan/ton, and Jilin Baishan unity offer at 10000-10500 yuan/ton.
Peanut prices can open the rebound market, I think with the following price logic:
1, New Year's Day and the Spring Festival favorable force, peanut edible consumer demand, especially near the Spring Festival, some families began to prepare for the New Year's Day, the holiday just demand to support the peanut price.
2, market transactions improved, promoting peanut prices.
3, this year's Spring Festival time is earlier, the enterprise pre-holiday stocking time is short, the oil mill oilseed rice pre-holiday trading is close to the end of the inventory is insufficient for enterprises to raise the price of purchases, replenishment of stocks.
But peanut prices are difficult to continue the upward trend, short-term and medium- to long-term are not optimistic.
In the short term, oilseed mills are nearing the end of their stockpiling, which will have a limited role in boosting the market, and demand for edible peanuts will return to a lukewarm state with the end of the preparation period for the New Year's Eve goods.
In the medium and long term, both edible peanut demand, or peanut oil demand for food and beverage consumption, are less than the same period in previous years, and this will make the downstream pre-holiday stocking willingness to weaken, not conducive to the rebound of peanut prices.
Urea prices let the old farmers worry
Urea prices let the old farmers worry, because urea prices went up, according to reports the domestic urea market continued to slightly upward trend, the mainstream regional urea prices increased by 10-60 yuan / ton.
Shandong, Henan, Hebei, Anhui, Liaoning, several areas of urea prices have risen, the largest increase is in Anhui, reached 30-60 yuan / ton.
Urea prices rose, I think there are several logic:
1, Jiangsu and Anhui and other places to return to the green fertilizer fertilizer demand support urea prices.
2, with the fall in urea prices in the early days, the downstream take stock of enthusiasm, boosting urea prices in the surrounding areas.
3, plate factories, compound fertilizer factories on-demand procurement, sporadic small orders to follow up.
At present, urea prices are mainly in some areas of the small upward adjustment, urea manufacturers to go for the time being there is no obvious pressure, the old farmers are worried that urea prices fear will continue to rise.
But I would like to say that we should not worry too much, taking into account the previous parking gas head enterprises are recovering one after another, urea daily is at a relatively high level, the supply of urea is relatively abundant, as well as urea futures prices downward, is expected to urea spot prices will not be very high, the probability of narrow upward adjustments.