In fact, the mutton market is not good this year. From April to June, the price of mutton continued to fall, which was in the off-season of mutton, and the supply and demand were weak.
Recently, with the beginning of the dog days and the arrival of the "Fu Yang Festival" in some areas, the sales volume of mutton has risen to a certain extent, but the price is still relatively low.
So how much is the price of mutton this year? Will it rise? Next, let's analyze the trend of mutton market in the second half of 2022.
How much is the price of mutton this year?
White striped sheep: 27.5 yuan/kg white striped sheep in Siziwangqi, Wulanchabu City, Inner Mongolia; White striped sheep in Heping District, Shenyang City, Liaoning Province, 28.63 yuan/kg; 37 yuan/kg of white striped sheep in Lixin County, Bozhou City, Anhui Province; 25 yuan/kg of white striped sheep in Jinan District, Fuzhou City, Fujian Province; White striped sheep in Xinzhou District, Shangrao City, Jiangxi Province is 34.5 yuan/kg; 23 yuan/kg of white striped sheep in Licheng District, Jinan City, Shandong Province; White striped sheep in Hanyang District, Wuhan City, Hubei Province is 24.33 yuan/kg; White striped sheep in Furong District, Changsha City, Hunan Province, 26.98 yuan/kg; White striped sheep in Longgang District, Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, 28.5 yuan/kg; 32 yuan/kg of white striped sheep in Hejiang County, Luzhou City, Sichuan Province; White striped sheep in Weining Yi, Hui and Miao Autonomous County, Bijie City, Guizhou Province, 32.84 yuan/kg; 25 yuan/kg of white striped sheep in Yongdeng County, Lanzhou City, Gansu Province.
Leg of lamb: 22 yuan/kg of leg of lamb in Jingxing County, Shijiazhuang City, Hebei Province; Leg of lamb 19 yuan/kg, Taigu District, Jinzhong City; Balin Zuoqi, Chifeng City, Inner Mongolia, leg of lamb 27.5 yuan/kg; 26 yuan/kg of lamb leg meat in Heping District, Shenyang City, Liaoning Province; The leg of lamb in Gulou District, Nanjing City, Jiangsu Province is 37.77 yuan/kg; 27 yuan/kg of leg of lamb in Pan 'an County, Jinhua City, Zhejiang Province; Leg of lamb in Licheng District, Jinan City, Shandong Province is 30.66 yuan/kg; The leg of lamb in Furong District, Changsha City, Hunan Province is 23.5 yuan/kg; The leg of lamb in Panyu District, Guangzhou City, Guangdong Province is 33.53 yuan/kg; Lingwu city leg of lamb in Yinchuan City, Ningxia, 33.5 yuan/kg; The leg of lamb in Dongli District of Tianjin is 25.3 yuan/kg, etc.
Ordinary mutton: mutton in Xilinhot City, Xilingol League, Inner Mongolia is 26.65 yuan/kg; Mutton in Heping District, Shenyang City, Liaoning Province is 25.75 yuan/kg; 32 yuan/kg of mutton in Siyang County, Suqian City, Jiangsu Province; 28 yuan/kg of mutton in Pan 'an County, Jinhua City, Zhejiang Province; Mutton in Duji District, Huaibei City, Anhui Province is 25.5 yuan/kg; The mutton in Xinzhou District, Shangrao City, Jiangxi Province is 32.63 yuan/kg; 23 yuan/kg of mutton in Yuhua District, Changsha City, Hunan Province; Mutton in Yining City, Yili Kazakh Autonomous Prefecture, Xinjiang is 32.5 yuan/kg; The mutton in Dongli District of Tianjin is 23.43 yuan/kg, etc.
Note: the above wholesale quotations of mutton from various producing areas are from the market supply hall of Huinong. com for reference only.
Will mutton rise in the second half of 2022?
According to the monitoring of the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, as of today 14:00, the mutton in the national agricultural products wholesale market was 67. 13 yuan/kg, down 0. 1% from last Friday.
In the first half of this year, it has been in the market of "low sheep and expensive meat", and the price of live sheep is very low, even falling below the cost line, which has greatly affected the price of mutton.
Since 20 18, the number of sheep in China has steadily increased for three consecutive years, and the supply exceeds demand, resulting in a continuous decline in sheep prices in 2022.
Judging from the recent market situation, due to the influence of dog days, the price of sheep in some areas has risen slightly, but the price of mutton has basically not been affected, and the mainstream price of mutton is still between 35-45 yuan/kg.
It is expected to wait until September, when the weather turns cold and the demand for mutton consumption begins to increase, and then the price of sheep will naturally rise.
Analysis of mutton market trend in the second half of 2022
Compared with other meats, more than half of the mutton consumption in China is outdoor consumption. Due to the epidemic situation, outdoor consumption is blocked, and the price of mutton has been relatively high before, the mutton consumption has been greatly affected.
In the past two years, the mutton market has been good, farmers' enthusiasm for breeding has been high, and the number of mutton sheep breeding and mutton production have continued to increase.
In the first half of the year, due to the epidemic situation, the transportation was not smooth, which led to the uneven supply of mutton in various regions. Traders took the opportunity to lower prices and the price of mutton was low.
Looking at it now, the low price of sheep has been going on for some time. Due to the loss, some farmers have also reduced their slaughter.
After the subsequent epidemic situation improves, the outdoor consumption of mutton will resume, and the transportation will also return to normal, and the production and sales of mutton will be opened.
Coupled with the temperature drop, mutton consumption will obviously improve and usher in the peak season. It is expected that the price of mutton will recover to some extent in the second half of 2022.
On the whole, the sheep market is greatly influenced by the sheep cycle. In the first half of this year, the mutton market was mainly affected by supply and demand, and the epidemic situation made it difficult to transport mutton. In summer, mutton consumption was in the off-season and the market was blocked.
However, some sheep farmers have reported that some farmers have withdrawn from the breeding market in Qinglan, and some farmers are accelerating the elimination of big ewes.
When the weather turns cold in the second half of the year and mutton is in the peak consumption season, the market will naturally improve, and it is expected that there will be an upward cycle in the second half of 2022.